Global Market Insights - Forex, Futures, Stocks

Dollar slows advance ahead of key Fed decision

Wed, 16 Sep 2026 12:00:00 +0300

Fed expected to hike, spotlight to fall on dots and guidance. Warsh faces independence test amid Trump’s calls for low rates. BoE and BoJ decisions take center stage on Thursday and Friday. Wall Street slips ahead of Fed outcome, gold traders also on edge.

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Dollar holds firm as oil rally fuels Fed rate expectations

Tue, 15 Sep 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Oil prices hold above $100, mostly ignoring Trump’s comments. Fed rate
hike expectations increase, raising chances of disappointment tomorrow.
Dollar rally lingers as risk appetite weakens; gold slide persists. Key Senate
vote on the Clarity Act later today.

Dollar gains as oil rally and AI concerns hit risk appetite

Mon, 14 Sep 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Oil rally persists and energy prices skyrocket on Middle East developments. Dollar on the front foot as Fed meeting approaches; crucial credibility test for Warsh. AI concerns weigh on risk appetite following a decent Friday session. Gold and bitcoin await Fed decision and Senate vote respectively.

Dollar gains as US PPI data bolster Fed hike bets

Fri, 11 Sep 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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US PPI data strengthens September hike chance. Dollar rises ahead of today’s US CPI numbers. ECB remains hawkish but euro struggles against the dollar. Stocks and gold pull back amid strong dollar and higher yields.

Fed, BoE & BoJ Decisions Could Shake Markets This Week

Fri, 11 Sep 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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A huge week lies ahead for financial markets. The Fed, Bank of England and Bank of Japan take center stage alongside key inflation and economic reports. Will rate hikes, crypto regulation developments and Middle East tensions fuel volatility? Here's everything traders need to know before the week begins.

Dollar struggles to gain ahead of US inflation data, yen extends rally

Thu, 10 Sep 2026 15:00:00 +0300

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Dollar remains subdued ahead of US inflation data. US Treasury announces smaller-than-expected buyback. BoJ hike bets are adding more fuel to the yen’s engines. Stocks pull back amid rising yields and Middle East uncertainty.

Dollar slips, yen surges as Middle East tensions escalate

Wed, 09 Sep 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Oil rally persists, as military operations in the Middle East resume. Dollar fails to benefit from risk-off; euro/dollar rises towards 1.1650. Yen gains continue, courtesy of Bessent’s commentary, but move looks stretched. Equities remain in limbo, edging lower; gold bounces off $4,400.

Yen and oil advances keep risk appetite muted

Tue, 08 Sep 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar/yen drops to 154, supported by BoJ hike bets, but move looks
stretched. Oil jumps again on ME newsflow; risk of $100 WTI oil price is
rising. Markets prepare for Thursday’s buybacks and US data. Gold
stabilizes at $4,400, bitcoin drops below $80k again.

Dollar muted despite upbeat NFP, Mideast tensions lift oil

Mon, 07 Sep 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Strong jobs report fails to boost dollar as traders look to CPI data instead. Yen stays bid, gold on the slide again. Euro steady after far-right win in Germany, ECB decision awaited. Oil edges higher as US-Iran attacks continue.

Dovish Fed bets pummel dollar, boost gold ahead of NFP

Fri, 04 Sep 2026 15:00:00 +0300

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Dollar sinks as Fed’s Waller backs September hold. Stocks, cryptos and gold rally as bond yields retreat from highs. Oil prices stay elevated amid lack of diplomacy in Middle East. All eyes now on the August jobs report.

US CPI takes center stage this week as traders look for fresh clues on the Fed’s next move, with US PPI and the ECB decision also in focus. Japan’s GDP, China’s inflation data and the US Treasury’s 30-year bond auction and larger bond buybacks are also on the radar. Gain insight into potential market direction, trading strategy considerations, risk management, and key levels to watch in this week’s market outlook.

Big Week for Markets: US CPI, ECB Decision, Japan & China Data in Focus

Fri, 04 Sep 2026 10:00:00 +0300

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Yen extends surge, Oil slips despite tensions, stocks rebound

Thu, 03 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Yen rallies after hawkish BoJ and dovish Fed remarks; Waller eyed next.
Yields slide after Fed’s Williams calms nerves, lifts stocks. Oil prices ease
back after Trump hints Iran strikes won’t last “too long”. Gold jumps as
dollar remains on the backfoot.

Further Middle East hostilities fuel dollar’s engines

Wed, 02 Sep 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rallies as US-Iran strikes lift oil and bolster Fed hike bets. Yen
rebounds as BoJ Gov. Ueda appears ready to raise interest rates. Kiwi falls
as RBNZ hikes, but appears less hawkish than expected. Wall Street and
gold tumble amid renewed inflation fears.

Dollar retreats despite elevated September Fed hike bets

Tue, 01 Sep 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar pulls back despite increasing probability of September Fed hike. Oil prices and Treasury yields rise as Middle East hostilities escalate. Yen hovers around 160 per dollar as Bessent ramps up BoJ pressure. Wall Street slips amid US-Iran tensons and rising Treasury yields.

Dollar rally takes a breather as investors digest hawkish Warsh

Mon, 31 Aug 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Warsh’s hawkish speech revives September hike expectations. Dollar
rallied on Friday as equities, gold and bitcoin retreated. Markets stabilize
today amidst a light US data calendar. Oil rises again as US-Iran military
operations cancel diplomacy push.

Stocks rise ahead of Jackson Hole, oil headed for weekly loss

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Sentiment perks up ahead of Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. Equities gain, dollar and gold steady. Yen subdued despite hot Tokyo CPI data, focus on G20 finance meeting. Oil slips as Hormuz flows rise, Iran and Oman reach deal despite US standoff.

Will NFP Trigger the Next Big Move in Stocks, Gold & Dollar?

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Get ready for one of the biggest trading weeks of September as markets focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Eurozone CPI inflation, Bank of Canada (BoC), Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), and US ISM PMI data. In this week's market outlook, we break down how these major economic events could impact the US dollar and its pairs, gold, oil, bitcoin, stocks, and Federal Reserve rate expectations.

Stay ahead of market volatility with XM's weekly analysis and discover the key risks and opportunities traders should watch in the days ahead.

Markets struggle for directions ahead of Jackson Hole

Thu, 27 Aug 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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US data and Nvidia earnings provide mixed signals for markets. Muted risk appetite persists as geopolitical concerns linger. Dollar holds weekly gains ahead of Jackson Hole and Warsh’s speech. Yen remains under pressure as investors await Tokyo CPI.

Dollar recovers as markets await PCE and Nvidia earnings

Wed, 26 Aug 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds ahead of key PCE inflation data. Loonie resumes slide as oil prices tumble. Wall Street turns cautious ahead of Nvidia earnings. Bitcoin emerges above 80k but pulls back.

Muted dollar and equity movements as investors face multiple headwinds

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Middle East tensions and US debt unease keep investors vigilant. Tariffs
return to the spotlight, while AI concerns linger ahead of Nvidia earnings.
Dollar weakness pauses, but sentiment remains bearish. Gold and bitcoin
rally as US data take centre stage.

Gold climbs amid Iran and trade uncertainties, dollar also firms

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Gold rallies even as dollar halts decline amid heightened uncertainties. Iran’s president calls for end to war ahead of new US sanctions, oil slips. US-Canada trade talks break down, loonie tumbles as trade war escalates. Treasuries await Jackson Hole and details on ‘fiscal consolidation’. Stocks struggle under weight of negative newsflow, eye Nvidia earnings.

Dollar bounces back ahead of NFP, oil jumps as Iran deal hopes fade

Fri, 07 Aug 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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September Fed hikes bets lifted by FT report ahead of July jobs report.
Dollar rebounds but gold keeps surging. Doubts linger about Hormuz deal,
oil creeps up again. Wall Street off highs but still headed for strong weekly
gains.

Week Ahead: US CPI, BoJ summary and RBA decision in focus amid ongoing Middle East tensions

Fri, 07 Aug 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Markets could see heightened volatility this week as traders focus on key US inflation data amid ongoing Middle East tensions. Additionally, we cover the Bank of Japan’s summary and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision, US CPI, PPI, and retail sales, plus UK GDP, and examine what these events could mean for interest rates, the US dollar, major currencies, and commodities. Gain insight into potential market direction and key levels to watch in this week’s market outlook.

Oil wavers amid doubts about Hormuz deal, stocks ease from record

Thu, 06 Aug 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Iran and Oman reach deal on Hormuz but final details still being worked
out. Oil prices hover around $75.00 as deal hinges on US approval. Dollar
trades sideways ahead of US payrolls report. Gold continues to edge
higher on Middle East optimism, softer dollar.

Dollar retreats as oil slump eases Fed hike bets

Wed, 05 Aug 2026 15:00:00 +0300

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US Treasury Secretary adds to hopes of imminent Hormuz deal. Dollar
slips as lower oil prices weigh on hike expectations. Yen retreats as
intervention impact fades. Stocks extend gains, gold rebounds on lower
yields.

Dollar gains amid Middle East uncertainty, Wall Street extends rally on strong earnings

Tue, 04 Aug 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds amid conflicting signals from the Middle East. Markets
await Friday’s NFP for Fed policy clues. Yen pulls back, but risks for more
intervention remain prominent. Wall Street rallies ahead of SpaceX and
AMD earnings.

Oil slumps on Iran deal hopes, yen surges, chips wobble again

Mon, 03 Aug 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump cancels Iran attacks, raises hope of deal to open Hormuz; oil
plunges. Yen extends intervention gains as joint US-Japan action raises
the stakes. US futures edge up on lower yields but Korean chip stocks drag
Asia down. Gold shrugs off yen volatility as dollar steadies.

Yen intervention sends shockwaves through FX markets

Fri, 31 Jul 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen surges after suspected Japanese intervention. BoJ keeps rates steady, signals further hikes ahead. BoE stays on hold, more members support a hike. Wall Street rebounds amid tech gains, gold stays above $4,000.

Dollar, Gold & Stocks: Why Friday's Jobs Report Could Move Markets

Fri, 31 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Get ready for a busy week in the markets! Investors will be watching key US economic data, including ISM PMIs and the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls report, alongside major earnings from Palantir, AMD, Disney and more. We'll also cover the outlook for the US dollar, gold, oil and the Canadian dollar as traders navigate Fed expectations, earnings season and geopolitical developments.

Dollar slides after Fed holds rates steady; BoE and BoJ take center stage

Thu, 30 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides after Fed decision, rebounds amid Middle East tensions. Markets assign 75% chance of a September rate hike. BoE and BoJ decisions put the pound and yen in focus. Wall Street traders keep gaze locked on earnings results.

Chip rout deepens ahead of Fed decision and hyperscaler earnings

Wed, 29 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Chip selloff accelerates amid China competition and financing fears. Rotation out of AI chips boosts Dow Jones as Mag 7 earnings eyed. Dollar softer ahead of Fed decision, gold inches higher. Oil jumps again after Iran fires at US forces.

Dollar finds support as risk appetite wanes

Tue, 28 Jul 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Risk appetite weakens ahead of the Fed and pivotal Microsoft and Meta
earnings. Nasdaq 100 index underperforms as investors shift to defensive
sectors. Oil prices ease, but geopolitical risks remain elevated. Dollar
supported by risk aversion, as investors eye a hawkish Fed stance.

Dollar slips as risk appetite improves ahead of critical market events

Mon, 27 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Oil prices dip on the lack of fresh ME attacks; hopes for fresh ceasefire talks. Risk appetite improves, with US equities rebounding after another difficult week. Investors prepare for pivotal tech earnings, the Fed meeting and key US data releases. Dollar weakens; euro/dollar tests key resistance and dollar/yen remains above 163.

Inflation fears pummel stocks as yields surge, yen tests 164

Fri, 24 Jul 2026 16:00:00 +0300

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Intensifying US-Iran war sends Brent above $100, US yields to 18-month
high. Stocks take a dive as AI jitters exacerbate the selloff. But markets
calmer today as oil pares gains, upbeat PMIs help sentiment. Yen
continues to tumble, nearly hits 164 per dollar.

Fed, BoE and BoJ decisions plus big tech earnings: What could move markets this week?

Fri, 24 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Markets face a pivotal week as major central bank decisions from the Fed, BoE, and BoJ, alongside blockbuster earnings and key economic data, take center stage. We break down the main events likely to move forex, commodities, and equity markets. Gain insight into potential market direction and the key levels to watch in this week's market outlook.

Oil rises again as Mideast tensions worsen, euro firms ahead of ECB

Thu, 23 Jul 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Conflict in Middle East continues to deepen, oil futures jump to fresh highs. Dollar softer but yen continues to feel the pressure. Euro inches higher ahead of ECB decision as hawkish risks rise. Big Tech stocks fall after Alphabet earnings but chipmakers rise.

Markets await technology earnings

Wed, 22 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Alphabet and Tesla earnings today as equity market feel wobbly. Oil prices rise as Middle East tensions persist despite mediators’ efforts. Mixed dollar performance but dollar/yen climbs to fresh record high above 163. Pound suffers under PM Burnham; gold and bitcoin pause their rallies.

Dollar caught between geopolitical risks and earnings

Tue, 21 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Middle East tensions and upcoming earnings keep risk appetite in check. Oil rally pauses as a temporary US-Iran ceasefire is in the works. Mixed dollar movements allow both gold and bitcoin to rebound. Gilt yields rise and pound trades sideways as PM Burnham seeks borrowing flexibility.

Dollar stalls even as geopolitical risks and oil rise

Mon, 20 Jul 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar fails to capitalize on Middle East tensions. Soft inflation data and easing Fed hike bets weigh. Sterling benefits from politics, yen remains weak. Stocks fall ahead of earnings, gold rebounds.

Stocks tumble as AI rout deepens; US-Iran strikes keep oil supported

Fri, 17 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Chip selloff accelerates, drags broader tech stocks lower. Oil headed for best week since April as fighting in Middle East intensifies. Risk aversion lends support to gold, dollar steady amid hawkish Fedspeak.

Tesla, Alphabet & ECB: The Biggest Market Events This Week

Fri, 17 Jul 2026 10:00:00 +0300

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Markets are gearing up for a big week! From the ECB decision and key inflation data to major tech earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, and Intel, traders have plenty to watch. Plus, oil remains volatile amid geopolitical tensions, while currencies including the euro, pound and loonie face key tests.

Chip stocks whipsaw again, pound rallies on politics, gold slips

Thu, 16 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Chip stocks face fresh selloff despite upbeat earnings by ASML and TSMC.
US dollar falls to one-month low on softer PPI as Warsh stays mum on
rates. Pound jumps on reports of who will be the UK’s next finance
minister. US carries out more strikes on Iran but oil rebound stalls, gold
skids again.

Softer US CPI supports risk appetite despite geopolitical tensions

Wed, 15 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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US dollar weakens on softer CPI, but Warsh keeps rate hikes on the table. Focus shifts to today’s PPI report after Middle East hostilities persist. US equities ignore higher oil prices, benefit from strong earnings and lower Fed hike bets. Aussie maintains gains despite weak Chinese data; loonie rally threatened by a dovish BoC.

Dollar rally pauses ahead of CPI and Fed Chair Warsh’s testimony

Tue, 14 Jul 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rally pauses even as Middle East tensions further bolster Fed hike bets. US CPI inflation data and Fed Chair Warsh’s testimony in focus. Yen falls as Japan has no immediate plans to alter pension fund strategy. Wall Street and gold slide ahead of today’s key events.

Middle East tensions fuel Fed hike bets and risk aversion

Mon, 13 Jul 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rises as US-Iran conflict increases inflation fears. Markets focus on
CPI and Fed Warsh’s testimony. Yen weakens after initial rally on Japan’s
pension fund plans. Stocks and gold fall amid escalating Middle East
hostilities.

Dollar retreat deepens as Fed hike bets ease, yen and stocks rally

Fri, 10 Jul 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar weakens as Trump’s Iran remarks ease inflation fears. US CPI next
week to reshape Fed rate expectations. Yen jumps on Japan pension fund
investment plans. Wall Street gains as AI and chip stocks rally; gold
rebounds.

Markets brace for June CPI & Warsh's congressional debut

Fri, 10 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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This video breaks down the key market drivers for the week ahead, focusing on the upcoming June CPI report and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first semi-annual congressional testimony. Markets will also digest a flurry of US data—retail sales and producer prices—as well as China’s latest quarterly GDP growth figures. Meanwhile, monetary policy takes the spotlight as the Bank of Canada is projected to hold rates unchanged. Stay ahead of the key events that could drive volatility across global markets in this week's market outlook.

Dollar slips after Fed minutes; Geopolitics keep markets on edge

Thu, 09 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar retreats as Fed minutes fail to strengthen hawkish bets. Middle East tensions keep inflation concerns elevated. Yen continues to weaken despite intervention risks. Stocks remain cautious, gold rebounds moderately.

Risk appetite stumbles as geopolitical risks resurface

Wed, 08 Jul 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Middle East tensions return to the spotlight, pushing oil prices higher. RBNZ delivers a hawkish hike, raising questions about other central banks. Fed minutes will be closely watched as September hike odds remain elevated. Risk appetite fades; the dollar stands ready to benefit.

Equity rally grows more vulnerable amid policy and valuation concerns

Tue, 07 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Major equity indices reach fresh record highs, but AI valuation concerns
linger. Fed policy remains in focus ahead of Fed minutes as light Fedspeak
persists. ECB attention shifts to September; Lagarde’s succession
speculation in the spotlight. Pound outperforms ahead of Burnham taking
office; yen gains on positive Japanese data.

Yen resumes slide as dollar edges up ahead of ISM services PMI

Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Yen back under pressure despite increased intervention risk. Dollar recoups post-NFP losses, eyes ISM services PMI and Fed minutes. Oil prices slip after OPEC+ raises output and Hormuz tap stays open. Equities steady ahead of Q2 earnings, Samsung preliminary results.

Soft jobs report pressures dollar, gold surges, stocks mixed

Fri, 03 Jul 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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US payrolls rise by less than expected, easing Fed rate hike bets. Dollar dives, giving yen a lifeline; gold’s recovery gathers steam. Stocks perk up, Dow hits record despite Nasdaq losses.

Will Hawkish Signals Boost USD and Hit Gold and Crypto?

Fri, 03 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Markets face a busy week driven by central banks and key data releases. The US ISM Services PMI and Fed Minutes could shape expectations for US rates, with potential impact on the dollar, equities, and crypto. Attention also turns to the RBNZ decision, ECB Minutes, and Canadian jobs data. Meanwhile, oil and geopolitics remain in focus, while gold struggles under a stronger dollar. Expect volatility as traders look for direction.

Yen spikes ahead of US jobs report as Warsh gives little away

Thu, 02 Jul 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed’s Warsh keeps investors guessing but cites lower inflation risks. Yen spikes higher on suspected intervention. Dollar lacks direction after mixed US data and ahead of June NFP. Oil slips further as progress seen in US- Iran talks. Chip stocks back under pressure, gold edges up.

Fed hike bets support dollar, yen falls to multi-decade low

Wed, 01 Jul 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar supported by Fed hike expectations after JOLTS data. Yen falls to 40-year low as Fed-BoJ divergence intensifies. US equities rise on strong data, gold weakens on higher yields. Oil remains indifferent to geopolitical risks.

Risk appetite holds firm as key data take centre stage

Tue, 30 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Improved risk appetite ahead of a fresh US-Iran meeting in Qatar; oil stabilizes. Month-end rebalancing flows and the first batch of US data in focus. Euro and yen underperform, partly on negative football results; pivotal German CPI print today. Dollar/yen climbs above 162, with investors questioning when Japan will intervene.

US data and Fedspeak take centre stage as dollar holds firm

Mon, 29 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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US-Iran fresh hostilities end; meeting scheduled for tomorrow as oil is little-
changed. Month-end and quarter-end rebalancing flows could amplify
volatility ahead of Thursday's US jobs report. The US dollar is supported,
while US equity indices seek direction; Fed Warsh speaks on Wednesday.
Incoming UK PM Burnham delivers key speech today, all eyes are on his
tax plans.

AI trade unravels again, dollar soft after PCE data, oil resumes slide

Fri, 26 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Apple price hike triggers renewed AI jitters; chip stocks lead slump. Oil falls back following gains from Iranian strike on Hormuz vessel. Fed rate hike bets scaled back after PCE inflation data and Fedspeak. US dollar retreats further, gold stabilizes around $4,000.

Markets brace for NFP, CPI and Fed bets

Fri, 26 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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The US Non-Farm Payrolls report arrives a day early this week, taking centre stage as traders look for fresh clues on the Fed's next move. Markets will also be watching key inflation and manufacturing data, alongside central bank commentary from the ECB's Sintra Forum. Stay ahead of the key events that could drive volatility across global markets in this week's market outlook.

Stocks bounce back, gold and oil breach key levels, dollar pauses

Thu, 25 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Micron earnings smash expectations, dispelling AI bubble fears. US futures rebound as lower oil prices further boost sentiment. Oil tests $70 a barrel amid progress in US-Iran talks. US dollar rally stalls but gold stays under pressure after breaching $4,000.

Tech rout and Fed hike bets fuel global risk aversion

Wed, 24 Jun 2026 16:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends gains amid hike bets and safe haven flows. After solid US PMIs, focus shifts to US PCE inflation. BoJ officials argued about faster hikes, pound resumes slide. Stocks tumble amid AI and semiconductor selloff.

Dollar gains on hawkish Fed, yen near 40-year low, oil slips on Iran talks

Tue, 23 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rises on hawkish Fed rate bets, awaits key data. Pound rebounds as UK political uncertainty is already absorbed. Yen to a nearly 40-year low; authorities warn but do not intervene. Oil falls on US–Iran talks; equities slip on higher Fed rate outlook.

Dollar strength persists as attention shifts to UK politics

Mon, 22 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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US, Iran agree on a 60-day roadmap; will the Strait of Hormuz reopening last? US dollar is well supported despite light Fedspeak; could euro/dollar’s bearish breakout persist? Dollar/yen climbs as investors question Japanese Finance Ministry’s intervention strategy. Light data calendar; all eyes on whether UK PM Starmer steps down today.

Hawkish Fed fuels dollar, yen and gold extend declines

Fri, 19 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends rally after hawkish Fed decision. Yen stays weak despite intervention and hawkish BoJ rhetoric. BoE remains on hold, remains in no rush to hike. Stocks rebound, futures slide, gold falls on Fed hike bets.

Dollar, Yen, Euro & Pound in Focus Ahead of Major Releases

Fri, 19 Jun 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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After a packed week of central bank decisions, markets now turn to key economic data. From Eurozone and UK PMIs to US core PCE, inflation and growth signals will guide movements across FX, stocks, gold, and crypto. Watch the yen amid BoJ expectations, tech stocks with Micron earnings. With oil and geopolitics in play, volatility is back—stay alert for trading opportunities this week.

Dollar rallies on Fed’s hawkish hold; BoE awaited

Thu, 18 Jun 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rises after Fed signals rate hike in 2026. New Chair Warsh does not submit a rate projection. BoE to stand pat; focus to fall on guidance. Stocks slide on Fed outcome, but futures rebound.

Fed Warsh’s debut monopolizes market interest

Wed, 17 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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US-Iran agreement preparations progress, but Israeli officials remain deeply dissatisfied. Lower oil prices reflect confidence in the deal, but risk assets fail to rally. Focus on Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting; could he upset expectations? Dollar/yen trades above 160; BoJ officials on edge about another intervention.

Middle East deal optimism lingers as attention shifts to the Fed

Tue, 16 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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US and Iran sign MoU but risk of last-minute drama remains elevated as Israel remains unhappy. Oil prices pause drop, while the dollar recovers most of Monday’s losses. BoJ hikes as widely expected, but dollar/yen still trades above 160; RBA pauses, aussie suffers. Attention shifts to Wednesday’s crucial Fed meeting.

Relief rally in full force as US and Iran reach deal

Mon, 15 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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US and Iran announce deal to reopen Hormuz and extend ceasefire. Oil tumbles as Hormuz blockade to end and Iran to resume exports. Dollar also retreats, but gold and cryptos surge on easing inflation fears. Stocks extend rally ahead of Fed and other major central bank meetings.

Wall Street rallies on US-Iran deal hopes, oil drops

Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump says deal with Iran is close, but Tehran denies anything is
approved. Stocks rebound sharply after tough week, but drop in oil signals
caution. Dollar retreats slightly as Fed rate hike bets pushed back. Limited
upside for gold as ECB hikes rates amid inflation risks.

How the Israel-Iran ceasefire & 4 central banks will rock markets

Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Geopolitical chaos meets a massive week of central bank decisions, and market volatility has returned. We take a look at what the Fed, BoJ, BoE, and RBA may signal next amid rising energy costs and a fragile ceasefire. Don’t miss our analysis on how these macro shifts could affect FX pairs, commodities, and the tech sector in this week’s market outlook.

Stock and gold selloff eases; ECB and US PPI eyed next

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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US-Iran strikes continue for second night but markets steadier after selloff. AI rally hit by Oracle earnings and rate expectations as ECB set to hike. US CPI data briefly calms inflation nerves, attention turns to PPI report. Oil choppy within recent range, gold recovers after dive towards $4,000.

US CPI in focus as risk appetite falters

Wed, 10 Jun 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Fresh US-Iran hostilities fail to push oil prices sustainably higher; peace deal expectations remain intact. US equity markets are under pressure despite strong SpaceX IPO demand. Today’s US CPI report could prove pivotal for Fed expectations and broader risk appetite. Dollar/yen climbs higher; can Japanese authorities keep their powder dry until the BoJ meeting?

Risk appetite faces crucial tests ahead

Tue, 09 Jun 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Markets remain mostly optimistic about a US-Iran deal despite setbacks
and the recent hostilities. US equity markets in the spotlight amidst AI
enthusiasm and the imminent SpaceX IPO. Risk appetite could be tested
by stronger US CPI data and Thursday’s ECB meeting. The yen fails to
benefit from dollar weakness and BoJ hike expectations.

Dollar rallies, stocks tumble as NFP report fuels Fed hike bets

Mon, 08 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Strong US jobs data boost dollar and Fed hike expectations. Rising Middle East tensions push oil prices higher. Gold falls as rising yields and strong dollar reduce its appeal. Wall Street tumbles, led by tech and AI stocks.

NFP awaited for direction amid Middle East stalemate

Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Fresh setback for US-Iran talks after Hezbollah rejects Lebanon ceasefire. Oil nevertheless pares some weekly gains. But AI stocks succumb to profit taking, crypto rout deepens. Dollar slips ahead of jobs report as Fed rate hike bets ease slightly.

Markets brace for US CPI, ECB Decision & SpaceX IPO

Fri, 05 Jun 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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This week is packed with high-impact events that could drive major market moves. The US CPI report may shape expectations for Fed policy and influence the dollar, while the ECB meeting could signal the start of rate hikes and support the euro. Key data from China, the UK, and the US, along with the Bank of Canada decision, add to the volatility. Meanwhile, SpaceX’s IPO, earnings, AI-driven equity momentum, and geopolitical risks could further impact markets.

Risk-off eases on Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, yen pinned near 160 level

Thu, 04 Jun 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Irael and Lebanon announce ceasefire, reviving peace hopes. But oil and dollar only marginally lower as caution prevails. Yen struggles near 160 per dollar despite Ueda’s hawkish tilt. Wall Street snaps winning streak; more losses likely as Broadcom misses guidance.

Middle East tensions lift oil and dollar, Fed hike bets intensify

Wed, 03 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains as Middle East tensions escalate. Inflation concerns intensify, Fed hike bets move forward. Dollar/yen tests 160 and pulls back amid intervention warnings. Wall Street hits record highs, gold falls back below $4,500.

Dollar pauses on peace hopes, but Fed hike bets remain intact

Tue, 02 Jun 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rises on Middle East tensions, but ceasefire news ease pressure. Markets still pricing possible Fed rate hike amid inflation risks. Dollar/yen near 160 as Katayama softens intervention tone. Wall Street hits fresh record highs, gold remains range-bound.

US NFP in focus amid ongoing US-Iran tensions

Fri, 29 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Markets are heading into a critical week as traders react to major economic data
releases and ongoing US-Iran tensions. From Eurozone inflation and Australia’s
GDP to the US ISM Services PMI and Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report, volatility
could surge across currencies, commodities, stocks, and crypto. Meanwhile,
headlines surrounding the Strait of Hormuz blockade continue to fuel uncertainty in
energy markets and global risk sentiment. Gain insight into potential market
direction, trading strategy considerations, and key levels to watch in this week’s
market outlook.

#NFP #CPI #PMI

Dollar and oil slide on US-Iran ceasefire extension

Fri, 29 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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US and Iran agree on 60-day memorandum of understanding. Oil slides on
Hormuz reopening optimism. Investors scale back Fed hike bets despite
hot PCE inflation. Wall Street at record highs, gold rebounds.

New hostilities in the Middle East weigh on truce hopes

Thu, 28 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains amid new US-Iran conflict escalation. Fed rate hike bets remain elevated ahead of US PCE data. Gold falls below $4,500, yen flirts with intervention levels. Stocks steady near highs, driven mainly by AI optimism.

Mixed risk appetite as US-Iran deal optimism builds

Wed, 27 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Markets are mostly optimistic about a US-Iran deal; bond yields drop while dollar slips. Oil prices remain sticky despite Monday’s decline; both gold and bitcoin trend lower. Rate hikes have become the central scenario for the ECB, the RBNZ and the BoJ. Dollar/yen refuses to drop; are Japanese officials postponing another intervention?

Oil jumps on fresh US strikes on Iran but stocks stay upbeat

Tue, 26 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Hopes of immediate Iran deal dashed after US " self-defence " strikes. Oil
spikes higher, US dollar advances, but US stock futures stay positive. Gold
reverses gains even as bond yields extend slide in easing inflation fears.

Risk markets rally, dollar slides on US-Iran deal hopes

Mon, 25 May 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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The imminent US-Iran deal has boosted risk assets, with oil prices declining aggressively. Despite the initial reaction, investors remain somewhat cautious as chances of disagreement remain high. Dollar weakens, but dollar/yen fails to benefit; is another BoJ intervention imminent? US markets are closed today; low liquidity could amplify reactions to Middle East newsflow.

Equities resume climb despite Iran uncertainty as oil see-saws

Fri, 22 May 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Markets await update on US-Iran talks amid progress and intransigence. Oil stays choppy in headline-driven trading but headed for weekly losses. As global inflation fears intensify, dollar stands tall, Warsh swearing in eyed. Stocks shrug off geopolitical risks as AI optimism prevails.

All Eyes on PCE as Dollar Braces for Impact

Fri, 22 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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All eyes are on the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE report, which could shift rate expectations and spark volatility across FX, stocks, and crypto. With US GDP, jobless claims, and the RBNZ decisions also on deck, markets face a wave of key catalysts. Moreover, geopolitical developments and the unfolding political drama in the United Kingdom, could further add to volatility and excitement across all asset classes.

Oil creeps up despite Iran hopes, stocks mixed after Nvidia

Thu, 21 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump says Iran talks in ‘final stages’ but investors remain nervous. Oil prices pare losses amid worries about supply and depleting inventories. Dollar regains front foot after weak May PMIs in Asia and Europe. Yen breaches 159 per dollar again despite hawkish BoJ comments.

Nvidia holds the key to the next leg in risk assets

Wed, 20 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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No light at the end of the Middle East talks tunnel; oil prices remain dangerously high. US equity markets are shielded by Nvidia earnings expectations, ignoring elevated yields. Disappointment from Nvidia results and FOMC minutes could trigger a broader correction. Dollar/yen rally pauses, pound retains yesterday’s gains.

Oil, yields and Nvidia test investors’ stamina

Tue, 19 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Middle East negotiations continue to dominate market sentiment. Elevated oil prices and Treasury yields cast a shadow over equities. A strong market decline could force Trump’s hand; could Nvidia earnings trigger it? Dollar/yen reached ¥159, fresh intervention is imminent; has the BoJ learnt its lesson?

Dollar hits 2-month high on Middle East tensions. Higher oil prices add to inflation fears and increase Fed hike bets. Yen enters intervention zone, pound weakens ahead of key data. Wall Street pulls back, gold falls below key support zone.

Dollar strengthens amid rising geopolitical risks

Mon, 18 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Markets on Edge: Fed minutes, inflation & Nvidia earnings in focus

Fri, 15 May 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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A pivotal week for global markets is ahead as investors focus on Fed meeting
minutes, inflation data, and Nvidia earnings. Key economic releases from the UK,
Canada, Japan, the Eurozone, and the US could drive volatility across currencies,
equities, and commodities. Markets will be closely watching for signs of persistent
inflation, shifting interest rate expectations, and continued strength in AI-driven
growth. Gain insight into potential market direction, trading strategy considerations, and key levels to watch in this week’s market outlook.

Dollar and oil edge up, stocks and bonds sink as inflation fears grow

Fri, 15 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Hormuz limbo lifts oil prices, fuelling inflation worries. Bond yields jump across the board on firmer rate hike expectations. Gold and stocks tumble but dollar jumps to 2½-week high. Pound leads FX losers amid twists and turns of UK politics.

Stocks hit new highs despite rising yields and Trump-Xi showdown

Thu, 14 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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AI-fuelled stock rally shows no sign of easing as Cisco latest to smash earnings. US PPI data adds to heightened inflation risks as Treasury yields jump. Trump and Xi hold talks but lack of details keeps markets in suspense. Pound finds some love from upbeat GDP data as Starmer’s woes worsen.

Hot US inflation data bolster Fed rate hike bets

Wed, 13 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rises on strong US inflation and US-Iran stalemate. Hotter-than-expected CPI bolsters Fed rate hike bets. Markets await outcomes from the Trump-Xi meeting. Tech stocks slide, gold retreats but stays above key support.

Risk appetite soft amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire

Tue, 12 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds on stalled US-Iran talks. Oil up, lifts inflation expectations and Fed hike bets. Yen volatile amid intervention talk, pound falls on UK politics. Wall Street hits fresh record highs, but futures pull back today.

Trump rejects Iran plan, risk markets remain relatively calm

Mon, 11 May 2026 15:00:00 +0300

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US President rejects fresh Iran proposal, raising risk of renewed hostilities rises. Newsflow triggers muted risk-off reaction; oil bounces higher. US equities remain buoyant ahead of key US data and Warsh’s Senate vote. Dollar/yen rises, fresh intervention likely; pound awaits Starmer’s next move.

Markets await NFP data amid Middle East uncertainty

Fri, 08 May 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds amid renewed Hormuz uncertainty. Inflation concerns reemerge ahead of nonfarm payrolls. Japan’s wage data support BoJ rate hike case. Wall Street pulls back but outlook remains bright.

A Volatile Week Ahead: CPI, the Fed Chair Vote, and Rising Geopolitical Risk

Fri, 08 May 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Traders prepare for a high‑impact week as US CPI inflation, Federal Reserve developments, and escalating geopolitical risks drive market volatility. From the Fed Chair nomination vote and key US inflation data and retail sales figures to UK GDP, we break down the crucial events shaping forex, stock, commodity, gold, and crypto markets. Gain insight into potential market direction, trading strategy considerations, risk management, and key levels to watch in this week’s market outlook.

Dollar slides as oil plunges on renewed peace hopes

Thu, 07 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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US-Iran deal hopes intensify, pushing oil off the cliff. Dollar retreats as easing inflation fears reduce Fed hike pressure. Yen jumps on intervention speculation. Wall Street rallies to record highs, gold breaks key resistance.

Dollar weakens, risk assets rally as geopolitical tensions ease

Wed, 06 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’, reopens the door to a peace agreement. Risk appetite improves further, even though oil prices remain near $100. US equity indices post fresh all-time highs; bitcoin and gold also advance. Dollar is the weakest link today as focus shifts to the ADP report.

Geopolitical tensions rise, but markets mostly keep their nerve

Tue, 05 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Heightened risk of renewed US-Iran hostilities following yesterday’s developments. Oil stabilizes and risk appetite remains supported; bitcoin climbed above $80k. RBA hikes but signals pause, pushing aussie lower. Dollar fails to rally on ME headlines; focus shifts to US prints and Fedspeak.

AI and Iran optimism supports risk appetite as earnings continue

Mon, 04 May 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump says US to escort ships trapped in Hormuz but mixed signals on talks. Wall Street at record high as stellar Apple earnings underscore optimism. Palantir, AMD and ARM will be this week’s highlights ahead of NFP report. Yen unable to extend gains despite persisting intervention risks.

Fed split pushes yen past 160, oil surges on fresh Iran fears

Thu, 30 Apr 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Three-way split at Fed livens up Powell’s last meeting, puts yen in jeopardy. Oil prices jump again as Trump signals impatience with Iran. Stagflation fears overpower equities despite bumper tech earnings. But FX markets largely calm as ECB and BoE decisions awaited.

Fragile risk sentiment ahead of Fed and key earnings

Wed, 29 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Slow progress in US-Iran talks keeps oil price elevated, unaffected by UAE’s OPEC exit. Fed meeting in focus, but all eyes are on key earnings announcements. Expectations for stellar results could trigger a sharp sell-off upon disappointment. BoC to remain in waiting mode; muted loonie reaction expected ahead of US events.

Rising oil prices dampen risk appetite

Tue, 28 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Investors grow impatient with the slow progress in US-Iran talks. Oil prices edge higher again as the Hormuz Strait remains closed, putting gold under pressure. BoJ did not surprise with a rate hike, but hawkish dissenters keep dollar/yen below 160. Focus shifts to US data calendar and 7-year US auction.

Calm before the storm as investors brace for a crucial week

Mon, 27 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Muted market movements as investors prepare for an action-packed week; oil prices hover above $95. Iran proposes a peace plan, as US-Iran talks continue, but the face-to-face meeting is still missing. Quiet calendar today ahead of several central bank meetings, data prints and earnings announcements. Warsh moves closer to taking Fed office as the judicial probe against Powell is dropped.

Dollar strength builds on Middle East tensions, yen intervention risk rises

Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends gains on renewed Middle East attacks. Oil prices surge, reinforcing inflation concerns. Yen weakens further, moving closer to intervention levels. Wall Street stays driven by geopolitics and earnings.

Middle East tensions flare up as ship attacks lift oil and strengthen dollar

Thu, 23 Apr 2026 11:00:00 +0300

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Attacks near Hormuz raise geopolitical risk and ceasefire concerns. Oil spikes toward $100 on supply fears, lifting inflation expectations. Fed rate cut bets pull back, boosting the US dollar. Stocks gain, Nasdaq hits a record, gold steady but vulnerable.

Oil shrugs off ceasefire extension as Hormuz still shut

Wed, 22 Apr 2026 16:00:00 +0300

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Trump extends ceasefire indefinitely despite Iran cancelling talks. But with Hormuz Strait remaining shut, oil prices dip only modestly. Dollar steady after Warsh hearing, gold edges higher. Pound marginally firmer on slightly hot inflation data.

Markets await US-Iran talks and Warsh testimony

Tue, 21 Apr 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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US-Iran direct talks in focus, as the two-week ceasefire is seen being extended. Markets are in anticipation mode as the probability of another failed meeting is rather high. Focus shifts to US retail sales and Warsh’s Senate testimony. The Q&A session could offer some clues on Warsh’s current monetary policy stance.

Friday’s optimism fades as Middle East uncertainty returns

Mon, 20 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Geopolitical risks remain elevated, with US-Iran talks and the ceasefire in focus. Markets reassess Friday’s exuberance as the Strait of Hormuz closes again. Dollar strengthens, oil rises, but moves are relatively measured; gold struggles again. Attention shifts to Warsh’s hearing, data releases, and Tesla earnings this week.

Focus remains on Middle East peace talks, yen slides

Fri, 17 Apr 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar and oil rebound on uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks. Yen falls as BoJ Gov. Ueda avoids hints of April rate hike. Wall Street rises at slower pace, Netflix tumbles as co-founder resigns. Gold trades quietly as traders await new Iran-related headlines.

US equities surge to new record highs, while the dollar decline pauses

Thu, 16 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Major US stock indices post new all-time highs, but is this rally masking
deeper concerns? Progress is made in US-Iran negotiations as oil
stabilizes above $90. Dollar weakness pauses, gold fails to decisively rally,
and the Dow Jones 30 index lags. Numerous central bank speakers today,
as Fed-ECB policy divergence persists.

Dollar extends slide, stocks rally as ceasefire optimism persists

Wed, 15 Apr 2026 14:00:00 +0300

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US-Iran truce hopes and PPI miss boost Fed cut bets. Dollar extends fall against all other major currencies. Yen the second biggest loser in line on reduced BoJ hike bets. Stocks reflect ceasefire optimism, gold gains some ground as well.

Risk-on momentum persists amidst US-Iran agreement hopes

Tue, 14 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Reports of fresh US-Iran talks scheduled as the former blocks the Strait of Hormuz. Both the dollar and major equity indices return to pre-Middle East crisis levels. Gold’s underperformance persists as investors are not adopting the US-Iran agreement hopes. Rich Fedspeak, packed earnings releases, and US data in the spotlight today.

Risk-on momentum fades as US-Iran ceasefire wobbles

Thu, 09 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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Two-week truce is already under threat as Israel continues its operations in Lebanon. Iran demands payment to open the Strait of Hormuz; Trump threatens new attacks. Risk-on sentiment evaporates; oil remains near $100 and gold fails to climb to $4,900. Key US data ahead, with March CPI being the highlight tomorrow.

Markets welcome Middle East ceasefire but oil signals caution

Wed, 08 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0300

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A two-week US-Iran truce has been agreed, prompting a risk-on market reaction. Dollar, oil and bond yields drop, while equities and gold rally. A sizeable risk premium is still present as the ceasefire remains fragile. Fed minutes, Fedspeak and the 10-year US bond auction are in focus.

Oil maintains steady ascent as Trump’s Iran deadline looms

Tue, 07 Apr 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Markets on edge ahead of Tuesday deadline for Iran to reopen Hormuz.
Trump doubles down on Iran ultimatum, threatens to ‘take out’ country. Oil
extends gains, dollar softer, stocks mixed.

Mood improves amid Iran ceasefire hopes and Trump threats

Mon, 06 Apr 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump warns Iran of ‘hell’ if Strait of Hormuz isn’t opened by Tuesday. But ceasefire hopes still alive on reports of US-Iran negotiations. Oil prices ease from highs, dollar softer, gold edges up. US futures steady after upbeat NFP report, PMI and inflation data eyed.

Stocks and dollar steadier as oil supply fears ease, NFP eyed

Fri, 03 Apr 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Oil futures surge ahead of long Easter weekend but ease off highs. Hopes of reopening of Hormuz help equities to halt selloff. Dollar slightly softer ahead of March jobs report, gold slips again.

Oil surges again as Trump threatens to hit Iran ‘extremely hard’

Thu, 02 Apr 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump’s address offers little reassurance apart from fresh escalation. Oil futures jump back above $100 as Trump has no plan for opening Hormuz.
Dollar also reverses higher, stocks and gold tumble as risk appetite sours.

Dollar rises even as Trump reiterates willingness to end the war

Tue, 31 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar remains strong, but investors start considering rate cuts again. Traders are more concerned about economic growth than hot inflation. Gold extends recovery as fading rate hike bets increase its appeal. S&P 500 and Nasdaq slide, stock futures point to higher open.

Dollar reign amplified by oil rebound, yen bulls wake up

Mon, 30 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends gains as the Houthis enter the conflict. WTI crude oil
rebounds and emerges back above $100 per barrel. Yen fueled by
intervention and rate hike warnings. Wall Street tumbles, but futures today
suggest small rebound.

Dollar and oil strengthen as hopes for war end fade

Fri, 27 Mar 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump extends Hormuz deadline, but prepares to send more troops. Dollar flexes its muscles as oil extends rebound. Yen intervention fears intensify as dollar/yen tests 160.00. Gold slides but finds support, Nasdaq falls more than 2%.

Rumours of a weekend ceasefire fail to inspire risk markets

Thu, 26 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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US-Iran negotiations continue, but there is still ground to cover for an
agreement. A weekend ceasefire could trigger a sharp correction in oil,
supporting equities. Oil edges higher today, while gold surrenders the last
two days’ gains. Hawkish Fedspeak and another weak US auction today
could further dent risk appetite.

Relief rally fizzles out amid doubts about US-Iran talks

Tue, 24 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Hopes raised as US and Iranian officials to hold talks in Pakistan. But oil pares losses as investors question peace efforts. Risk of further escalation still elevated; dollar rebounds but gold steady. Equities mixed as rally eases, weak PMIs weigh on risk sentiment.

Risk aversion intensifies as US and Iran exchange new threats

Mon, 23 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump threatens Iran’s power plants, Iran pledges to retaliate. Dollar
rebounds as oil rallies and reignites inflation concerns. Gold extends
collapse, yen returns to intervention zone ahead of CPI data. Wall Street
stays under pressure as Iran war rages on.

Oil cools on efforts to lift supply but rate hike bets gather pace

Fri, 20 Mar 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Oil prices retreat from week’s highs as world leaders seek to boost supply. But inflation fears persist; rate hikes become baseline, Fed not seen cutting. Dollar steadier after tumble, gold and equities pare losses.

Gold and stocks sink after hawkish Fed as oil keeps rising

Thu, 19 Mar 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Central banks on inflation alert as Fed, BoC, BoJ and SNB hold rates. BoE and ECB next to decide, as investors price in more rate hikes. Iran conflict continues to escalate, with more energy infrastructure hit. Dollar stands tall as gold and stocks take a dive.

Oil stabilization supports equities ahead of Fed and BoC meetings

Wed, 18 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Oil steadies, allowing risk appetite to improve and US equities to rally. US dollar weakens ahead of the Fed meeting; gold’s struggles persist. No Fed rate change expected; all eyes on the dot plot and press conference. BoC also meets; dollar/loonie could climb above key trendline on lack of hawkish tone.

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Tue, 17 Mar 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rally stalls but markets stay fragile ahead of central bank meetings

Tue, 17 Mar 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Oil prices rise despite reports of US-Iran communication. Gold hovers
around $5000, as equities benefit from Nvidia CEO commentary. RBA
hikes and maintains hawkish stance but split vote keeps aussie at bay.
Dollar/yen flirts with 160 as Japanese authorities consider intervention.

Markets juggle geopolitical risks and rate decisions

Mon, 16 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar stabilizes as Trump wants to open the Strait of Hormuz. Investors
anticipate only one Fed cut this year; Fed decision awaited. RBA set to
raise rates; BoC, BoJ, BoE, SNB and ECB also on this week’s agenda.
Stocks rebound on hopes of Hormuz reopening, gold fails to gain.

Stocks sink, dollar and oil extend gains as Trump warns Iran

Fri, 13 Mar 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Brent crude stays above $100 as Iran’s new leader vows to keep Hormuz shut. Hopes of quick end to war fade as Trump makes new threat against Tehran. Stock rout worsens, dollar continues to shine but gold slips. Yen steadier after fresh verbal intervention, US data awaited.

Oil spikes again despite reserves release as fighting escalates

Thu, 12 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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US and IEA release record barrels of oil but Brent crude hits $100 again. Iran continues to strike ships and oil infrastructure in the Gulf. Inflation expectations creep up as markets ignore steady US CPI data. Stocks head lower again, dollar firms, gold rangebound.

Hopes of truce fade as Middle East conflict escalates

Wed, 11 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rebounds as strikes continue despite Trump’s optimistic remarks. Investors scale back Fed rate cut bets head of US CPI data. Aussie rallies amid increasing expectations of RBA hike next week. Wall Street investors stay cautious, gold rebounds above $5,200.

Risk appetite improves as Trump says Iran war is nearly over

Tue, 10 Mar 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pulls back as Trump says Iran war is “very complete”. Oil falls
sharply, inflation fears ease, investors add to rate cut bets. Wall Street
cheers Trump’s remarks, but downside risks remain. Gold rebounds as
well, ready to flirt with key $5,200 zone.

Oil jump puts risk assets under pressure

Mon, 09 Mar 2026 11:00:00 +0200

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Oil price rise scares both investors and the US administration. Dollar rally pauses, while gold’s inability to climb is surprising. Asian equity indices plunge, as European underperformance persists. Dollar/yen reached intervention levels; quiet data calendar today.

US NFP report awaited amid Iran war

Fri, 06 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rebounds as Middle East war rages. Nonfarm payrolls on tap as
investors scale back Fed cut bets. WTI crude rallies above $80 per barrel,
gold remains subdued. Wall Street slips as risk aversion intensifies.

Dollar rebounds as Iran war enters sixth day

Thu, 05 Mar 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pulled back on Wednesday on NYT report. Rebounds on Thursday as Iran strikes Israel.Investors further scale back Fed cut bets on inflation concerns. Oil extends gains, gold rebounds, Wall Street shows resilience.

Dollar takes a breather while oil ignores Trump proposal

Wed, 04 Mar 2026 15:00:00 +0200

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Middle East newsflow monopolizes market moves; oil rally persists. Dollar rally pauses, potentially opening the door to a small risk-on reaction. Gold volatility spikes after $380 swing, as buyers enter at the $5,000 level. Key US data release today; dollar/yen rally pauses despite BoJ Ueda’s rhetoric.

Dollar gains as risk-off reaction deepens

Tue, 03 Mar 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Risk appetite takes another hit; dollar rally gathers pace. Strangely, gold
drops and US yields rise, as investors prefer to remain liquid. Worries
about a prolonged military operation intensify; European equities suffer.
Rich Fedspeak today, but all eyes remain on oil price action.

Oil soars as Iran conflict escalates, gold and dollar up too

Mon, 02 Mar 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump orders attack on Iran as Middle East descends into chaos. Oil shoots higher despite OPEC+ increasing output more than expected. Investors flock to gold, dollar and Swiss franc for safety as stocks tumble.

AI stocks wobble again, gold softer amid US-Iran progress

Fri, 27 Feb 2026 15:00:00 +0200

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Nvidia pulls US indices lower but AI rout limited to Wall Street. US and Iran make progress in nuclear talks. But lack of breakthrough keeps gold and oil supported. Pound skids but later steadies after Labour loses UK by-election.

Nvidia delivers but risk rally fails to take off; Yen catches a bid

Thu, 26 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Equities mixed despite stellar Nvidia earnings as AI doubts persist. Tariff uncertainty, hawkish Fed and BoJ could also be dragging on sentiment. Dollar marginally weaker as yen recovers from lows. Gold and oil edge up ahead of fresh US-Iran nuclear talks.

Risk appetite rebounds as markets eye Nvidia earnings

Wed, 25 Feb 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Improved risk appetite pushes stocks higher. Focus shifts to Nvidia earnings after US markets close. Trump highlights diplomacy as the main way out of the US-Iran crisis. Gold and oil maintain recent gains; dollar whipsaws.

President Trump holds the key to market direction

Tue, 24 Feb 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Uncertainty weighs on risk appetite; crypto winter persists. Stocks try to find
their footing ahead of Wednesday’s Nvidia earnings. Trump’s State of the
Union in focus as reports point to an imminent strike on Iran. Dollar’s rally
pauses; gold and oil consolidate after gains.

Dollar stands tall ahead of US data amid Iran tensions

Fri, 20 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Tensions continue to build over Iran as Trump sets deadline for nuclear
deal. Dollar climbs to one-month peak, eyes US GDP and PCE inflation
data. Oil surges to 6-month high but gold can barely grip onto $5,000
handle. Yen flounders again, equities trade mixed.

Gold gains on Iran war fears, dollar lifted by hawkish Fed minutes

Thu, 19 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Gold and oil jump amid fears US will attack Iran even as nuclear talks
progress. Dollar climbs to two-week high as Fed minutes confirm hawkish
tilt. Wall Street edges higher on easing AI fears, Walmart earnings eyed.
Aussie and kiwi outperform on rate hike bets.

Fed meeting minutes enter investors’ radar

Wed, 18 Feb 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed minutes awaited as traders expect more than two Fed cuts this year. Yen slips, pound trades indecisively after CPIs, kiwi falls after RBNZ. Wall Street recovers on tech rebound, progress in US-Iran talks.

Dollar extends rebound even as Fed cut bets grow

Tue, 17 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Investors expect 65bps worth of Fed cuts for 2026. FOMC meeting minutes and Q4 GDP data awaited. Yen recovers some GDP-related losses, aussie and pound slip. Wall Street set to open lower, gold extends pullback.

Thin liquidity Monday, ahead of a packed event calendar

Mon, 16 Feb 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Slow start to the week; China and the US on holiday today. Busy event calendar ahead, with a potential Supreme Court decision on Friday. US equity weakness in the spotlight; dollar benefits from lingering ‘risk off’ sentiment. Dollar/yen slide pauses; Japanese sovereign yields drop after weak GDP report.

Dollar traders lock gaze on US CPI data

Fri, 13 Feb 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Investors still expect more than two Fed rate cuts this year. US
CPI data on today’s agenda could further boost US dollar. PM Takaichi’s
advisor says a March BoJ hike seems premature. Wall Street tumbles on
tech-selloff, gold pulls back.

Dollar gains as strong NFP weighs on Fed cut bets

Thu, 12 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Nonfarm payrolls increase by nearly double the forecast. Dollar gains as
investors scale back their Fed rate cut bets. Yen extends rally on
intervention worries, Aussie rallies on RBA hawkishness. Wall Street pulls
back after NFP, gold shrugs off dollar strength.

Mixed risk appetite ahead of pivotal NFP

Wed, 11 Feb 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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US equities and cryptos reverse Monday’s gains. Focus shifts to nonfarm payrolls after weak US retail sales. A 70k NFP increase is forecast, but speculation is rife about a weaker print. Dollar/yen slide persists; greenback is weak even against the troubled pound.

Wall Street extends gains but gold slips as dollar firms ahead of data

Tue, 10 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Stocks climb as AI panic eases; Dow and Nikkei hit new records. Dollar
halts decline as investors await first of trifecta of US data this week. Gold’s
rebound pauses while Bitcoin hits wall at $70,000. Pound softer as UK
yields fall back as Starmer safe for now.

FX market steals the spotlight as risk rally pauses

Mon, 09 Feb 2026 11:00:00 +0200

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Friday’s rally in both equities and cryptos may be tested today. Japanese PM Takaichi scores an impressive win; verbal interventions boost the yen. Dollar on the back foot, also due to a Chinese directive about US Treasuries. Pound remains under pressure as political crisis deepens.

Stocks continue to bleed but gold and cryptos steadier

Fri, 06 Feb 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Worries about AI spending and disruption continue to weigh on stocks. But precious metals and Bitcoin come off lows. Soft US jobs data boost rate cut bets but dollar supported by market turmoil. Yen finds some footing ahead of elections, BoE and ECB hold rates.

Fragile US equity markets weigh on risk appetite

Thu, 05 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Equities and cryptos on the back foot. US technology stock underperformance lingers. Dollar rally pauses; focus shifts to ECB and BoE meetings. Pound under pressure as political crisis deepens.

Tech stocks wobble again, gold reclaims $5,000, Bitcoin sinks

Wed, 04 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Tech stocks tumble amid fears of AI disruption to software companies. Gold benefits from tech jitters, soars back above $5,000; Bitcoin hits new low. Yen remains pressured despite softer dollar, US data eyed as NFP delayed. Oil jumps after US shoots down Iranian drone.

Dollar rally falters on shutdown risk

Tue, 03 Feb 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Equities and gold gain while dollar’s rally pauses. US partial government
shutdown in focus, Friday’s NFP is delayed. Aussie benefits from hawkish
RBA meeting; more hikes on the cards. Yen remains on the back foot,
focus firmly on Sunday’s election.

Gold’s bloodbath deepens amid forced deleveraging

Mon, 02 Feb 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Gold and silver collapse on Warsh’s nomination and forced exit. Dollar rebounds ahead of NFP report; RBA decision on tap. Yen resumes slide ahead of key Sunday election. Wall Street pulls back, oil tumbles on US-Iran deescalation.

Gold sinks, dollar climbs on rumours about Trump’s Fed pick

Fri, 30 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump is expected to announce new Fed chair nomination today. Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is reported to be surprise pick. Gold skids, dollar jumps as Warsh not seen as dovish as other contenders. Stocks steadier on Apple earnings following volatile session on Wall Street.

Dollar stays pressured despite Fed’s hawkish hold, gold surges again

Thu, 29 Jan 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Fed holds rates, citing improving economic outlook, but dollar little
changed. Gold leads ongoing rally in commodities amid Iran tensions. S&P
500 tops 7,000 but AI spending spree limits gains from tech earnings beats.

Explore the AI Trading Revolution Happening in 2026 – XM Live Education

Thu, 29 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Elevate your trading with 60+ live shows! Watch XM Live Education, Monday to Friday, from 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time) / 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) 👉 https://bit.ly/3V7UApZ.

AI in trading – a bubble or a tool? 🗣️ Join our exclusive interview with Marios Hadjikyriacos, XM's expert in AI and market intelligence, as he shares his insights on AI’s potential and flaws. 🧐 Timestamps below! ⬇️

00:00 Introduction
02:02 The "Hot Theme" of AI and the next revolution
02:52 Marios's background and role at XM
03:39 Marios's start at XM as an Investment Analyst and combining Technicals with Fundamentals
05:15 Discussion of the CFA Qualification and career shift to Product Management
06:04 Marios's current role in Product Management focusing on integrating AI
07:35 Discussion of the CFA and the value of knowing what you don't know
09:02 The importance of awareness in trading and dealing with uncertainty
09:21 Chapters of the CFA program, becoming a jack of all trades, and specialization
11:14 Explaining complex concepts simply
14:21 Is AI a bubble? - AI is a tool and tips for using chatbots effectively
17:52 Arguments against AI being a bubble (Valuations, hype vs. established companies, profit-financing)
23:27 The Influence of social media and non-leveraged market
24:02 The difficulty of timing bubbles
28:12 Comparing the internet revolution to AI adoption and current flaws of AI
30:19 The economics of the AI industry and XM's platform redesign
31:12 The new trading experience platform overview and features
34:33 Future potential of the AI assistant

XM Live Education Host: Gil Paz.

Risk Warning

Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.
XM Global Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Belize.

Trump appears content with dollar’s slide, Fed decision looms

Wed, 28 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar falls sharply as Trump says he is not concerned with the slide. Fed expected to remain on hold, focus to fall on forward guidance. Yen rallies as intervention risk remains elevated. Stocks await Fed decision and earnings, gold hits new record high.

Markets remain on edge amidst key risk events

Tue, 27 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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A plethora of market issues overshadow risk appetite, keeping gold bid. Equity markets prepare for this week’s key earnings. The dollar tries to find its footing, but tariff talk hinders its recovery. Dollar/yen stabilizes; will the April 2024 price action repeat?

Yen rallies as intervention risk mounts, dollar plummets

Mon, 26 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Speculation of US-Japan coordinated intervention boosts the yen. Dollar traders add to shorts ahead of Fed meeting, Trump’s Fed Chair pick. Stocks trade mixed ahead of key earnings from tech giants. Gold hits fresh record high, oil rebounds on fresh US sanctions on Iran.

Risk appetite stays strong, yen rallies on suspected intervention

Fri, 23 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar resumes slide as investors choose better alternatives. BoJ stays on
hold, upgrades projections, but disappoints yen bulls. Yen rallies later due
to potential intervention call by Japan’s MoF. Wall Street extends gains,
gold climbs to fresh record high.

Dollar and stocks rebound as Trump drops Greenland threats

Thu, 22 Jan 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Trump rules out military action over Greenland, drops tariffs. Dollar rebounds, risk-linked aussie and kiwi rally. Yen falls as BoJ commences two-day monetary policy meeting. Wall Street rebounds, gold retreats after hitting new record high.

Risk appetite hangs in the balance amidst Trump’s speech

Wed, 21 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Risk asset recovery attempt hinges on Trump’s speech and the US Treasury 20-year auction. A conciliatory tone from Trump might please markets but will Europeans be satisfied? US Supreme Court to hear arguments on the Fed’s Cook firing today. Japanese bond yields drop; Could the BoJ restart its aggressive bond purchases?

Dollar slumps, gold breaks $4,700, as Greenland row rumbles on

Tue, 20 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump reiterates demands for Greenland ahead of discussions in Davos. Dollar’s woes worsen but gold and silver surge to new record highs. Equities slide but losses contained for now, Netflix earnings eyed. Takaichi sets February 8 election date, Japanese bonds sink.

Risk appetite dives on Trump rhetoric

Mon, 19 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump’s tariff threat pushes risk assets lower and gold higher. EU retaliation is on the cards, the dollar feels the brunt. US bank holiday today, focus shifts to the WEF in Switzerland. Japanese bond yields disapprove of the anticipated snap elections.

Markets look past geopolitics as risk appetite improves

Fri, 16 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Improved equity performance due to AI and earnings. Gold and oil stabilize, but the risk of a US military action remains elevated. FX and equity volatility are low, ignoring geopolitics and the Trump-Powell spat. Japan edges closer to an actual intervention; markets are still not convinced.

Commodities slide as geopolitical fears ease but Wall Street slips

Thu, 15 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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Gold and silver pull back from records after Trump holds off from attacking
Iran. Oil also tumbles, but Greenland remains a concern. Stocks mixed
after Wall Street closes in the red on disappointing bank earnings. Dollar
slightly firmer, yen finds some support.

Risk appetite remains fragile amid geopolitics and Trump rhetoric

Wed, 14 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Commodities in the spotlight; gold and silver print fresh all-time highs. Oil climb stops, as Trump “likes the price of oil at $53 a barrel”. Dollar rally pauses; focus shifts to a busy Fedspeak and data calendar. Japanese bond yields surge, dollar/yen reaches intervention zone.

Dollar caught between geopolitics and US inflation

Tue, 13 Jan 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Geopolitics drives markets; oil tests $60, gold hovers around $4,600. Dollar
reacts to Monday’s weakness, NY Fed Williams defends Chair Powell. US
CPI in focus; a softer print could prove market-moving. Dollar/yen climbs,
verbal interventions intensify; all eyes on 160.

Dollar slips as Fed Chair Powell is threatened with criminal charges

Mon, 12 Jan 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Dollar gains after not-so-bad US employment report. Pulls back after US prosecutors open criminal probe against Powell. Yen slides following reports of snap election in Japan. Stock futures retreat, gold hits new record high, oil rises.

Market participants lock gaze on NFP report

Fri, 09 Jan 2026 14:00:00 +0200

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Dollar gains ahead of official US employment report. Signs of a healing
labor market could weigh on Fed rate cut bets. Yen approaches yearly
lows, could spark new intervention warnings. Wall Street mixed ahead of
NFP, Oil rebounds on Iranian tensions.

Dollar remains strong after mixed US data

Thu, 08 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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ADP and job openings miss but ISM non-mfg PMI improves. Dollar gains more ground ahead of Friday’s nonfarm payrolls. Yen flat amid wages slowdown and China-Japan spat. Wall Street pulls back on Venezuela headlines; oil extends slide.

Dollar awaits key data; euro slides, aussie at 15-mth high

Wed, 07 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0200

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ADP, ISM non-mfg PMI, and job openings enter the spotlight. German and French CPI data weigh on the euro. Aussie extends uptrend as sticky inflation fuels hike bets. Wall Street climbs at record highs, oil tumbles after Maduro’s arrest.

Dollar steady as geopolitics dominate headlines

Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0200

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Venezuela events weigh on oil but boost gold. Dollar starts the new year in good mood, cryptos show signs of life. ISM manufacturing survey kicks off a data-busy week. Fedspeak to intensify ahead of Friday’s NFP release.

Dollar steady after CPI data, yen tumbles after BoJ hikes rates

Fri, 19 Dec 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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US inflation slows notably, corroborating dovish Fed cut bets. Dollar holds steady as data may be distorted by US shutdown. BoE lowers rates, signals slower reductions ahead; ECB stands pat. Yen tumbles as traders sought clearer clues about BoJ’s next moves.

Risk assets struggle ahead of US CPI and central bank decisions

Thu, 18 Dec 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US stocks and cryptos remain under pressure, as gold hovers near record highs. US inflation report in the spotlight; could it surprise like Wednesday’s UK CPI? BoE to cut rates today; voting results to dictate market reaction. ECB to keep rates steady once again; press conference might spark market volatility.

Investors maintain dovish Fed bets after NFP report

Wed, 17 Dec 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Nonfarm payrolls beat estimates, but October figure disappoints. Investors still expect more than one rate cut in 2026. Pound slides as UK inflation slowdown bolsters dovish BoE bets. Wall Street trades mixed, oil rebounds on Trump’s Venezuela blockade.

Stocks slip again, yen gains traction ahead of NFP and BoJ

Tue, 16 Dec 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street slides for second day as NFP and other key data awaited. Dollar mixed ahead of key events, risk-off and BoJ hike bets boost yen. Oil down on Ukraine peace hopes, gold eases from highs.

Santa Rally on hold as risk sentiment struggles

Mon, 15 Dec 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Risk markets are still trying to find their footing after the Fed rate cut. Crypto pressure lingers while gold climbs towards its all-time high. Dollar under pressure; spotlight on incoming US data and Fedspeak. Anticipated BoJ rate hike stands out this week; hawkish rhetoric on the cards?

Stocks perk up on Fed optimism, metals jump as dollar struggles

Fri, 12 Dec 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street and global stocks hit record despite tech’s AI woes. Dollar set
for third weekly loss as markets brush off Fed’s hawkish dot plot. BoJ rate
hike bets unable to lift yen, pound lags after poor UK data. Copper and
precious metals shine, oil up on Venezuela tensions.

Risk appetite fades as Fed decision looms

Thu, 11 Dec 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Market anxiety rises as investors try to second guess tomorrow’s Fed outcome. Mixed risk appetite; both equities and cryptos come under pressure. Hawkish pause from the RBA; aussie/dollar posts uninspiring climb. Both gold and oil decline, experiencing low volatility.

Fed set to cut rates, focus to fall on the dots

Wed, 10 Dec 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar trades mixed ahead of Fed’s widely anticipated rate cut. Data prompts investors to scale back rate cut bets for 2026. BoC to stand pat; upbeat data allow for hawkish message. Wall Street awaits Fed decision, oil slides on Ukraine peace headlines.

Risk appetite fades as Fed decision looms

Tue, 09 Dec 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Markets in cautious mode as Fed meeting is in sight

Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Investors mostly on the sidelines; countdown to Wednesday’s Fed meeting is almost over. Fragile risk appetite; cryptos start the week on the right foot. RBA meets on Tuesday; Aussie/dollar continues to climb. Oil and gold are rangebound; slow progress in Ukraine-Russia negotiations.

US PCE data in focus ahead of next week’s Fed decision

Fri, 05 Dec 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar resumes slide ahead of shutdown-delayed PCE inflation data. Yen
extends recovery as probability of December BoJ hike surges. Aussie gains
as RBA seen keeping rates on hold through 2026. Stocks extend recovery
as markets eye Fed rate cuts, gold rebounds.

Dollar falls as US data corroborates dovish Fed outlook

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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ADP reveals that US private sector lost 32k jobs in November. Dollar slides
as December Fed cut chance remains elevated. Pound rallies on upwardly
revised S&P Global Composite PMI. Stocks rise on Fed cut bets, gold
remains in corrective mode.

US data takes centre stage as cautious market mood persists

Wed, 03 Dec 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Fragile risk appetite, despite cryptos showing signs of life. Strong Fed cut expectations as key US data in the spotlight today. Dollar weakness lingers, dollar/yen decline stabilizes. Oil and gold in anticipation mode; US-Russia negotiations hit a speed bump.

Dollar stabilizes on ISM mfg. PMI, yen resumes slide

Tue, 02 Dec 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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ISM mfg slides but prices subindex rebounds. Dollar stabilizes as
December rate cut chance slips somewhat. Yen retreats as JGB auction
draws solid demand. Wall Street pulls back, gold eases after hitting
resistance at $4,270.

Markets in cautious mode as cryptos tumble

Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Risk appetite tested as countdown to Fed meeting commences. Cryptos crash, erasing last week’s solid gains. Fed blackout period in place, focus shifts to US data releases. Oil and gold rally, as dollar loses ground across the board.

Dollar trades quietly but headed for worst week since July

Fri, 28 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Increasing bets of December Fed rate cut weigh on the dollar. Yen traders remain worried about potential intervention. Pound erases some of the Budget-related gains. Oil rebounds as Russia remains skeptical about a peace deal.

Week Ahead: US data to stay in the limelight as Fed bets gather pace

Fri, 28 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Flurry of US data to test dovish Fed expectations as next meeting looms. ISM PMIs, ADP employment and PCE inflation may yet upset rate cut hopes. Eurozone CPI, Australian GDP, Canadian employment also on tap.

Thin liquidity might threaten the current risk-on sentiment

Thu, 27 Nov 2025 17:00:00 +0200

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Low liquidity session ahead due to the US Thanksgiving holiday. History
points to a strong equity rally post-Thanksgiving. Equities post decent gains
this week, also pulling cryptos higher. Gold rally pauses, oil awaits peace
talks progress; dollar/yen stabilizes.

Dollar slides as December Fed cut becomes more likely

Wed, 26 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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US PPI and retail sales data push December rate cut odds up
to 76%. Pound traders eagerly awaiting the UK Autumn budget
announcement. Yen on intervention watch; Kiwi rallies as RBNZ signals no
more cuts. Wall Street celebrates dovish Fed bets, oil slides on Ukraine
deal.

Dovish Fedspeak lifts risk markets but the dollar remains unresponsive

Tue, 25 Nov 2025 15:00:00 +0200

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The lack of November data and light Fedspeak could challenge risk appetite. Holiday-shortened week comes into play as liquidity dries up. Muted movement in FX space; dollar-yen rally has paused. Gold
and oil await developments on the Ukraine-Russia front.

Fed rate cut bets get a boost, but risk appetite only mildly lifted

Mon, 24 Nov 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Fed’s Williams indicates rate cut still on the cards in
December. Dollar slightly softer except against yen, which tests
policymakers’ patience. Wall Street stages unconvincing rebound, cryptos
also not out of the woods. Gold lacks direction, oil pressured by US push
for Ukraine peace plan.

US jobs data paint mixed picture, Katayama talks intervention

Fri, 21 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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NFP beats estimates, but unemployment rate rises. Dollar retreats as Dec.
Fed cut chance increases slightly. Yen rebounds after Katayama mentions
possibility of intervention. Wall Street slips as Fed officials worry about
asset valuations.

Week Ahead: Could US data revive risk appetite amidst a low liquidity week?

Fri, 21 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Risk assets sell off on AI valuation concerns and hawkish Fedspeak. US data in focus amidst a holiday-shortened week with low liquidity available. Dollar weakness hinges on improved risk appetite and weak data releases. Intervention risk heightens for yen; pound traders await Wednesday’s Budget.

Dollar gains ahead of shutdown-delayed NFP, yen slumps

Thu, 20 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed minutes weigh on December Fed rate cut chance. Traders lock gaze
on September US jobs data. Yen extends losses as intervention seems
less imminent. Wall Street cheers Nvidia’s earnings results.

Caution prevails ahead of Nvidia earnings, dollar and gold climb

Wed, 19 Nov 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Equities steadier after Wall Street bloodbath; all eyes on Nvidia. Gold on firmer footing but cryptos slide again. Dollar at one-week high ahead of Fed minutes. Pound slips marginally after CPI data, soaring Japanese yields pressure yen.

Risk markets struggle as focus shifts to US data and Nvidia earnings

Tue, 18 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Stocks’ sell-off continues, cryptos feel the brunt while gold also suffers. Dented December Fed rate cut expectations play a key role. Nvidia earnings and data releases could turn the tide around. Yen remains under pressure amidst stimulus talks.

Markets await September NFP after Fed hawks spook markets

Mon, 17 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar edges up as delayed NFP and other US data set to start rolling in. Gold battered by waning Fed rate cut expectations. Jump in UK and Japanese yields also causes angst. But some relief for equities and cryptos from easing US tariffs.

Stocks slip, dollar weakens as investors grow uneasy about US outlook

Fri, 14 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US stocks sell off, led by the Nasdaq 100 index and discretionary shares. Cryptos under severe pressure, Bitcoin drops below the key $100k level. Hawkish Fedspeak and dented Fed cut expectations among the drivers. Dollar/yen stabilizes as pound suffers from political instability.

Week Ahead: US data schedule awaited; Fed minutes, CPI & flash PMI data on tap

Fri, 14 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Japan and the UK to publish CPI data, but not the US. US October jobs and inflation reports may never get released. New release schedule likely; FOMC minutes eyed in meantime. Flash PMIs to be watched amid renewed economic worries.

US dollar weakens as markets await restart of US data releases

Thu, 13 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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US shutdown ends, investors prepare for a flurry of delayed data. Fedspeak remains hawkish; US administration craves rate cuts. Euro/dollar climbs to 1.1600; cable and dollar/yen stabilize. Equities and gold rally, but risk sentiment appears fragile.

Yen intervention risk rises, US jobs concerns intensify

Wed, 12 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Japan’s Katayama highlights negative impact of weak yen. US labor market
concerns increase chance of December Fed cut. Soft UK jobs report takes
BoE rate cut probability higher. Stock futures rise; gold extends rebound
despite broader optimism.

Tech rebound starts to fade as US-China truce tested

Tue, 11 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street bounces back as shutdown could end by Wednesday. But fresh
jitters as China considers new rare earth export curbs. Pound slips after
jobs data, yen remains under pressure.

Investors cheer potential end to US government shutdown

Mon, 10 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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G10 FX performance points to increased risk appetite. US Senate advances a bill to fund government until January 30. Wall Street futures gain on prospect of US gov. reopening. Gold rebounds strongly, perhaps on catch-up response.

Week Ahead: Strong dollar, UK GDP and AU jobs data in focus

Fri, 07 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar remains strong on hawkish Fed rate cut bets. UK data could impact December BoE rate cut chances. Decent AU jobs report could reduce the need of another RBA cut. Chinese data, EZ GDP and EU forecasts also on the agenda.

Risk markets struggle on lack of bullish catalysts

Fri, 07 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US equities seek direction amidst mixed newsflow. Hawkish Fedspeak, light data calendar and the US shutdown dent risk appetite. Cryptos under heavy pressure; gold struggles to rally above $4,000. Pound gains despite dovish BoE but outlook remains clouded.

Markets buoyed by US data; equities rebound, dollar slips

Thu, 06 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US jobs and PMI data ease growth concerns, boosting sentiment. Wall Street indices close higher but stay cautious. Yields jump as Fed rate cut bets pared back, yet dollar retreats. Pound extends recovery ahead of BoE decision.

Gold plummets on profit taking

Wed, 05 Nov 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Risk aversion mounts amid increasing doubts about AI valuations. Nasdaq
leads the declines on Wall Street, Nikkei tumbles 2.5%. Gold and yen
attract safe-haven bids but panic may already be easing.

Risk sentiment falters, dollar fails to materially capitalize

Tue, 04 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Equities in a sour mood, led lower by tumbling cryptocurrencies. Fedspeak
and a thin US data calendar in focus. US dollar and gold yet to benefit from
market nervousness. RBA stands pat; aussie falls victim to the broader
risk-off sentiment.

Dollar traders lock gaze on private data

Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends gains following hawkish Fed decision. Amid ongoing US shutdown, ADP and ISM reports enter the spotlight. Yen and pound stay wounded due to dovish BoJ and BoE bets. Stocks gain, gold rebounds, oil opens with positive gap on OPEC decision.

Dollar at 3-month high, mixed earnings cap Wall Street gains

Fri, 31 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Dollar to end week on strong footing after Fed’s hawkish cut. Pound and
yen lead the declines, euro steadies after ECB. Wall Street slips on mixed
earnings but likely to rebound.

Week Ahead: With the treats potentially over, is risk sentiment about to be tricked?

Fri, 31 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Risk appetite has not fully enjoyed the treats of a Fed rate cut, strong earnings and trade peace. Fedspeak, the US Supreme Court and US data could challenge the dollar’s current strength. Aussie and pound are on divergent paths as respective central banks meet next week. The battle for $4,000 gold persists.

Fed’s Powell says December cut is not a done deal

Thu, 30 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed cuts interest rates, Powell pushes back on December cut bets. Yen falls as BoJ stands pat, highlights risks to economic outlook. ECB expected to remain on hold as traders believe the job is done. Wall Street hits record highs, futures flat after Trump-Xi deal.

Stocks at new records ahead of Fed, tech earnings; yen off highs

Wed, 29 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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US-China trade deal hopes and AI buzz lift global stocks to new highs. Fed
also in the spotlight amid divisions, gold rebounds ahead of decision. BoC
to likely cut as Trump halts trade talks. Dollar firms as yen’s bounce
sputters, pound skids again but aussie rallies

Risk appetite improves on US-China trade deal optimism

Mon, 27 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street jumps to record highs on US CPI miss, solid earnings. Asian equities and stock futures gain on hopes of US-China trade deal. Spotlight turns on Trump-Xi meeting, central banks and tech earnings. Risk-linked currencies gain, gold pulls back on safe-haven outflows.

Kim Ann Curtin on Trading With Emotions in Check – Trader Talks #13 – XM Live Education

Mon, 27 Oct 2025 10:00:00 +0200

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Elevate your trading with 60+ live shows! Watch XM Live Education, Monday to Friday, from 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time) / 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) 👉 https://bit.ly/3V7UApZ.

🗣️ Kim Ann Curtin – a decorated Wall Street coach and host of 'The Wall Street Coach Podcast' – will share her insights on the optimal trading psychology. Timestamps below! ⬇️

1:15 Difference between intuition and feelings
4:11 Are women the better traders?
11:12 The psychological balance between humility and confidence
14:02 Is my sense of value tied to making mistakes
16:13 Looking for patterns tied to taking opportunities
22:25 Noticing your emotional motives
24:06 Seek 'oxygen' outside of trading
26:55 The Key is understanding your basic needs
30:52 Identify the need behind the urge to trade before confirmation
32:23 Put in place boundaries
35:24 How to psychologically let go of a trade
42:33 The physiology of losing a trade
46:39 For men value is tied to providing
50:09 Reward what you can control
52:00 The 5 Practises

XM Live Education Host: Gil Paz.

Risk Warning:

Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply. XM Global Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Belize.

Kim Ann Curtin on Trading, Traders, and Trading Coaches – Trader Talks #13 – XM Live Education

Mon, 27 Oct 2025 09:00:00 +0200

Send us Fan Mail

Elevate your trading with 60+ live shows! Watch XM Live Education, Monday to Friday, from 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time) / 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) 👉 https://bit.ly/3V7UApZ.

🗣️ Don’t miss this exclusive interview with Kim Ann Curtin, Wall Street coach and host of 'The Wall Street Coach Podcast'. 🧐 Explore her approach – from the catalyst of trading success to the importance of self-reflection. Timestamps below! ⬇️

2:07 Trading and psychology
3:00 Traders as entrepreneurs
3:48 "The Wall Street Coach"
7:45 Before and after the financial crisis
9:39 Retail trading vs Institutional trading
12:47 What brings success in trading
14:32 A day in the life of an institutional trader
22:07 Why traders need a coach
25:28 Importance of self-inquiry
26:02 The meaning of and our relationship with money
30:14 Can we change our perception of money
35:27 The influence of the Schooling system
39:57 A common turning point in coaching
43:47 Significance of self-reflection
46:53 How long can you be a trader - Does intuition play a role?

XM Live Education Host: Gil Paz.

Risk Warning:

Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply. XM Global Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Belize.

Investors lock gaze on US inflation data

Fri, 24 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Investors maintain more dovish view on rates than the Fed. Accelerating inflation could change that and help the dollar. Pound, yen extend their slides, euro rebounds on improving PMIs. Wall Street gains as White House confirms Trump-Xi meeting.

Week Ahead: Central bank bonanza awaits jittery markets

Fri, 24 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Fed to highlight busy week for central bank decisions. BoC expected to cut too, ECB and BoJ to likely stand pat. US government shutdown to delay more crucial US data.

Renewed tensions keep risk appetite under wraps

Thu, 23 Oct 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Sanctions and tariffs are back in the spotlight. Risk markets retreat as sentiment softens. Gold struggles to recover; oil jumps, flirts with $61 level. Dollar remains bid; yen suffering might have legs.

Gold plummets on profit taking

Wed, 22 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Gold drops as traders decide to lock profit ahead of US CPI data. Yen falls
as Takaichi becomes Japan’s next Prime Minister. Pound slides as well
after weaker than expected inflation. Wall Street participants digest
earnings results.

Dollar advances as markets remain cautious

Tue, 21 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends gains as US equity futures turn slightly lower. Trump’s tariff rhetoric fails to dent investor confidence. Gold retreats after fresh all-time high; oil weakness persists. Yen resumes its underperformance after Takaichi is elected as PM.

Dollar and stocks bounce back on easing trade tensions, gold slips

Mon, 20 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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US and China tone down war of words over trade, seek to defuse latest row. Dollar recovers from lows, equities resume rally, gold takes a tumble. Yen slides on LDP coalition deal but hawkish BoJ remarks limit losses. Tech earnings and delayed CPI report on investors’ radar this week.

US bank woes hit equities, dollar sinks too as gold soars again

Fri, 17 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Global equities tumble amid fresh credit concerns for US regional banks.
Dollar deepens losses as yen and franc rally. Cryptos also plummet but
gold and silver hit new records. Investors ramp up Fed rate cut bets,
pushing yields lower.

Week Ahead: CPI and PMI data flood the agenda, earnings also in focus

Fri, 17 Oct 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US CPI and PMI data to test dovish Fed cut bets. UK inflation figures may impact chances of another BoE cut in 2025. Japanese CPI numbers are also due out. Eurozone flash PMIs could revive ECB rate cut expectations.

Stocks perk up but dollar remains heavy as gold extends gains

Thu, 16 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Tensions continue to brew between Washington and Beijing. Dollar slips to one-week low, gold marches above $4,200. But upbeat earnings offer support to equities. Euro and yen steady amid hopes of easing political turmoil.

Fragile risk appetite fails to lift the dollar

Wed, 15 Oct 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Risk markets remain jittery despite the dovish Fedspeak. Dollar loses ground; yen jumps, ignoring political unrest. Tariffs shenanigans may persist; little progress on the US shutdown. Gold rally remains supported; oil market sends alarming signals.

Risk appetite turns sour again as market stress points multiply

Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Risk markets remain under pressure, seeking fresh bullish catalysts. US
shutdown and renewed trade tensions cloud the outlook. Fedspeak and
corporate earnings could lift investors’ spirits. Gold correction pauses;
dollar fails to rally significantly.

Wall Street tumbles as US-China trade friction escalates

Mon, 13 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Trump threatens China with 100% tariffs. Wall Street plunges with tech stocks leading the slide. US futures rebound today on softening rhetoric. Aussie, kiwi slide, yen gains, gold hits new record high.

Stock and gold rallies cool, dollar extends gains, yen bounces back

Fri, 10 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Gold slips below $4,000 as Israel approves Gaza peace plan. AI-fuelled rally loses steam but no sign of major correction for stocks. Fed caution lifts dollar to fresh two-month highs. Yen strengthens as Takaichi premiership in doubt after coalition collapses.

Week Ahead: Stock and gold rallies cool, dollar extends gains, yen bounces back

Fri, 10 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Gold eases from record on Gaza deal, dollar firm after Fed minutes

Thu, 09 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump announces Gaza ceasefire deal, gold pauses for breath. Yen continues to slide, breaches 153 per dollar, raising intervention risks. AI continues to feed stock market bulls, Wall Street hits another record high.

Dollar and gold surge as market stress points multiply

Wed, 08 Oct 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US shutdown and developments in Japan and France fuel a muted risk-off reaction. Gold and dollar rally, while euro and yen are under pressure; crypto rally pauses. US equities react calmly, supported by continued AI-related investments, Focus today on Fedspeak and Fed minutes.

Yen remains under pressure, gold and stocks extend record run

Tue, 07 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Political dramas in Japan and France give the dollar a leg up. But ongoing US government shutdown limits gains, supports gold. Stocks shrug off latest uncertainties amid AI dealmaking activity.

Fragile market balance as US government shutdown persists

Mon, 06 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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New LDP leader upsets yen investors as BoJ rate outlook turns uncertain. US government shutdown continues as negotiations stall; data releases postponed. US stocks in mixed mood despite AI optimism; euro suffers from French PM resignation. Gold and bitcoin hit new all-time highs; oil rallies on smaller OPEC+ hike.

Dollar rebounds, Wall Street at records, yen awaits election

Fri, 03 Oct 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds as investors look for alternative data sources. NFP suspended, focus shifts to ISM non-mfg. PMI. Wall Street at record closing highs, boosted by tech stocks. Yen slips on cautious Ueda, LDP elections awaited.

Week Ahead: Fed and ECB minutes eyed amid shutdown drama, RBNZ meets

Fri, 03 Oct 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed minutes to distract markets as shutdown derails US data releases. ECB minutes and OPEC+ meeting also on the agenda. Yen awaits outcome of LDP leadership election. RBNZ set to cut rates; will it be 25bps or 50bps?

Dollar slides, stocks gain as US government shuts down

Thu, 02 Oct 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as ADP reveals job losses for the private sector. Amid the US government shutdown, NFP will not be released. S&P 500 hits fresh record high on hopes of a brief standoff. Gold also enters uncharted territory amid Fed cut bets.

Dollar slides as US government shutdown looms

Tue, 30 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US government shuts down tonight if no spending bill passes. Shutdown could suspend the release of jobs report. Wall Street closes in the green, gold hits fresh record high. RBA stands pat, aussie gains on hawkish tilt.

Risk sentiment strengthens, dollar slides as pivotal week gets underway

Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Risk sentiment improves; equities and cryptos in better mood. Dollar retreats after solid week, focus shifts to Fedspeak and upcoming data. A US government shutdown is likely, Trump to meet Congressional leaders today. Gold climb continues, posts another all-time high; oil rally pauses.

Trump slaps fresh tariffs, rattles markets ahead of PCE inflation

Fri, 26 Sep 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump outlines new tariffs on pharmaceuticals and other goods. Announcement comes after US data eases worries about economy. Dollar holds near 3-week high after surge, Wall Street slips for third day. Gold unable to advance much, oil headed for strong weekly gains.

Week Ahead: ISM PMIs and NFP report to shake Fed rate bets

Fri, 26 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar traders eagerly await ISM PMIs and US jobs report. RBA to remain on hold, focus to fall on forward guidance. Eurozone CPI data could revive ECB rate cut bets. Yen traders may scrutinize the BoJ Summary of Opinions.

Fragile risk appetite might be tested by Fedspeak and US data

Thu, 25 Sep 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Risk sentiment weakens, as both equities and cryptos underperform. Dollar experiences a strong bid as focus shifts to Fedspeak and data prints. At least seven Fed speakers on the wires today; hawkish remarks carry weight. Gold retreats from all-time high, oil rally pauses.

Fed Powell’s moderate tone weighs on risk appetite

Wed, 24 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Chair Powell pours some cold water on rate cut expectations. Dollar gains, equities decline; a challenging session ahead as focus shifts to US data. Gold remains near all-time high, oil rallies on the back of geopolitical newsflow. Cryptos consolidate, correlation with gold breaks down.

Marc Faber on Understanding and Navigating the US Markets – Trader Talks #12 – XM Live Education

Tue, 23 Sep 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Elevate your trading with 60+ live shows! Watch XM Live Education, Monday to Friday, from 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time) / 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) 👉 https://bit.ly/3V7UApZ.

🗣️ Don’t miss our exclusive interview with Marc Faber, the publisher of ‘Gloom, Boom & Doom Report’ and a trusted investment advisor with decades of experience. Timestamps below! ⬇️

0:00 Intro
2:10 Fiscal Policies over Monetary Policies
6:31 Trump administration solution to overspending
9:27 Tariffs and relationship with Interest Rate
14:30 Free economic world
20:12 National debt of the US
25:57 Dollar weakness theory
30:56 Fundamental Indicator for currency trading
37:09 Precious Metals
42:02 Printing Money

XM Live Education Host: Gil Paz.

Risk Warning

Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.
XM Global Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Belize.

Gold climbs to fresh record even as Fed rate cut bets ease

Tue, 23 Sep 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Hawkish Fedspeak supports dollar as Treasury yields rebound. But gold continues to ascend to new record highs amid uncertainties. Powell speech eyed for more clues on Fed rate path. Tech stocks lift Wall Street to new all-time highs.

Risk appetite wanes, gold rallies ahead of scheduled Fedspeak

Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Data and Fedspeak take center stage this week. US government shutdown
is approaching; data releases could be affected. US equities gained last
week, but under pressure today. Gold posts new all-time high; crypto
decline carries momentum.

Week Ahead: Fedspeak and US data to set the tone in markets

Fri, 19 Sep 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Dovish Fedspeak and soft PCE data may dent the dollar’s recovery. US-China negotiations continue, as yuan’s appreciation lingers. Eurozone PMIs could cement the ECB pause; SNB might threaten with negative rates.

Dollar extends gains, BoE and BoJ stand pat

Fri, 19 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar continues the post-Fed advance. Initial jobless claims slide, validating Fed’s confidence. BoE stands pat, slows pace of quantitative tightening. BoJ appears hawkish, rate hike speculation increases.

Dollar rebounds as Fed seen less dovish

Thu, 18 Sep 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed lowers rates by 25bps, Gov. Miran votes for a bigger cut. Dot plot revised lower but failed to match market expectations. Dollar slides initially but quickly rebounds, stocks and gold retreat. BoE and BoJ expected to stand pat, vote and guidance in focus.

Fed cut expected, market reaction hinges on multiple factors

Wed, 17 Sep 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Fed meeting today; rate decision at 18:00 GMT, Powell speaks 30 minutes later. A 25bps cut is expected, but details matter for markets, particularly the dot plot. Powell expected to follow the Jackson Hole script; all eyes on possible signals about October. Dollar could suffer from a dovish show; equities fear downbeat economic comments.

Dollar drops as Fed rate cut looms

Tue, 16 Sep 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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US dollar and Treasury yields drop ahead of Fed decision. President Trump urges Powell to deliver bigger cut. Pound up after jobs data, yen gains on BoJ hike bets. S&P 500, Nasdaq and gold hit new record highs.

Risk sentiment on the mend as investors gear up for Fed decision

Mon, 15 Sep 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Fed meeting in sight; Miran could attend, Cook’s future may be decided today. Dollar tries to find its footing after a mixed-performance week. European equities upbeat, overcoming weakness during Asian session. Cryptos try to capitalize on positive newsflow; gold supported by Trump’s rhetoric.

US data cement Fed rate cut, Wall Street at new record

Fri, 12 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US CPI meets forecasts but jobless claims jump, bolstering Fed easing bets. Dollar slips, stocks extend weekly gains as Wall Street hits record. ECB keeps door open to rate cut but euro inches higher. Gold eyes new all-time high as Treasury yields sink.

Week Ahead: Fed, BoC, BoE, and BoJ policy decisions enter the spotlight

Fri, 12 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed expected to cut rates, focus to fall on the new ‘dot plot’. BoC seen cutting rates by 25bps due to weak economic data. BoE to remain on hold, voting may shake the pound. Amid political uncertainty, the BoJ is expected to stand pat.

Dollar steady but stocks rally on soft PPI and AI optimism, CPI awaited

Thu, 11 Sep 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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US producer prices unexpectedly ease, raising hopes of soft CPI report.
Fed rate cut bets lift equities, but US dollar edges higher. Wall Street
additionally boosted by AI optimism after upbeat Oracle earnings. Euro
drifts lower ahead of ECB decision.

Risk appetite improves but investors stay vigilant

Wed, 10 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar and US equities rally; crypto market is indecisive. Volatility remains elevated despite improved risk sentiment. US PPI data could show tariff impact ahead of CPI report. Gold and oil are supported by broader geopolitical tensions.

Dollar slips as bets for third Fed cut rise ahead of jobs revision

Tue, 09 Sep 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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US employment expected to be revised down by 800,000 for year to March. A bigger revision could bolster bets for 50-bps rate cut in September. Dovish expectations pummel bond yields and dollar, lift stocks and gold. Euro and French bonds stay calm after PM Bayrou ousted.

Fragile risk appetite as US data boost Fed cut bets

Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Softer US jobs data leave door open for a larger Fed rate cut. Dollar and US equities try to find their footing today. Yen under pressure after PM Ishiba’s resignation. Gold and oil rally, supported by weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions.

Risk appetite firms up as investors anticipate softer US data

Fri, 05 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Risk sentiment improves, dollar slightly under pressure. Gold holds gains, bond yields ease across the board. Today’s NFP could determine the size of the Fed rate cut. Decent market reaction if jobs data delivers a strong upside surprise.

Week Ahead: US CPI and ECB meeting to test market nerves

Fri, 05 Sep 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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US CPI and PPI data to take centre stage ahead of Fed decision. ECB to likely hold rates, might signal long pause. OPEC decision to shape sentiment at start of week. Bond markets on alert for Treasury auctions and French budget vote.

Risk markets jittery as expectations for soft US data mount

Thu, 04 Sep 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Risk sentiment remains fragile ahead of the first batch of key US data. Gold and rising bond yields continue to unnerve investors. ADP report and ISM Services PMI might open the door to a 50bps Fed cut. Fedspeak to intensify, markets to digest Miran’s hearing headlines today.

Gold touches new record, dollar holds firm, pound’s losses deepen

Wed, 03 Sep 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Gold and US dollar remain in demand amid bond market selloff. Pound slips again as UK yields continue to surge. But Wall Street given a lifeline following Google’s legal win. ISM manufacturing PMI spurs yo-yo price action, JOLTS awaited next.

Calm before the storm in markets ahead of pivotal US data

Mon, 01 Sep 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar on the back foot, equities remain wobbly. Court battles in focus after Friday’s tariffs ruling. Investors prepare for critical US data; all eyes on Friday’s jobs report. Uncertainty boosts gold and silver; cryptos remain under pressure.

Dollar extends slide ahead PCE inflation data

Fri, 29 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Fed Governor Waller reiterates support for lower interest rates. PCE inflation data may impact Fed rate cut bets beyond September. S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit fresh record highs. Gold gains, approaches upper boundary of sideways range.

Week Ahead: All eyes on NFP report as Fed rate cut bets intensify

Fri, 29 Aug 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US jobs data to steal the limelight amid worries about labour market health. ISM PMIs to be watched too for signs of tariff-driven price pressures. Eurozone flash CPI and Canadian employment also on tap.

Dollar slides as September Fed cut nearly a done deal

Thu, 28 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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NY Fed President Williams says rates likely to fall. Anxiety about Trump’s
efforts to influence Fed policy intensifies. Spotlight turns to PCE inflation
numbers and next week’s NFP. S&P 500 hits new record, but Nvidia slides
after earnings results.

Equities rebound ahead of Nvidia earnings, dollar also firms

Wed, 27 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Steadier bonds and AI optimism help stocks to bounce back; Nvidia eyed. Dollar edges up as Fed independence fears ease slightly. But inflation and borrowing concerns keep risk appetite in check.

Dollar wobbles as Trump tries to fire Fed’s Lisa Cook

Tue, 26 Aug 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed’s independence under attack again as Trump wants to oust Lisa Cook. Dollar skids but later recovers, US yield curve steepens slightly, gold edges up. Stocks turn negative as Fed rally fades, PCE inflation awaited. Euro slips as French government at risk of collapse.

Fed Chair Powell pushes the dollar off a cliff

Mon, 25 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Powell hints at a September cut, traders sell dollars. Wall Street indices rally, Dow Jones hits fresh record high. Attention to slowly shift to PCE inflation data later this week. BoJ Gov. Ueda expresses optimism about another rate hike soon.

Tariff and Fed developments weigh on dollar’s recovery

Fri, 08 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Muted risk appetite; equity indices edge higher, bitcoin struggles. August 12 deadline for US-China truce in the spotlight. Gold flirts with $3,400 as US prepares to tariff gold bar imports. Eventful BoE meeting boosts the pound.

Week Ahead: US inflation data and RBA decision enter the limelight

Fri, 08 Aug 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US CPI and PPI data awaited amid dovish Fed bets. RBA ready to cut rates as Australian inflation slows. UK jobs and GDP data to shake the pound after BoE.

Dollar suffers from Trump’s tariff announcements

Thu, 07 Aug 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Tariffs back in the spotlight; China could be next. Equities shrug off tariff headlines but dollar weakens. Gold rises despite progress made in the US-Russia talks. BoE to cut rates; pound’s performance hinges on degree of dovishness.

Stagflation fears keep dollar pinned near lows but stocks rebound

Wed, 06 Aug 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Markets subdued after ISM Services PMI revives inflation and growth worries. Dollar returns to post-NFP lows, gold eases from highs. Trump flags tariffs on pharmaceuticals and chips but equities inch higher.

Dollar seeks direction as Trump’s TV appearance could hurt risk appetite

Tue, 05 Aug 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar assets on a steadier footing after Friday’s selloff. September Fed rate cut gains traction; Fedspeak is critical going forward. Trump’s 12:00 GMT live TV appearance in the spotlight. Gold retains gains, oil’s decline stalls.

Dollar and stocks recoup some NFP-led losses, yen and gold ease back

Mon, 04 Aug 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Post-NFP selloff eases as focus turns to Fed rate cuts. Dollar and stocks on steadier footing as yen and gold rallies cool. But tariff mess and Trump’s firing of jobs data chief keep risk appetite in check.

Week Ahead: BoE to likely cut in split vote; trade turmoil unlikely to end

Fri, 01 Aug 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Bank of England decision to be the week’s main event. ISM services PMI to be only other highlight in relatively quiet week. Market sentiment might struggle in aftermath of Trump’s August 1 tariffs.

US jobs data may challenge the dollar’s recent strength

Fri, 01 Aug 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump’s tariff announcements trigger another risk-off reaction. Dollar is stable, but equity markets underperform despite strong tech earnings. US jobs data in the spotlight; nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 110k. Inflated expectations for a solid report raise the risk of a sharp reaction if data disappoints.

Dollar rally pauses as Fed signals patience once again

Thu, 31 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed keeps rates unchanged, but leaves door open to future rate cuts. Strong earnings lift equities, reversing the post-FOMC dip. Gold rebounds, oil struggles to hold $70, copper futures plunge. BoJ keeps its powder dry, yen gets a small lift.

Fed, BoC and BoJ meetings enter the limelight

Wed, 30 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar traders turn cautious ahead of Fed decision. Attention will fall on the likelihood of a September rate cut. BoC and BoJ to remain on hold; eyes will be on future action signals. Wall Street retreats on disappointing earnings; Microsoft and Meta awaited.

Dollar strength persists ahead of key events

Tue, 29 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Both the dollar and US equities start the week on a strong note. Euro suffers as European leaders challenge the US-EU trade deal. Gold retreat stalls; oil fails to materially benefit from Trump’s Russia comments. Light calendar today, but 7-year US auction could trigger volatility.

US data supports patient Fed, deal with EU boosts appetite

Mon, 28 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains as data allow the Fed to stay in wait-and-see mode. US and EU secure trade deal, tariff clock is ticking for others. Wall Street at record highs amid trade optimism and better earnings. Pound slides after retail sales, yen retreats even as BoJ hike bets increase.

Dollar on the defensive, seeks support

Fri, 25 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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ECB pauses, raises the bar for September rate cut. Trump’s Fed visit proves uneventful, despite rate cut demand. Dollar losses mount this week, even the yen outperforms the greenback. Cryptos are on the back foot today; altcoins maintain sizeable gains.

Week Ahead: Fed decides ahead of NFP and tariff deadline; BoC and BoJ meet too

Fri, 25 Jul 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Fed to likely hold rates and not bow to Trump's pressure. US GDP and jobs reports eyed too as August 1 deadline looms. BoC and BoJ decisions, Eurozone data also in focus.

EU and US close to a trade deal ahead of ECB decision

Thu, 24 Jul 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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After Japan, the US is nearing a trade accord with the EU. S&P Global PMIs in focus ahead of next week’s FOMC decision. ECB to stand pat, Lagarde’s signals to be key for the euro. S&P 500 hits a new record high, but earnings results come in mixed.

Risk appetite improves as US, Japan strike trade deal

Wed, 23 Jul 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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US and Japan reach common ground on trade. Hopes for more deals increase; US-EU talks loom. Yen gains, but temporarily as PM Ishida may step down. Equities gain on US-Japan deal; Key tech earnings in focus.

Dollar weakness persists

Tue, 22 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US equity indices retreat from new all-time highs. Gold pulls back from one-month high, while altcoins remain in demand. Tariff headlines fuel market nervousness as investors prepare for key earnings releases. Yen is trying to find its footing after Sunday’s election result.

Dollar slides, gold gains as investors eye trade landscape

Mon, 21 Jul 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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Dollar pulls back on dovish remarks by Fed’s Waller. Trade negotiations in focus ahead of August 1 deadline. Gold seems to be attracting safe haven flows again. Wall Street stays near record highs amid strong earnings.

Dollar wobbles despite US equity strength

Fri, 18 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Both dollar and US equities on course for a positive week. Fed doves push for a July rate cut, but chances remain extremely low. Yen positions for Sunday’s elections that could open pandora’s box. GENIUS Act approved, stablecoins are here to stay; ethereum benefits.

Trump-Powel saga, ECB and earnings to keep traders busy

Fri, 18 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar stays strong amid safe haven flows and inflation risks. US prel. PMIs and Powell speech to be closely monitored. ECB expected to stand pat, focus to fall on forward guidance. Pound traders await PMIs, but remain convinced about August cut. Alphabet and Tesla earnings results also on tap.

Dollar strength undermined by Trump’s Fed criticism

Thu, 17 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump firmly holds the keys to market volatility. A July rate cut is likely written off unless data turns negative. US Treasury yields have taken notice of Trump’s criticism of Powell. Pound benefits from euro’s troubles despite mixed UK data.

Dollar battles to maintain recent gains

Tue, 15 Jul 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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Trump uses tariffs as leverage to end the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Risk-on sentiment remains intact as earnings season picks up speed. US CPI report in focus, could cement a July Fed rate pause. Heavy profit-taking in cryptos; oil slides after testing key resistance.

Trump announces tariffs on Mexico and EU

Mon, 14 Jul 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains as Trump continues his tariff-related threats. Traders could pay extra attention to tomorrow’s CPI data. Wall Street indices slide, gold rises amid risk-off mood. Bitcoin hits a fresh record high as ‘Crypto Week’ begins.

Trade tensions heat up, dollar firms, but stocks and cryptos stay bullish

Fri, 11 Jul 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump threatens 35% tariffs on Canada in another shock move, EU could be next. Remaining countries face tariffs of 15% or 20% in a major escalation. But only oil, loonie and yen slump, while stocks extend weekly gains. Gold gains some traction but star performer is Bitcoin, hitting new record.

Week Ahead: A storm of CPI data and China's GDP in focus amid trade uncertainty

Fri, 11 Jul 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar attracts safe haven flows amid trade anxiety. US inflation data could shake July Fed cut probability. UK, Canadian and Japanese CPI numbers also on tap. Weak Chinese growth may increase calls for more stimulus.

Trump threatens 50% tariffs on Brazil but stocks shrug it off, dollar steady

Thu, 10 Jul 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Trump announces fresh round of tariffs on Brazil and smaller nations. But
only mild risk aversion as Nvidia drives equities higher, hits $4 trillion cap.
Fed minutes erase July cut bets as doves in the minority, dollar supported.
Bitcoin hits record high, comes just shy of $112,000.

Dollar fights an uphill battle amidst mounting tariff pressure

Wed, 09 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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More Trump letters to be sent, with copper, chips and pharmas next on the tariff list. Dollar struggles to hold recent gains, except versus the yen. US equities on the back foot, underperforming their European counterparts. RBNZ stands pat; Antipodeans post small gains against the greenback.

US tariff letters boost dollar, dent risk appetite

Tue, 08 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump letters and August 1 deadline in focus. Dollar strengthens as both China and the EU avoid tariff letters. Equities are wobbly, while gold confirms lingering demand. Aussie gains as RBA surprises by keeping rates unchanged.

Markets await trade deals as Trump makes new tariff threats

Mon, 07 Jul 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar edges higher, gold slips despite confusion and renewed trade tensions. Trump delays tariff deadline to August 1, says trade deals are close. Wall Street hits record after Congress passes Big Beautiful Bill. Oil recovers from lows after OPEC+ hikes output more than expected.

Week Ahead: RBA, RBNZ decisions and Fed minutes eyed as trade deals awaited

Fri, 04 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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July 9 tariff deadline looms as trade deals remain elusive. Fed minutes to be watched after positive jobs report. RBA expected to cut but RBNZ to likely stay on hold. OPEC+ to probably raise output again. UK GDP and Canadian employment also on tap.

Risk-on sentiment fades as tariffs return to the spotlight

Fri, 04 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar surrenders gains posted after robust labour market report. Trump celebrates US budget bill approval; scheduled to sign it today. Most Fed members feel more comfortable as July rate cut is priced out. Oil steadies near $66, gold rally retains momentum.

Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Thu, 03 Jul 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Slide in US private payrolls raise concerns about NFP miss. US strikes trade deal with Vietnam ahead of July 9 deadline. Pound feels the heat of fiscal shenanigans. S&P 500 hits fresh record high ahead of jobs report.

Powell keeps the door to a July cut open

Wed, 02 Jul 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as Powell sounds more dovish than expected. Trump’s bill passes through Senate, pending final vote in House. JOLTs and ISM mfg. PMI reveal some improvement. Wall Street pauses uptrend, gold rebounds.

Dollar steadies as risk appetite eases on data and key deadlines

Tue, 01 Jul 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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Dollar tumbles 14% against the euro in the first half of the year; Spotlight stays on US budget bill and trade talks; US data deluge today, an appetizer for Thursday’s jobs report; Oil hovers around $66, gold rally gains momentum.

Trade optimism boosts Fed rate cut bets

Mon, 30 Jun 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as the US gets closer to trade deals. Trump’s obsession with
lower interest rates also weighs. S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new record
highs. Gold in corrective mode due to safe-haven outflows.

Risk appetite improves further ahead of PCE inflation data

Fri, 27 Jun 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar stuck at 3-year low despite trade optimism; Fed rate cut bets weigh. Nasdaq 100 lifts global stocks to all-time highs, gold skids. Will the US PCE inflation report support or spoil the positive mood?

Week Ahead: Markets eye nonfarm payrolls as Trump’s pressure on Fed mounts

Fri, 27 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Middle East ceasefire and Fed shenanigans weigh on the dollar. ISM PMIs and Nonfarm payrolls to impact Fed rate cut bets. Eurozone inflation and ECB forum to be closely monitored by euro traders.

Trump attacks Powell again; dollar hits new low, techs rally

Thu, 26 Jun 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Rate cut bets increase after Trump raises prospect of ‘shadow’ Fed chair. Dollar hits new 3-year low, but Wall Street flirts with record highs. Bitcoin extends gains amid geopolitical de-escalation, gold rebounds.

Dollar stabilizes amidst mixed risk sentiment

Wed, 25 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Israel-Iran truce holds; investors focus on the US economy. Powell shuts down July rate cut expectations. US equity rally pauses as dollar tries to recover. Oil hovers around $65, gold bounces higher.

Dollar suffers as risk appetite takes hold

Tue, 24 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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An Israel-Iran ceasefire has been agreed after 12 days of hostilities. Risk appetite gets a boost, but dollar weakness resumes. Oil surrenders its recent gains; gold slips as well. Focus today on Powell’s testimony as Fed doves push for a rate cut.

Mideast conflict escalates as US strikes Iran but oil pares gains

Mon, 23 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US joins Israel-Iran conflict, strikes three nuclear sites. Oil jumps before pulling back as world awaits Iran response. Dollar edges higher but gold again fails to catch a bid. Euro dips but rebounds on mildly upbeat June PMIs.

Dollar set for weekly gains amid Israel-Iran war

Fri, 20 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar ready to lock weekly gains on Middle East unrest. Oil rebounds as supply concerns remain elevated. SNB cuts by 25bps, BoE delivers dovish hold. Wall Street resumes trading after Juneteenth.

Week Ahead: PCE inflation and flash PMIs on tap amid Mideast jitters

Fri, 20 Jun 2025 09:00:00 +0300

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Ongoing Israel-Iran tensions to keep risk sentiment in check. US core PCE and consumption data to offer much-needed distraction. CPI readings also due in Canada. Flash PMIs for June in the spotlight too amid tariff chaos.

Fed’s hawkish hold and Middle East flare up boost the dollar

Thu, 19 Jun 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Fed holds rates steady, revises inflation projections up. Dollar gains, also aided by escalating Isreal-Iran tensions. Oil rebounds on increasing worries about supply disruption. SNB cuts rates by 25bps, BoE expected to stand pat.

Dollar off-highs despite rising Middle East geopolitical tensions

Wed, 18 Jun 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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Israel-Iran conflict continues; US considers joining in. Dollar slips as risk appetite slightly improves. Oil maintains its recent gains, but gold fails to benefit. Pound pressure lingers as BoE meets on Thursday.

Israel-Iran conflict remains in focus ahead of Fed decision

Tue, 17 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Israel-Iran headlines remain the main market driver. Amid rising uncertainty, the Fed decides on rates on Wednesday. BoJ keeps rates steady, slows bond tapering. Wall Street closes higher, but futures point to lower open today.

Dollar softens amidst cautious risk-on reaction

Mon, 16 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Israel-Iran confrontation intensifies. Risk appetite improves after an abysmal session on Friday. Dollar is on the back foot again; both gold and oil surrender gains. Four central bank meetings this week, starting with BoJ on Tuesday.

Oil surges as Israel attacks Iran, gold and dollar climb too

Fri, 13 Jun 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Israel launches military strikes on Iran as tensions flare. Oil jumps more
than 10%, safe havens rally but stocks plunge. Bond yields fall ahead of big
week for central bank decisions.

Week Ahead: Markets brace for central bank barrage amid heightened uncertainty

Fri, 13 Jun 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed officials to stand pat as they await further clarity. A dovish BoJ could push rate hike expectations into 2026. Deflation fuels speculation about negative SNB rates. BoE may sound more dovish after disappointing Uk data.

Dollar slides amidst tariff rhetoric and soft US data

Thu, 12 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump dampens risk appetite, cites unilateral tariff plan. Dollar and equities suffer as investors also question US-China progress. British pound under pressure after another set of soft UK data. Gold and oil give back overnight gains.

US and China restore trade truce but markets subdued ahead of US CPI

Wed, 11 Jun 2025 16:00:00 +0300

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US and China reach framework deal but lack of details caps sentiment. Fed rate cut bets scaled back ahead of expected US CPI increase. Cautious risk appetite supports equities, dollar steadier but gold climbs. Pound extends slide ahead of UK government’s spending review.

Dollar fails to recover as investors zoom in on trade talks

Tue, 10 Jun 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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US-China talks resume; chances of an agreement increase. Mixed US stocks performance, but S&P 500 just shy of all-time high. Another set of soft UK data weighs on the British Pound. Gold trades sideways, as silver tries to keep its bullish momentum alive.

Week Ahead: US CPI to take centre stage as Fed rate cut bets gather pace

Fri, 06 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US inflation may edge up in May but unlikely to dent Fed rate cut bets. Focus also on trade negotiations and US appeals court tariff decision. Chinese trade data eyed amid tariff war. UK employment and GDP also on the agenda.

Dollar seeks to rebound as investors zero in on US data

Fri, 06 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump-Musk public spat overshadows developments elsewhere. Trump-Xi call restarts US-China negotiations but outlook clouded. Key US data at 12:30 GMT; all eyes on nonfarm payrolls. Gold trades sideways, as silver jumps to a new high.

US data hurt the dollar, ECB to cut rates again

Thu, 05 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as ADP and ISM data miss estimates. Still, investors see
55bps Fed cuts in 2025 ahead of NFPs. BoC stands pad, signals that one
more cut may be possible. ECB could deliver dovish rate cut; euro could
pull back.

Dollar bounces from six-week low, BoC decides on rates

Wed, 04 Jun 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds on hopes of Trump-Xi call. Data points to labor market weakness ahead of Friday’s NFP. Eurozone CPI slows ahead of ECB, BoC set to stand pat. Stocks gain, gold retreats, oil advances on geopolitical tensions.

Risk appetite takes a hit as Trump’s tariffs return to the spotlight

Tue, 03 Jun 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar under pressure as Trump hardens trade stance. US administration
demands trade offers from key partners. Weak start to data releases; focus
today on Fedspeak. Both gold and oil surrender a small part of Monday’s
gains.

Dollar slides amid simmering trade frictions

Mon, 02 Jun 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Trump accuses China of violating deal. Threatens to increase tariff on steel and aluminum. Dollar slides, stock futures point to a lower Wall Street open. Gold attracts safe-haven flows, oil gains on OPEC’s decision.

Uncertainty remains high at end of rollercoaster week for the dollar

Fri, 30 May 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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US appeals court reinstates Trump’s tariffs, adding to the market confusion. Dollar whipsaws, while Nvidia comes to Wall Street’s rescue. PCE inflation awaited as soft US data boost Fed rate cut bets. Gold can’t catch a bid amid some trade optimism, set to end week lower.

Week Ahead: NFPs, ECB and BoC to steal the show

Fri, 30 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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ISM PMIs and NFP data to shape Fed interest rate bets. ECB set to cut rates, focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC to stand pat amid inflation concerns.

Dollar benefits from court’s tariff decision but outlook remains clouded

Thu, 29 May 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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A US federal court blocks Trump’s tariff decisions. Dollar and US stocks jump on court decision, but rally already fading. Risk of Trump dropping his recent congenial stance. Gold attempts to climb higher; oil trades above $63 again.

Fed minutes awaited as risk rally eases, dollar extends recovery

Wed, 28 May 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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US dollar extends rebound, yen edges up too as bond yields creep up again. But stocks mixed amid persisting worries about US economy and debt. Kiwi up after RBNZ signals end of rate cuts, oil eyes OPEC decision. Can Fed minutes and Nvidia earnings turn around sentiment?

Dollar benefits amidst a muted risk-on reaction

Tue, 27 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar and stocks gain as risk-on sentiment takes hold. Trade deals in focus; a US-India deal is apparently ready. Treasury yields ease, but central banks face tighter financial conditions. Gold eases despite another failed attempt for a Gaza ceasefire.

Trump backs down on EU tariffs but dollar at one-month low

Mon, 26 May 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Trump postpones 50% tariffs on EU after talks with von der Leyen. Euro tests $1.14 but dollar on the backfoot amid ongoing trade uncertainty. Global equities mixed as US, UK markets closed for holiday. Gold dips as US-Iran talks make progress, Trump wants Gaza ceasefire.

Dollar’s recovery proves short lived as fiscal worries prevail

Fri, 23 May 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds on ‘buy the fact’ after House approves Trump’s bill. Improving PMIs and jobless claims add extra support. But recovery stays short lived as fiscal worries remain elevated. Gold rebounds, bitcoin hits new record high, oil extends slide.

Week Ahead: Fed minutes, PCE inflation and RBNZ eyed as trade war cools off

Fri, 23 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Attention turns to Fed minutes and PCE inflation; can they lift the dollar? US yields and Treasury auctions also in focus as budget bill passes House. RBNZ to likely cut again despite inflation pickup. Canadian GDP and Tokyo CPI on the agenda too.

Dollar, Treasuries and Stocks extend slide on fiscal concerns

Thu, 22 May 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends slide as Trump’s bill seen ballooning US debt. Treasuries fall as well, 30-year yield climbs to highest since Nov. 2023. Wall Steet closes lower, gold and other safe havens gain. Oil pulls back as US and Iran prepare for new round of talks.

Dollar weakness accelerates as risk appetite fades

Wed, 21 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Both the dollar and US stocks lose ground. Trump’s tax cut bill in the spotlight. Pound fails to react to stronger CPI report. Gold, oil and bitcoin rally on Israel-Iran headlines.

Dollar continues to struggle

Tue, 20 May 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar loses ground as risk-on momentum slightly fades. Focus today on Fedspeak and likely trade developments. RBA cuts rates again, aussie suffers. Gold range trades despite constructive Trump-Putin call.

Dollar pulls back on new tariff threats; RBA decides on rates

Mon, 19 May 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar retreats on Moody’s downgrade, Bessent’s tariff comments. US stock futures point to a lower open, gold rebounds. BoJ’s Uchida supports more rate hikes should the economy rebound. RBA to cut by 25bps, focus to fall on forward guidance.

Dollar extends pullback, stocks mixed as markets lack direction

Fri, 16 May 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar close to reversing weekly gains as trade euphoria fizzles out. But stocks maintain some momentum as Fed rate cut bets get small boost. Gold headed for weekly losses as it struggles to bounce back.

Week Ahead: Fed speakers, RBA decision, UK CPI and preliminary PMIs in focus

Fri, 16 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Strong dollar awaits Fed speakers and PMIs. RBA to cut by 25bps, focus to fall on forward guidance. Sticky UK inflation could mean only one more BoE rate cut. Eurozone PMIs, Canada’s and Japan’s CPI numbers also on tap.

Equity rally loses steam, dollar slips too; Powell eyed for fresh cues

Thu, 15 May 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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US futures slip despite boost to AI stocks from Trump deals. Dollar retreats amid speculation that Trump supports weaker currency. Gold and oil head lower too. US data and Fed’s Powell awaited for direction.

Dollar struggles to maintain its recent gains

Wed, 14 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Both the dollar and US stocks seek direction as euphoria fades. Implied volatilities ease across the board. Trump calls for a Fed rate cut but bond markets disagree. Gold range trades, as oil stumbles at $64.

Dollar’s resilience could be tested after Monday’s surge

Tue, 13 May 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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Risk appetite is slightly receding today after Monday’s boost. US stocks and the dollar experienced considerable moves on Monday. US CPI in focus today, but investors are craving Fed commentary. Gold is climbing today, as oil maintains most of Monday’s gains.

US and China agree to slash tariffs, dollar and stocks surge

Mon, 12 May 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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US and China make progress in trade talks, agree to 90-day reprieve. Dollar, stocks and oil jump as both sides to temporarily lower tariffs by 115%. But trade deal hopes pummel gold, easing geopolitical tensions weigh too.

Week Ahead: All eyes on US CPI and trade talks amid no end to tariff uncertainty

Fri, 09 May 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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US CPI report takes centre stage to gauge tariff impact. Progress in trade negotiations will also be watched, especially with China. US retail sales, UK and Japanese GDP on the agenda too.

Risk appetite improves on first trade deal, US-Sino talks in focus

Fri, 09 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US and UK agree on trade, US-China talks loom. Dollar gains on easing anxiety and recession fears. Wall Street extends gains, gold slides as risk appetite improves. BoE cuts rates by 25bps, three-way split helps the pound.

Dollar gains after Fed decision; BoE looms

Thu, 08 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar strengthens after Fed sounds less dovish than expected. Stocks in
the green as Powell says economy is solid. Trump expected to announce
trade deal with Britain. BoE set to cut rates, focus to fall on guidance and
projections.

US and China agree to hold talks, Fed decision on tap

Wed, 07 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds as US and China agree to hold trade talks. Fed enters the spotlight; focus to fall on tariff commentary. Euro gains after Merz elected as German Chancellor. Wall Street rebounds, gold pulls back on improving risk sentiment.

US dollar struggles continue ahead of Fed meeting

Tue, 06 May 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Risk appetite on the mend despite S&P 500 losing ground yesterday. Implied volatilities drop sharply across the board. Gold rallies once again, while oil remains close to its recent lows. All eyes on US trade balance, the 10-year US auction and Trump’s rhetoric.

US dollar fails to benefit from improved risk appetite

Mon, 05 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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A quiet start to the week, as key markets are closed. All eyes on S&P 500 after nine consecutive positive sessions. Aussie benefits from Labour’s win, climbs against the US dollar. Gold stabilizes, but oil suffers again from OPEC+ reports.

Dollar off highs ahead of NFP, equities buoyed by trade hopes

Fri, 02 May 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Trade tensions continue to ease as China ponders US offer for talks. Stocks extend gains despite red flags in Apple and Amazon earnings. Dollar softer as NFP awaited, gold pares weekly losses.

Week Ahead: Fed, BoE decisions, China’s trade data in the spotlight

Fri, 02 May 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed will sit on the sidelines amid tariff uncertainty. BoE to cut by 25bps, but could still disappoint the doves. China trade data to reveal wounds amid US-Sino trade war.

US dollar’s fate tied to incoming US data

Wed, 30 Apr 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Risk appetite improves, focus shifts to today’s US data. Strong data prints to keep next week’s Fed dovishness in check. Trump to speak at various events, keeping market participants on their toes. Gold and bitcoin range-trade, oil falls below $60.

Auto tariff relief keeps risk appetite alive; loonie wobbles on Carney win

Tue, 29 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump expected to ease tariff pressure on US car manufacturers. Dollar and US futures rise modestly, gold edges down; key US data awaited. Loonie spikes on Carney win but falls back on likely minority government.

Dollar’s struggles continue as tariffs remain in focus

Mon, 28 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Risk appetite improves, but outlook remains clouded. Tariffs in the spotlight as Trump awaits China’s capitulation. A quiet start to the week ahead of a very busy data calendar. Loonie might not enjoy a Liberal majority win in Canadian election.

Risk appetite improves on easing tariff anxiety

Fri, 25 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rebounds as China considers tariff exemptions. But recession concerns remain, evident by Fed rate cut bets. Tokyo CPI inflation accelerates, boosting BoJ hike bets. Wall Street rallies on easing trade tensions, tech boost.

Week Ahead: US GDP, inflation and jobs in focus amid tariff mess; BoJ meets

Fri, 25 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Barrage of US data to shed light on US economy as tariff war heats up. GDP, PCE inflation and nonfarm payrolls reports to headline the week. Bank of Japan to hold rates but may downgrade growth outlook. Eurozone and Australian CPI also on the agenda, Canadians go to the polls.

Dollar on the back foot as Trump alters his rhetoric

Thu, 24 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump sends mixed signals about tariffs again. Improved risk appetite weakens, stocks surrender gains. US data and Treasury note auction in the spotlight. Both gold and oil struggle to find their footing.

Trump walks back Fed attack, says China’s tariffs will drop

Wed, 23 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump says he has no intention of firing Fed Chair Powell. He is also willing to reduce tariffs on Chinese goods. Dollar and Wall Street rebound, gold pulls back. S&P Global PMIs take the spotlight today.

Trade talks progress calms markets after hawkish Powell

Thu, 17 Apr 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Trump hails “big progress” in US-Japan trade talks. US futures and dollar edge up, gold eases from record high. Fed’s Powell maintains wait-and-see stance, ECB decision eyed next. Chip stocks under pressure; can Netflix inject some optimism?

Week Ahead: Eyes on flash PMIs as tariff uncertainty persists

Thu, 17 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Tariff headlines remain at the top of investors’ agendas. But flash S&P Global PMIs could attract special attention. Auctions to reveal information about demand for Treasuries. Tokyo CPI data and Canada’s retail sales also on tap.

Risk sentiment retreats as Trump prepares for fresh tariff decisions

Wed, 16 Apr 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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All eyes on Fed Chair Powell today about rate cut hints. UK CPI keeps the door open to May BoE rate cut. Strong possibility of a BoC rate cut today. Dollar’s suffering lingers, gold hits a new all-time high.

Tariff relief steadies nerves on Wall Street, dollar edges up

Tue, 15 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump hints autos could be next for tariff exemptions. Equities bounce back but lingering uncertainties hold back gains. Dollar on steadier footing as Treasuries selloff eases after Fed comments. Kiwi outperforms majors, gold holds near highs.

Improved risk sentiment to be tested as Trump paves way for fresh tariffs

Mon, 14 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Electronic tariffs in the spotlight, risk appetite gets a small boost. Trump could dampen sentiment with fresh tariff decisions. US equities record best weekly performance since 2022. Dollar’s suffering lingers, gold makes a new all-time high.

Week Ahead: ECB set to cut, BoC might pause as Trump U-turns on tariffs

Fri, 11 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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ECB is expected to trim rates, but the BoC might pause this time. UK and Canadian CPI data also in the spotlight. Retail sales the main release in the United States. China GDP eyed as Beijing not spared by Trump.

Risk aversion returns; Dollar, Treasuries and Wall Street slip

Fri, 11 Apr 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar tumbles, safe haven franc at more-than-a-decade high. Recession fears return amid US-China trade conflict. US CPI slows down, allows dovish rate cut pricing. Wall Street retreats, Treasuries drop, gold hits new record high.

Wall Street stages impressive rally amid tariff pause

Thu, 10 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Trump announces 90-day tariff pause on many nations. However, he increases duties on Chinese imports. Wall Street skyrockets, Nasdaq rallies more than 12%. US CPI inflation in focus as recession fears ease. Gold gains more due to US-China tensions, oil rebounds.

Stocks suffer as Trump’s increased tariffs take effect

Wed, 09 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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Reciprocal tariffs kick in, risk sentiment takes another hit. China faces 104% tariff, its response is awaited. US equities remain under severe pressure, dollar suffers. Gold and bitcoin recover; oil remains in recession-signaling territory.

Markets remain volatile amid conflicting tariff headlines

Tue, 08 Apr 2025 13:00:00 +0300

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Tariff-pause headlines slow down Wall Street’s bloodbath. White House denies the reports, Trump threatens China. Safe havens pull back on negotiation hopes, but still near their highs. Oil tumbles on recession fears, OPEC’s output decision.

Stock markets crash, but Trump appears relaxed

Mon, 07 Apr 2025 12:00:00 +0300

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US equity indices enter bear market territory. China retaliates, while Europe is still discussing its response. Pressure on the Fed to save the day; Powell is not giving in yet. Gold, oil and bitcoin suffer considerable losses.

Week Ahead: US CPI and RBNZ decision on tap amidst tariff mayhem

Fri, 04 Apr 2025 15:00:00 +0300

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Dollar traders await US CPI data amid global trade turbulence. RBNZ to cut by 25bps, could maintain dovish stance. China’s CPI and PPI to reveal tariff impact on inflation. Strong UK GDP data could help the pound climb higher.

Tariff turmoil sends dollar and Wall Street spinning

Fri, 04 Apr 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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US stocks slump in worst day since 2020 Covid crisis amid tariff blitz. Dollar hits 6-month low as Treasury bonds outshine, yields sink. But global equity selloff eases slightly ahead of NFP report, Powell speech. Oil plunges after OPEC+ output hike, gold loses out in safe-haven rush.

Dollar and stocks sink as Trump unleashes ‘Liberation Day’

Thu, 03 Apr 2025 14:00:00 +0300

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Trump announces reciprocal tariffs: no country spared. Global recession fears as EU, China and Japan hit hard. Major escalation in trade war sparks selloff in risk assets and US dollar. US futures plunge by more than 3%, but gold rally runs out of breath.

Markets hold their breath for ‘Liberation Day’

Wed, 02 Apr 2025 11:00:00 +0300

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Trump to announce his tariff decisions at 20:00 GMT. All bets about Trump’s stance and the tariffs’ start date are on. Risk appetite to be supported by a softer set of announcements. US data could further increase concerns about stagflation.

Gold extends record run amid tariff mayhem ahead of deadline

Mon, 31 Mar 2025 16:00:00 +0300

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Trump dashes hopes of tariff leniency, dollar slips amid recession risks. US
data fuels stagflation fears data, NFP eyed next. Gold and yen surge, Wall
Street sinks.

Dollar falls on tariff woes, PCE inflation in focus

Fri, 28 Mar 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Tariff concerns persist ahead of PCE inflation data. BoJ divided over rate
hike timing, Tokyo inflation accelerates. Wall Street slips after Trump’s auto
tariffs announcement. Gold enters uncharted territory as flight to safety
intensifies.

Week Ahead: US NFP and Eurozone CPI awaited as tariff war heats up, RBA meets

Fri, 28 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US jobs report might show DOGE impact on labour market. Trump’s reciprocal tariffs could spur more chaos. Eurozone inflation will be vital for ECB bets as April cut uncertain. RBA to likely hold rates.

Equities react negatively to Trump’s new car tariff surprise

Thu, 27 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump announces car tariffs, prepares ground for April 2 deadline. US equities suffer; European equities could be under severe pressure. Dollar gets a small boost against euro and yen. Gold and oil maintain most of their recent gains.

Risk appetite recovers as April 2 tariff deadline approaches

Wed, 26 Mar 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Both US equities and the dollar continue to recover. US consumers are under stress, as the April 2 deadline is approaching. Pound suffers from weaker inflation; all eyes on the Budget update. Gold, oil and bitcoin move in sync.

Trump plans narrower April 2 tariffs

Mon, 24 Mar 2025 15:00:00 +0200

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Dollars ends the week in the green; traders still bet on third rate cut. Trump
to announce narrower, more targeted tariffs on April 2. Euro pulls back, yen
extends slide despite hawkish Ueda. Wall Street set to open higher after
tariff-related reports.

Dollar extends gains; SNB cuts, BoE stands pat

Fri, 21 Mar 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar gains as Fed in no rush to lower rates. Focus turns to speeches by
Goolsbee and Williams. SNB cuts interest rates, BoE remains on hold. Wall
Street pulls back, oil gains on Iran sanctions.

Week Ahead: PMIs, US and UK inflation eyed as tariff war rumbles on

Fri, 21 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US PCE inflation up next, but will consumption data matter more? UK budget and CPI in focus after hawkish BoE decision. Euro turns to flash PMIs for bounce as rally runs out of steam. Inflation numbers out of Tokyo also on the agenda.

Markets like Fed’s message, but will this last?

Thu, 20 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed keeps rates unchanged as Chair Powell calms markets. Forecasts point to stagflation and 50bps cuts in 2025. Positive equity reaction, but Trump’s rhetoric could reverse sentiment. BoE in the spotlight; pound could suffer from a dovish meeting.

Fed decides on monetary policy amid tariff uncertainty

Wed, 19 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar trades mixed ahead of FOMC decision. Fed to stand pat, focus to fall on new projections. BoJ remains on hold, gives no clear signals on rate hikes. Wall Street turns south, gold hits fresh record highs.

Fed and BoJ rate decisions enter the limelight

Tue, 18 Mar 2025 11:00:00 +0200

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Fed expected to stand pat, focus to fall on new dot plot. Yen traders await BoJ for clues about next rate hike. German parliament to vote on spending surge, euro extends rally. Wall Street rebounds, gold climbs to new record highs.

The calm before the storm for the markets?

Mon, 17 Mar 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Risk appetite to be tested after Friday’s stock rally. US retail sales report
could reignite US recession fears. Tuesday’s Trump-Putin call could seal
the ceasefire. Both gold and oil markets prepare for risk-positive headlines.

Mood improves as equities rebound but gold and dollar stay bid

Fri, 14 Mar 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Tariff chaos pushes gold above $3,000, dollar advances too. But some easing in risk-off mood after US government shutdown averted. US futures turn higher, Chinese stocks rally on consumption stimulus. Euro drifts lower amid US-EU tariff battle and German debt brake talks.

Week Ahead: Central banks in focus amid Trade War Turmoil

Fri, 14 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed decides on policy amid recession fears. Yen traders lock gaze on BoJ for hike signals. SNB seen cutting interest rates by another 25bps. BoE to stand pat after February’s dovish cut.

Relief rally from soft US CPI falters as trade war escalates

Thu, 13 Mar 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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· Softer-than-expected US CPI report offers some relief from trade frictions
· But equities can’t sustain gains as Canada and EU slap counter tariffs on US
· US government shutdown threat also weighs on markets
· Dollar mixed, gold approaches all-time high

Trump continues to dampen risk appetite

Wed, 12 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump’s shenanigans continue, new tariffs in place. Focus shifts to the US CPI report and BoC. Stronger US inflation could boost the dollar. Yen weakens, but wage agreements support a hawkish BoJ.

Stock selloff eases but dollar’s wounds deepen amid tariff turmoil

Tue, 11 Mar 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street slumps as recession risks mount, but futures edge higher today. Dollar remains in freefall as Fed rate cut bets gather pace. Euro and pound extend surge but yen rally cools.

Dollar seeks direction amidst mixed newsflow

Mon, 10 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar suffers from tariff talk and growth concerns. Wednesday’s aluminum and steel tariff deadline in the spotlight. US equities in need of a risk-positive sentiment boost. Oil and cryptos remain under stress.

US stocks continue to vote down Trump’s tariff strategy

Fri, 07 Mar 2025 16:00:00 +0200

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Trump retracts tariffs on its closest trading partners. Both US equities and the dollar continue to suffer. ECB cuts rates but the euro keeps shining. Oil and cryptos remain under stress.

Week Ahead: US CPI set to ease, BoC to probably cut again

Fri, 07 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Investors rethink tariff impact on US economy. Dollar’s pain could worsen as US CPI expected to ease slightly. Bank of Canada faces rate cut dilemma amid US tariffs.

Dollar falls further despite tariff exemptions, euro soars

Thu, 06 Mar 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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White House announces tariff exemptions for Canada and Mexico. Soft ADP jobs report poses downside risks to NFP. Euro extends rally ahead of ECB decision. Wall Street rebounds, WTI triggers buy orders below $67.

Dollar falls amid trade war escalation

Wed, 05 Mar 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends slide as tariffs intensify growth concerns. Focus turns to ISM non-mfg. PMI ahead of Friday’s NFP. Euro gains as German parties agree on spending. Wall Street suffers, gold gains, oil hits $67.00.

New month, old habits for Trump as equities suffer

Tue, 04 Mar 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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US imposes increased tariffs on its closest trading partners. US equities
decline as risk appetite remains weak. Dollar records losses against major
currencies. Oil and cryptos remain under pressure

Dollar extends gains, stocks tumble as Trump slaps more tariffs

Fri, 28 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump confirms 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, ups China tariffs by 10%. Dollar jumps higher despite growing Fed rate cut bets and lower yields. Aussie and kiwi lead FX losses, gold sinks again. Equity selloff deepens as Nvidia shares plunge.

Week Ahead: NFP and ECB to steal the show

Fri, 28 Feb 2025 11:00:00 +0200

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NFP to take center stage amid DOGE layoffs. ECB decides monetary policy after CPI data. Canada jobs report and RBA minutes also on tap.

Trump sparks tariff confusion, dollar gains; Nvidia underwhelms

Thu, 27 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump threatens EU tariffs, creates confusion about Mexico and Canada duties. Dollar rebounds but gold slides again. Nvidia falls in after-hours trading as earnings fail to set Wall Street alight.

Markets try to find their footing after a risk-off session

Wed, 26 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Tariff talk and weak US data fueled a risk-off reaction. Nvidia earnings may test market’s risk appetite. More Fed rate cuts priced in; a “Fed put” reaction expected? Both dollar and gold record losses; oil and cryptos plummet.

Stocks under pressure as Trump toughens rhetoric on China and tariffs

Tue, 25 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump piles more restrictions on China, says Canada, Mexico tariffs on schedule. Stocks slip; pressure on Nvidia earnings to save the day. US dollar holds steady despite lower yields, gold succumbs to profit taking. Euro eyes German grand coalition, cryptos extend slide.

Dollar starts the week on the front foot

Mon, 24 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Lengthy negotiations to follow German election result. Both the euro and
German stocks gain, but outlook remains clouded. Frail risk appetite after
Friday’s US stock performance and crypto hack. Gold maintains gains; oil
tries to recover from two-month low.

Gil Paz on Trading in Crises and Steps to Trading Success – Trader Talks #11 – XM Live Education

Mon, 24 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Elevate your trading with 60+ live shows! Watch XM Live Education, Monday to Friday, from 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time) / 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) 👉 https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF.

🗣️ Don’t miss this special interview with Gil Paz, our show host and Trading Expert. With 10+ years of experience in trading for institutions and his own capital, he’s a renowned trader and instructor. Timestamps below! ⬇️
2:35 How did you start trading?
10:59 What makes a successful trader?
14:34 How did you develop your trading style?
19:06 Your advice for beginner traders
23:13 The COT Report and building confidence
25:19 A day in the life of a professional trader
27:17 How to navigate uncertainty and crises in the markets?
34:28 Do you try new trading instruments?
40:11 The key decision that shaped you into a profitable trader

XM Live Education Host: Anna Maria Charalampi.
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Week Ahead: German elections and US PCE inflation on investors’ radar

Fri, 21 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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German elections and US PCE inflation on investors’ radar

Fri, 21 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Germany goes to the polls, but far-right AfD unlikely to form government. German CPI data might be bigger driver for the euro. US inflation also in the spotlight as PCE report awaited. CPI releases in Australia and Japan, Canadian GDP also on tap.

Fed minutes point to inflation concerns, yen rallies

Thu, 20 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed minutes show officials favor a wait-and-see approach. Yen extends gains on hawkish BoJ outlook. Euro slides as tensions rise over Russia peace talks. S&P 500 and gold march to fresh record highs.

Fed minutes enter the spotlight

Wed, 19 Feb 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rebounds ahead of FOMC meeting minutes. RBNZ cuts rates by 50bps, signals slower easing pace. Yen gains on more BoJ hawkish rhetoric, UK inflation accelerates. S&P 500 enters uncharted territory, gold close to record high.

Dollar steady, RBA cuts rates, RBNZ takes the torch

Tue, 18 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar stabilizes ahead of tomorrow’s Fed minutes. Yen gains on BoJ hike bets, euro slides. RBA cuts rates but sounds cautious about future moves. RBNZ to deliver another bold cut, focus to fall on guidance.

A quieter market session could favour the dollar

Mon, 17 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Geopolitics takes centre stage as US markets enjoy a bank holiday. Both gold and US dollar try to recoup Friday’s losses. Major currencies extend monthly gains versus the dollar. Yen benefits from strong GDP; aussie prepares for the RBA.

Trump sets out reciprocal tariffs but markets sigh relief

Fri, 14 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Trump targets all countries with reciprocal tariffs but allows time for talks. Dollar sinks, stocks rally as investors see bluff, shrug off strong PPI data. But gold unconvinced by relief rally, approaches new all-time high.

Week Ahead: Fed minutes, RBA and RBNZ decisions in focus

Fri, 14 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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After Powell and CPI data, dollar traders turn to Fed minutes. RBA to cut rates by 25bps, focus on forward guidance. RBNZ may opt for a third consecutive 50bps rate cut. UK, Canadian and Japan’s CPI data also in focus.

Dollar slips despite hot US CPI as Trump kick-starts Ukraine talks

Thu, 13 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US CPI hits 3.0% in January as Powell says Fed has more work to do. But US dollar unable to sustain gains even as yields surge. Trump announces Ukraine peace talks with Putin but gold undeterred. Euro buoyed by peace hopes, pound rises on surprise GDP growth.

US CPI and Trump could upset the fragile risk appetite

Wed, 12 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar losses mount as markets prepare for US CPI. An upside CPI surprise could spice up Powell’s testimony. Trump could open a new round of tariffs. Gold drops from a new record high.

Powell testimony eyed as Trump’s tariffs raise inflation risks

Tue, 11 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends tariff gains ahead of Powell’s congressional hearing. Stocks mixed amid limited tariff fallout. Gold jumps to new all-time high before retreating. Pound struggles as BoE’s Mann reiterates dovish pivot.

Risk appetite tested as tariffs rhetoric intensifies

Mon, 10 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump opens a new round of tariffs, the EU is next. Mixed US data keep the door shut to Fed rate cut. Dollar benefits, risk appetite remains fragile. Gold at a new record high, oil tries to find its footing.

Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Fri, 07 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rebounds ahead of NFP data. BoE cuts rates by 25bps, ultra-hawk
votes for double cut. Canada’s jobs data to shake BoC expectations. S&P
500 and Nasdaq gain, Dow Jones slides.

Weak Ahead: Will US CPI be a positive distraction amid Trump’s dramas?

Fri, 07 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US consumer and producer prices to be main focal point. UK economic output data to be watched too. But Trump and tariff headlines might be a bigger market driver.

Dollar slips on receding trade war risk; BoE meets

Thu, 06 Feb 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Investors are hopeful that a trade war can be averted. Dollar and Treasury yields slide ahead of tomorrow’s NFP. Yen rallies on BoJ hawkish remarks; BoE decides on rates. Wall Street gains, gold climbs to new record highs.

Achilleas Georgolopoulos on Trump, trading and XM

Thu, 06 Feb 2025 11:00:00 +0200

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Achilleas Georgolopoulos talks about the latest market developments, Trump, trading mentality and why XM Education is extremely useful to traders.

Market sentiment remains fragile as Trump takes aim at Iran

Wed, 05 Feb 2025 11:00:00 +0200

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Trump stays mum on tariffs, focuses on geopolitics. Risk appetite remains fragile as gold skyrockets. A busy data calendar today that also includes Fed speakers. Yen benefits from strong data prints; oil fails to rally.

Trump delays tariffs on Mexico and Canada, China retaliates

Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pulls back after Mexico and Canada agree with Trump. But rebounds after China announced retaliatory tariffs. Aussie and Kiwi are today’s main losers; gold hits fresh record high. Wall Street in a roller-coaster mode due to tariff uncertainty.

Oliver Klemm on Key Skills to Succeed & Trading in the '80s – Trader Talks #10 – XM Live Education

Mon, 03 Feb 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Boost your trading with 60+ free live shows 👉 https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF. Watch XM Live Education every weekday, from 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) / 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time).

🗣️ Join Oliver Klemm for insights from the renowned trading mentor with 30 years of experience, 150,000+ followers, and expertise from financial institutions, banks, and hedge funds. Listen to our exclusive interview!

1:44 Becoming an institutional trader in the ‘80s
8:58 Trading education
14:40 Trading in the ‘80s
20:10 What it takes to succeed in today’s market
29:25 A beginner’s guide to trading
37:00 Why some trades hit stop loss and move against the direction
49:03 Coaching
51:26 Why some traders struggle to succeed

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.

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Risk sentiment suffers as Trump makes the first move

Mon, 03 Feb 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump announces tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. Stocks and cryptos under severe pressure as dollar surges. A busy data calendar today that also includes Fed speakers. Gold in the red, but oil rallies ahead of OPEC+ meeting.

Gold hits record high as Canada and Mexico brace for Trump’s tariffs

Fri, 31 Jan 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Gold flirts with $2,800 amid fears of trade war escalation. Trump vows
tariffs on Mexico and Canada are coming. Safety flows, policy divergence
drive dollar and yen to weekly gains. Apple beats earnings, could help Wall
Street erase weekly losses.

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Week Ahead: Nonfarm Payrolls and BoE decision in the spotlight

Fri, 31 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar continues to be driven by tariff headlines. Nonfarm Payrolls to reshape Fed expectations. BoE to cut by 25bps; focus to fall on forward guidance. Canadian jobs report key for BoC’s next move.

Fed’s hawkish pause, mixed earnings leave markets directionless

Thu, 30 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Powell says Fed is not in a hurry to ease as rates kept on hold. But ECB to likely follow BoC and cut rates by 25bps. Dollar drifts sideways as tariff uncertainty clouds outlook. Wall Street underwhelmed by tech earnings.

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Tech earnings and the Fed to test the fragile market sentiment

Wed, 29 Jan 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Risk appetite improves as US tech stocks rally. Fed to stand pat despite Trump’s pressure. Dollar might get a boost from Powell’s press conference. BoC to cut again; loonie’s reaction might be muted.

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Rüdiger Born on Trading in Japan, JPY Volatility and AI – Trader Talks #9 – XM Live Education

Tue, 28 Jan 2025 17:00:00 +0200

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🗣️ Gain trading insights from Rüdiger Born, the founder of an asset management company and trading show host, based in Japan. Listen to our exclusive interview!

2:56 Living in Japan
8:44 Rate cuts in the '90s vs. today
11:05 AI’s impact on the future
13:31 Institutional trading vs. private trading
25:11 JPY and the trend reversal
30:11 Bank of Japan’s specifics
41:00 JPY volatility
46:37 Living and trading in Japan
49:05 Crypto and algorithmic trading in Japan

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.
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AI selloff sinks Nvidia ahead of tech earnings, dollar bounces back

Tue, 28 Jan 2025 14:00:00 +0200

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Nvidia stock crashes, Nasdaq plunges by 3% after DeepSeek sparks AI doubts. Trump renews tariff threats, adds to flight to safety as dollar rebounds. But panic eases as investors await key central bank decisions.

Trump’s tactics continue to weigh on market sentiment

Mon, 27 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump’s tariff strategy paying off. Dollar rallies but equity indices take a tumble. Busy calendar this week as China celebrates New Year. Gold, oil and cryptos experience losses.

Trump calls for rate cuts, softens stance on China

Fri, 24 Jan 2025 15:00:00 +0200

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Dollar slides after Trump urges central banks to lower rates. Aussie and kiwi gain as Trump softens his stance on China. Yen rallies after BoJ raises rates, revises up inflation forecasts. S&P 500 hits new record, gold keeps marching north.

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Week Ahead: Fed, BoC and ECB meet amid Trump tariff threats

Fri, 24 Jan 2025 11:00:00 +0200

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Three central bank decisions awaited as tariff reality sets in. Fed set to go on pause, ECB and BoC to likely cut again. But US PCE inflation could steal the limelight. Australian CPI and China PMIs also on tap.

S&P 500 touches fresh record, BoJ enters the spotlight

Thu, 23 Jan 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rebounds as traders cover short positions. Wall Street cheers Netflix’s earnings and Trump’s AI plans. Gold climbs higher, gets closer to record high. Yen traders await BoJ decision; 25bps hike almost fully priced in.

Markets adjust to Trump’s rhetoric

Wed, 22 Jan 2025 15:00:00 +0200

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Trump’s tariff intentions in the spotlight. Risk sentiment supported by AI announcements. Dollar remains under the weather, as yen eyes BoJ meeting. Gold’s ascent continues; oil correction picks up pace.

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Trump promises tariffs on Canada and Mexico

Tue, 21 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar slips on reports that Trump will not impose tariffs on day one. But
rebounds after Trump threatens Canada and Mexico. Stock futures slip but
immediately recover. Gold gains on Trump uncertainty, oil pulls back.

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Improved risk appetite ahead of Trump’s ceremony

Mon, 20 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Markets are in a relatively good mood today. Trump’s second presidency will commence today. Dollar takes losses, while the crypto market is thriving. Yen tries to benefit from BoJ expectations; oil struggles.

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Week Ahead: Markets on edge as Trump’s inauguration and BoJ decision loom

Fri, 17 Jan 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Markets brace for impact ahead of Trump’s inauguration. BoJ seen raising rates at first gathering of 2025. Canada and New Zealand CPI data to shape BoC and RBNZ bets. World Economic Forum in Davos also in focus.

Markets turn cautious ahead of Trump inauguration

Fri, 17 Jan 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed’s Waller hints at first half rate cut, but dollar edges up. Wall Street slips despite solid US retail sales and strong bank earnings. China GDP beat also fails to lift markets as Trump inauguration looms. Pound continues to bleed, stronger yen weighs on Nikkei.

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US data to test the improved risk appetite

Thu, 16 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Mixed US CPI report results in a risk-on market reaction. Both stocks and
bitcoin record sizeable gains. Today’s US data prints could upset markets
again. Yen benefits from BoJ rate hike talk; pound suffering lingers.

Soft PPI adds to dollar’s pullback, CPI report up next

Wed, 15 Jan 2025 15:00:00 +0200

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US PPI figures raise hopes of downside surprise in CPI data. Dollar on the backfoot, yen soars as BoJ rate hike bets gather pace. Pound whipsaws on surprise cooldown in UK inflation. Stocks extend cautious recovery, gold up too.

Dollar dips on hopes of gradual tariffs ahead of US inflation data

Tue, 14 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US dollar eases from 26-month highs on reports of gradual tariff increases.
Treasury yields fall, equities climb but tech stocks remain under pressure.
Aussie and kiwi lead the rebound as Chinese stocks jump higher.

Markets threatened by dollar’s dominance

Mon, 13 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Strong US labour market data dent Fed rate cut chances. The 10-year US yield climbs as dollar’s gains persist. The pound is probably reliving the September 2022 events. Gold remains in demand, oil tests the October 2024 high.

Strong US data could further assert the dollar’s dominance

Fri, 10 Jan 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Focus turns to the US labour market today. Strong data could further
complicate the Fed outlook. Dollar gains across the board; yen remains
under pressure. The pound is suffering the most, reliving the September
2022 events.

Week Ahead: US CPI and China GDP in focus, UK data eyed too as pound skids

Fri, 10 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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US inflation report to take center stage as dollar remains well bid. China’s economic policies to come under scrutiny as Q4 GDP on tap. UK CPI and GDP figures to be watched as pound’s pain worsens.

Dollar extends rally on fresh tariff headlines

Thu, 09 Jan 2025 12:00:00 +0200

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Trump to declare national emergency to impose tariffs. Dollar rallies, 10-year yield climbs to highest since April. Pound drops to 14-month low on UK bond selloff. US stock futures slip as markets digest Trump’s rhetoric.

Risk sentiment remains weak ahead of key US data

Wed, 08 Jan 2025 11:00:00 +0200

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Trump’s rhetoric overshadows US economic developments. US stocks could suffer from strong US data and hawkish Fed minutes. Dollar gains against the euro; yen remains under pressure. Weak risk sentiment supports gold as bitcoin drops.

Dollar falls on report about Trump softening tariff plans

Tue, 07 Jan 2025 13:00:00 +0200

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Washington Post says Trump could scale back tariff plans. Dollar drops; stays pressured even after Trump’s denial. Euro gains on sticky German inflation, Eurozone data eyed. Nasdaq and S&P 500 gain, driven by tech stocks.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia - 07/01/2025

Tue, 07 Jan 2025 10:00:00 +0200

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Peter speaks with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Doug Krizner from their global headquarters in New York

Dollar takes a breather ahead of PCE inflation data

Fri, 20 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pulls back, but data corroborate Fed’s hawkish stance. Yen bleeding stops after Japan’s CPI data reveal acceleration. Pound weakens as three BoE policymakers voted for a rate cut. Wall Street set to open lower on risk of a US government shutdown.

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Markets adjust to the revised Fed rates outlook

Thu, 19 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed cuts rates, dents easing expectations for 2025. Dollar benefits but risk
sentiment suffers. BoJ keeps rates unchanged, yen weakness continues.
BoE to stand pat, the pound’s recent gains could be under threat.

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Fed and BoJ enter the limelight

Wed, 18 Dec 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Fed expected to cut, attention to fall on the dots. BoJ could stand pat but signal more hikes at the turn of the year. Sticky UK inflation keeps pound supported ahead of BoE. Loonie tumbles on political turbulence and soft CPI data.

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Fragile market appetite ahead of the Fed meeting

Tue, 17 Dec 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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US retail sales on the agenda today, but Fed rate cut looks secure. Dow Jones experiences its longest negative daily streak since 2018. Pound gains following strong labour market data. Government crisis in Canada; Loonie could get a respite from the CPI data.

Steady start to Fed week, Bitcoin hits record, Flash PMIs underwhelm

Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar slightly softer as Fed decision looms with focus on dot plot. Global stocks weighed by Chinese gloom but Wall Street steady. Euro and pound firmer on stronger services PMIs. Bitcoin soars on bets of bitcoin strategic reserve.

Dollar continues its ascend as data clouds Fed outlook

Fri, 13 Dec 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Mixed US PPI adds to uncertainty about Fed rate cuts. Lingering inflation concerns and rising yields push the dollar higher. Rate cuts in Europe pummel the euro and franc. Pound slips too as UK GDP contracts for second straight month.

Week Ahead: Fed, BoJ and BoE conclude end-year policy decisions

Fri, 13 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed seen cutting in December, pausing in January. BoJ leans towards keeping rates steady. BoE seen ending 2025 on the sidelines as well. Flash PMIs, UK and Canada CPIs, and core PCE also on tap.

Nasdaq hits record as US CPI seals December cut; ECB up next

Thu, 12 Dec 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed rate cut bets firm after US CPI rises within expectations. Yen remains
under pressure as BoJ rate hike odds fade further. SNB slashes rates by
50 bps, ECB decision expected soon. Nasdaq soars to new record high, oil
futures perk up.

All eyes on US CPI as dollar edges up; BoC set to slash rates

Wed, 11 Dec 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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US CPI awaited as December Fed rate cut not a done deal. Loonie at fresh lows ahead of expected BoC rate cut. Aussie continues to bleed, yen see-saws on data, BoJ chatter.

Dollar fails to benefit from muted risk-off sentiment

Tue, 10 Dec 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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US stocks experienced a rare red session on Monday. Dollar fails to take advantage of the muted risk-off. Focus has shifted to Wednesday’s US CPI report. RBA softens rhetoric, aussie loses ground.

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Dollar loses ground as an eventful week starts

Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Geopolitics in the spotlight, gold fails to materially benefit. Friday’s US data keeps the chances for a December Fed rate cut alive. Dollar loses ground, but stocks in buoyant mode. China data disappoints; RBA meets tomorrow.

Dollar is under pressure, eyes US data for a recovery

Fri, 06 Dec 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Key US data in the spotlight; volatility could get a boost. Fed speakers on
the wires ahead of the usual blackout period. The dollar remains on the
back foot; stocks are feeling the pressure. Gold trades sideways, as bitcoin
retreats from its new all-time high.

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Week Ahead: The central bank bonanza begins, US CPI eyed too

Fri, 06 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Last policy decisions of 2024 to shape market mood. RBA, BoC, SNB and ECB are on the agenda. US CPI report to be crucial too as Fed undecided.

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Ashraf Laidi on the Trump Trade, Rate Cuts and JPY – Trader Talks #8 – XM Live Education

Fri, 06 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Boost your trading with 60+ free live shows 👉 https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF. Watch XM Live Education every weekday, from 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) / 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time).

🗣️ Get insights from Ashraf Laidi, a renowned trading educator and analyst who predicted the Fed's unexpected rate cuts in the 2000s and created the first 24-hour FX portal. Listen to our exclusive interview!

2:02 Fundamental economic events
6:50 Interest rate cuts and the stock market
12:51 Reasons for rate cuts
17:47 Sell-off or sector rotation?
21:19 The yield curve
25:58 Gold vs. stock markets
31:32 Bank of Japan and JPY
36:53 Will JPY become a ‘safe haven’ currency?
41:42 The Trump trade

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.

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Dollar awaits NFP, euro traders keep gaze locked on politics

Thu, 05 Dec 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar retreats, but Powell keeps Fed pause chance elevated. Today, initial
jobless claims may attract attention ahead of NFP. Euro traders ‘buy the
fact’ after French no-confidence vote. Bitcoin breaks $100,000, Wall Street
tests uncharted territory.

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Fed may cut rates in December, French politics in limbo

Wed, 04 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed officials support further interest rate reductions. Probability of a 25bps rate cut in December increases. Euro traders keep their gaze locked on French politics. South Korean won slides on martial law, aussie falls on GDP.

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Dollar recharges, Euro drops on French politics

Tue, 03 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rebounds on more tariff threads and better US PMIs. JOLTs job openings in focus ahead of Friday’s NFP report. Euro feels the heat of France’s budget turmoil. S&P 500 and Nasdaq climb to fresh record highs.

Dollar starts off the month on the right foot

Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Key data week commences, US economic prints in focus. Political
developments cast a shadow over the euro. Dollar in a good mood,
particularly against the euro. Gold and bitcoin in retreat; seasonality favours
gold.

Thin liquidity and month-end could keep the dollar under pressure

Fri, 29 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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US markets are in a festive mode, dollar is on the back foot. Thin liquidity could exacerbate market moves today. Loonie craves a strong GDP print; euro CPI could surprise on the downside. Tokyo CPI boosts the yen; the BoJ rate hike gains momentum.

Week Ahead: Traders lock gaze on NFP after Thanksgiving Holiday

Fri, 29 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Will the NFP data corroborate bets of a Fed pause? Loonie traders await employment numbers as well. Australia’s GDP to verify whether bets of May RBA cut are realistic. Euro could take directions from ECB President Lagarde.

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Dollar extends retreat ahead of US Thanksgiving

Thu, 28 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar traders lock more profits amid Thanksgiving Holidays. Probability of
a December Fed pause eases somewhat. Yen climbs higher as BoJ hike
bets remain elevated. Euro rebounds on ECB Schnabel’s hawkish remarks.

Dollar pulls back ahead of key inflation data

Wed, 27 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar traders lock gaze on PCE inflation numbers. Inflation stickiness could increase Fed pause chances. Yen strengthens on safe-haven demand. S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit record highs, gold rebounds.

Dollar rebounds, loonie tumbles on Trump tariff threats

Tue, 26 Nov 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Trump vows tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. Dollar gains, loonie
tumbles the most among majors. RBNZ expected to deliver another bold
rate cut. Gold and oil fall on Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire headlines.

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Geopolitics and Trump’s cabinet selections guide market sentiment

Mon, 25 Nov 2024 18:00:00 +0200

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Possible ceasefire in Lebanon, gold dives. A shortened week in the US due to Thanksgiving celebrations. Trump’s Treasury Secretary nomination pleases equity markets. Dollar loses ground against euro and yen; bitcoin fails at $100k.

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Dollar and gold gain as geopolitical risks and eurozone data worsen

Fri, 22 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Gold continues to gain, as geopolitics generates headlines. Hawkish Fedspeak and strong US data support the dollar. Euro suffers from another weak set of PMIs. Yen fails to benefit from stronger inflation.

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Week Ahead: RBNZ to slash rates ahead of US and Eurozone inflation data

Fri, 22 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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RBNZ is expected to cut rates by 50 bps at its last policy meeting of 2024. But will PCE inflation data give the green light for a Fed cut? Eurozone flash CPI also critical for ECB’s December decision.

Nvidia fails to lift markets, dollar stands tall

Thu, 21 Nov 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Stocks remain directionless even after stellar earnings by Nvidia. Declining odds for December Fed rate cut weigh on markets. Dollar holds near highs, yen rallies, Bitcoin soars to $97,000.

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Geopolitics dictates market sentiment, but dollar fails to benefit

Wed, 20 Nov 2024 15:00:00 +0200

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Geopolitics in the spotlight, gold gains. Dollar fails to benefit from the risk-off reaction. Stocks slightly in the green, as markets await Nvidia earnings. Pound gains after CPI report; bitcoin reaches $94,000.

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Stocks cautiously edge up amid geopolitical and inflation risks

Tue, 19 Nov 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Softer yields lift stocks despite Ukraine fears and rate cut doubts. Gold extends rebound, oil also higher in choppy trading. Dollar on the backfoot amid lack of direction as yen firms.

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Gold edges up amid Ukraine tensions, stocks and dollar subdued

Mon, 18 Nov 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Gold rebounds as Biden lets Ukraine use long-range missiles on Russia. Yen slips again after Ueda offers no clues on December hike. Equities mixed as Trump trade fades.

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Wall Street loses more steam as Powell not in a hurry to cut rates

Fri, 15 Nov 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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US stocks set for weekly loss as Powell adds to Fed’s hawkish soundbite.
But dollar unable to hit fresh highs; US retail sales eyed next. Yen firms
after verbal intervention; euro also rebounds.

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Week Ahead: Flash PMIs, UK and Canadian CPI data enter the spotlight

Fri, 15 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Almighty dollar awaits PMIs for more signs of Fed cut delays. Eurozone PMIs also on tap amid speculation of bigger cut by ECB. Pound could benefit from data pointing to rebound in inflation. Canadian and Japanese CPI numbers also on the agenda.

Dollar wavers on US CPI, surges on hawkish Fed remarks

Thu, 14 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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US CPI meets expectations, bolstering rate cut hopes. But Fed hawks spoil the mood as dollar hits one-year high. Gold continues to bleed even as stocks stumble.

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US CPI report could reverse the post-election euphoria

Wed, 13 Nov 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Markets take a breather as Trump assembles his team. Focus turns today to US inflation and Fedspeak. Germany prepares for snap election, euro on the back foot. Yen underperformance continues, intervention talk resurfaces.

Dollar extends gains, bitcoin soars but stocks lose momentum

Tue, 12 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Tariff fears weigh on euro and other majors, dollar continues to climb. Bitcoin and Wall Street hit new records but broader equities stumble. Gold unable to get a boost from Trump picking hawks for this team.

Positive sentiment lingers despite mixed newsflow

Mon, 11 Nov 2024 18:00:00 +0200

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Markets continue to dance to the tune of Trump’s win. Gold and oil suffer, while bitcoin and equities rally. Minority government in Japan, BoJ mini-minutes unsurprising. Euro under pressure as Germany gets closer to snap election.

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Fed delivers rate cut, stocks rally but dollar not impressed

Fri, 08 Nov 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed cuts rates and keeps door open to a December move. Powell appears confident about the inflation outlook. Equities’ euphoria continues, strongest weekly rally of 2024. Yen manages to gain against the US dollar.

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Week Ahead: US CPI to shift market focus back to data after Trump shock

Fri, 08 Nov 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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After Trump comeback, normality to return to markets with US CPI. GDP data from UK and Japan to also be important. But volatility to likely persist as markets assess impact of Trump 2.0.

Dollar pauses rally ahead of Fed, BoE meets as well

Fri, 08 Nov 2024 10:00:00 +0200

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Dollar traders take a breather as Fed decision looms. Focus to fall on how
likely a pause is in coming months. BoE expected to cut, could take the
sidelines in December. Wall Street continues to celebrate Trump’s win.

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Dollar and Stocks surge on Trump victory bets

Wed, 06 Nov 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Donald Trump secures key battleground states. Dollar rallies as his policies are seen as inflationary. Stocks celebrate prospect of tax cuts and deregulation. Bitcoin hits fresh record high, oil retreats.

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Wieland Arlt on His Trading Lifestyle – Trader Talks #7 – XM Live Education

Wed, 06 Nov 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Boost your trading with 60+ free live shows 👉 https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF. Watch XM Live Education every weekday, from 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) / 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time).

🗣️ Wieland Arlt - president of IFTA, author of the bestseller “Risk and Money Management for Day and Swing Trading“ and a Forbes Finance Council member. Discover more about his impressive achievements, his successful lifestyle, and how he does it in our exclusive interview!

2:15 Creating your own reality
3:25 How did you decide to switch to this lifestyle?
5:57 How did you first hear about trading?
11:55 Pursuing trading and travelling the globe
12:52 How do you decide on your next trip?
17:02 Country that took you by surprise
23:06 Lessons on currency trading
32:41 Managing responsibilities as President of the IFTA
37:17 Being a trading coach
44:50 Connecting the dots
48:51 What is your trading style and preferred timeframe?

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.

Markets hold their breath as America votes

Tue, 05 Nov 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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US presidential election in the spotlight. Markets in anticipation mode as volatility is elevated. Dollar, equities and gold remain under pressure. Aussie fails to materially benefit from RBA’s hawkishness.

Peter speaks with The Core Report - 05/09/2024

Tue, 05 Nov 2024 09:00:00 +0200

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Peter speaks with The Core Report anchor Govindraj Ethiraj

Dollar gaps down as Trump seems to be losing Iowa

Mon, 04 Nov 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Nonfarm payrolls slow to the smallest gain since Dec 2020. Dollar opens Monday with negative gap on US election poll. What will Fed officials decide just after the election? RBA gets the ball rolling tonight; expected to stand pat.

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Week Ahead: US election draws all eyes, Fed, RBA and BoE meet

Fri, 01 Nov 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Traders lock gaze on Tuesday’s US election. Trump and Harris battle neck and neck in final stretch. Fed to decide whether to cut interest rates. RBA and BoE decision are also on next week’s agenda.

Volatility returns with a vengeance ahead of key US events

Fri, 01 Nov 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Month-end pushes stock indices and gold in the red. Market angst could continue going into Tuesday’s US election. Focus today is on the US labour market data. Dollar fails to benefit against the euro and the yen.

Dollar slips amid stronger yen and euro, data barrage continues

Thu, 31 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Yen up after Bank of Japan sounds more hawkish than expected. Euro climbs on stronger German GDP and inflation. Dollar choppy after mixed US data, focus turns to PCE inflation. Stocks struggle on earnings outlook worries.

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Wall Street lifted by earnings as election jitters boost gold

Wed, 30 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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US dollar and gold remain elevated as markets bet on Trump win. But Nasdaq hits record amid optimism about tech earnings. Slew of data awaited out of the US and Eurozone, UK budget also eyed.

Dollar maintains gains amidst fragile market conditions

Tue, 29 Oct 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Markets prepare for a 10-day long rollercoaster ride. Focus today on earnings but key US data in sight. Gold and bitcoin rally, oil suffers, and 10-year US yield reaches 4.3%. Yen suffering might linger as party negotiations continue.

Tensions remain high in equities

Fri, 25 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Strong US data is not welcomed by equities. Busy calendar today but markets are already focusing on next week. Japan holds election on Sunday; the outcome could surprise. BoJ and yen could suffer from a hung parliament.

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Week Ahead: A decisive week for USD with NFP and more; BoJ meets

Fri, 25 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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A crucial week lies ahead with US jobs report, advance GDP and PCE inflation. The Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates, but will it flag a year-end hike? Flash GDP and CPI data for the euro area are also hotly anticipated. Australian quarterly CPI and UK budget on the agenda too.

Stocks under pressure amid US election jitters, dollar extends gains

Thu, 24 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Reduced Fed rate cut bets and growing odds of a Trump win push up yields. Wall Street slips; gold also takes a hit, but only temporarily. Dollar climbs to 3-month high, yen and euro struggle.

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Dollar, gold and US yields continue to rise

Wed, 23 Oct 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Euro is under pressure again as ECB dovish commentary lingers. Gold makes a new all-time high despite the 10-year US yield rise. US equities trade with low conviction ahead of Tesla earnings. BoC to announce another rate cut, loonie could suffer.

Demand for safe assets lingers

Tue, 22 Oct 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar, gold and US yields are on the rise. US presidential election risks start to affect market sentiment. Focus today on central bank speakers at the IMF annual meeting. BRICS summit could generate headlines, particularly for the Middle East.

Peter speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 22/10/2024

Tue, 22 Oct 2024 10:00:00 +0300

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Peter speaks with Bloomberg Radio anchor Doug Krizner in New York where he hosts the Asia Daybreak show.

Gold and dollar edge up as markets bet on Trump win

Mon, 21 Oct 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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US election risks move to the forefront as Trump narrows gap with Harris.
Gold begins week with new record as geopolitical tensions add to demand.
Stocks mixed ahead of key earnings.

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Peter McGuire on the Australian Financial Market – Trader Talks #6 – XM Live Education

Mon, 21 Oct 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Boost your trading with 60+ free live shows 👉 https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF. Watch XM Live Education every weekday, from 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) / 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time).

🗣️ Peter McGuire – a renowned trading expert, CEO of XM Australia, featured on Bloomberg, CNBC, and other media outlets – will share his secrets to success with you in our exclusive interview!

2:30 What is your background?
4:48 How have the financial markets changed over the years?
7:12 How has market behavior changed with the rise of retail traders?
9:04 How did you become an expert and CEO of XM Australia?
13:33 The Australian market and economy
18:55 Australian commodity market
25:38 How is a commodity-centric country's economy affected?
29:12 China and Australia relationship
33:14 India and Australia relationship
39:26 New Zealand and Australia competition
42:05 NZD/AUD trading tips

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.

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Week Ahead: BoC to speed up rate cuts; flash PMIs eyed for growth clues

Fri, 18 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Bank of Canada meets; may opt for bigger 50-bps cut. October flash PMIs to set the mood amid some growth concerns in the Eurozone and UK.

Strong US data keep the dollar in demand

Fri, 18 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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ECB cuts rate, keeps door wide open to a December move. Euro suffers as
US retail sales surprise on the upside. Focus today is on Fedspeak and in
particular Fed’s Bostic. Gold surpasses $2,700 as China announces further
measures.

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US dollar could benefit from an unexciting ECB meeting

Thu, 17 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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ECB meets but unlikely to reverse euro’s recent trend. Both the dollar and
US stocks are in a good mood. Netflix reports today after TSMCs massive
profit jump. Gold and bitcoin in demand, oil craves a bullish catalyst.

Stocks under pressure by chipmakers, pound slips on CPI drop

Wed, 16 Oct 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Chip stocks hit by selloff after ASML cuts 2025 guidance. Dollar stretches gains as pound and kiwi fall on lower inflation. Oil steadier amid ongoing ME drama, gold heads towards fresh record.

US dollar and stock rally continues

Tue, 15 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Euphoria in US assets, stock indices reach new highs. Today's Fed speakers could threaten Monday’s gains. Oil and gold in the red, bitcoin enjoys a strong boost. Pound ignores jobs data, awaits Wednesday’s CPI.

Dollar edges up, stocks muted as China stimulus underwhelms

Mon, 14 Oct 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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China announces more stimulus details but no word on size of package. Attention turns to week’s other events as stocks unimpressed. Euro and pound flat as ECB decision and UK CPI awaited.

Week Ahead: ECB headed towards another cut, CPI on the agenda elsewhere

Fri, 11 Oct 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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The ECB is expected to deliver its first back-to-back rate cut on Thursday. CPI data incoming in Canada, Japan, New Zealand and UK. China GDP and US retail sales also high on investors’ radar.

Dollar baffled after mixed data and Fedspeak

Fri, 11 Oct 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Jobless claims contradict the stronger CPI report. Fed’s Bostic talks about a November Fed pause. Dollar trades sideways as the market still expects a November cut. Oil and gold in the green, pound doesn’t enjoy today’s data.

Wall Street hits new record after Fed minutes, CPI eyed next

Thu, 10 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed minutes show split over September cut but Wall Street rallies. Dollar
eases from near 2-month high as focus turns to CPI report. Gold and oil
steadier after recent losses.

Dollar seeks direction amidst tepid market conditions

Wed, 09 Oct 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Fed speakers and minutes in the spotlight today. Dollar’s rally pauses, but oil and gold suffer losses. RBNZ cuts rates by 50bps, kiwi weakens. China schedules another press conference as local stocks plunge.

Risk appetite ebbs as markets fret over China stimulus, Fed rate cuts

Tue, 08 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Risk sentiment dented as China refrains from fresh stimulus measures. Fed officials give cautious green light to more rate cuts. Dollar and equities turn lower after recent gains as US CPI awaited.

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Dollar stands tall after robust jobs report

Mon, 07 Oct 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Strong US data dent chances of a 50bps Fed rate cut. Plethora of Fed speakers on the wires today. Dollar enjoys strong gains, stocks rally unexpectedly. Oil pushes higher as gold’s retreat continues.

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XM.COM - Peter McGuire - NDTV

Mon, 07 Oct 2024 09:00:00 +0300

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Peter speaks with NDTV Profit anchor Divya Wadhwa

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Will the dollar or stocks smile after ther non-farm payrolls print?

Fri, 04 Oct 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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Spotlight falls on the key US labour market data. Non-farm payrolls to rise
by 140k, but could surprise to the upside. Dollar to enjoy a strong set of
data, equities prefer weaker prints. Euro suffering continues, while both
gold and oil advance.

XM.COM - Peter McGuire - CNBC

Fri, 04 Oct 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Peter speaks with CNBC anchor Manisha Gupta

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Week Ahead: As dollar recovers, spotlight falls on US CPI inflation

Fri, 04 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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US CPI data to guide Fed rate cut bets and the dollar. RBNZ expected to cut interest rates by 50bps. Wounded pound awaits monthly GDP numbers.

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Dollar extends gains on upbeat US data

Thu, 03 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains as ADP jobs report beats estimates. Yen falls on prime minister Ishiba’s dovish remarks. Pound collapses after BoE’s Bailey warns about faster cuts. Wall Street virtually unchanged, gold retreats, oil extends gains.

Safe havens gain, stocks slip as Iran attacks Israel

Wed, 02 Oct 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Iran fires missiles at Israel in retaliation move. Dollar, yen and gold attract safe-haven flows. Oil rebounds on supply concerns. Wall Street pulls back ahead of key US data.

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Marios Hadjikyriacos on Effective Analysis & News Trading – Trader Talks #5 – XM Live Education

Wed, 02 Oct 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Boost your trading with 60+ free live shows 👉 https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF. Watch XM Live Education every weekday, from 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) / 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time).

🗣️ Discover the secrets to successful analysis with a CFA-certified analyst! Marios is a master of advanced fundamental analysis, has expertise in behavioural finance and experience at Cyprus' leading financial firms.

3:09 How did you enter the financial markets?
5:27 What nearly bankrupted Cyprus?
9:56 How do sudden news affect the markets?
10:36 How hard is the CFA program?
19:55 What does a research analyst do?
29:13 Have you thought about trading?
32:30 The role of algorithms.
42:31 Benefits of technical analysis.
44:39 Buy-side vs. sell-side analysts.

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.
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PCE inflation corroborates dovish Fed bets

Mon, 30 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Softer PCE data keep chances of another 50bps Fed cut elevated. Fed Chair Powell speaks, ISM PMIs and NFP on this week’s agenda. Yen rally pauses after Ishiba says policy should stay accommodative. Aussie, kiwi and Chinese stocks celebrate PBoC’s measures.

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Week Ahead: NFP on tap amid bets of another bold Fed rate cut

Fri, 27 Sep 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Investors see decent chance of another 50bps cut in November. Fed speakers, ISM PMIs and NFP to shape rate cut bets. Eurozone CPI data awaited amid bets for more ECB cuts. China PMIs and BoJ Summary of Opinions also on tap.

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Markets maintain upbeat mood ahead of PCE inflation

Fri, 27 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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China stimulus and rate cut bets propel stocks higher. Dollar caught in choppy trading as crucial inflation data awaited. Yen surges as new LDP leader in favour of rate hikes set to become PM. Gold scales fresh record highs before easing.

Dollar bounces back as stocks lifted from more Chinese stimulus

Thu, 26 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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US dollar rebounds ahead of Powell and other Fed speakers. US futures also turn positive as Asian rally continues on China optimism. SNB cuts rates by 25 bps as expected as ECB mulls October cut.

Equities are on autopilot but cannot help the dollar

Wed, 25 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Increased expectations for another 50bps Fed cut. Dollar continues to suffer but euro’s strength is perplexing. Positive impact of China’s measures gradually fades. Gold and oil diverge despite Middle East developments.

China’s stimulus blitz supports positive equities sentiment

Tue, 24 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar tries to recover as Fedspeak favors further cuts. China announces new measures, positive initial market reaction. Aussie benefits from another hawkish RBA meeting. Gold, oil and pound rallies continue.

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Euro sinks on poor PMIs, dollar firms ahead of Fedspeak

Mon, 23 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Eurozone PMIs dip into contraction zone, euro takes a dive. Stocks mixed as weak PMIs offset optimism about China stimulus. Dollar edges up as after Waller comments; Powell and PCE inflation eyed next.

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Markets digest Fed decision; BoE and BoJ stand pat

Fri, 20 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar tumbles on bets of more aggressive Fed rate cuts. BoE keeps rates steady, reiterating cation about future cuts. BoJ stands pat, Ueda says more rate hikes are coming. S&P 500, Dow Jones and gold hit new record highs.

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Week Ahead: SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, flash PMIs also on tap

Fri, 20 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps. RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls. After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation. September flash PMIs to the rounds; spotlight on euro area.

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Fed goes big with first rate cut; BoE takes the torch

Thu, 19 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed lowers interest rates by 50bps. New dot plot signals another 50bps cuts by December. Wall Street closes in the red, futures point to higher open. BoE and BoJ take the central bank torch.

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Let the Fed rate cuts begin

Wed, 18 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar trades indecisively ahead of important Fed decision. Investors assign a strong 60% chance for a 50bps cut. Wall Street and gold traders also on the edge of their seats. Pound rebounds on stick UK inflation.

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Krunal Rindani on Trading in India & the CFA Program – Trader Talks #4 – XM Live Education

Wed, 18 Sep 2024 10:00:00 +0300

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Boost your trading with 60+ free live shows 👉 https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF. Watch XM Live Education every weekday, from 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) / 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time).

🗣️ Krunal Rindani – an expert trader, CFA-certified analyst, renowned mentor, and host of a stock trading podcast – will share his secrets to success with you in our exclusive interview!

0:48 – Tell us about your trading career.
7:16 – What device do you use, and what's your trading style?
12:21 – How do you approach sentiment analysis?
14:36 – What does the CFA program cover?
20:09 – India's economy and tech sector.
27:38 – Trading world in India.
34:11 – Indian industrial sector.
40:30 – The role of gold in India.

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.

Stocks extend gain as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Tue, 17 Sep 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected. US retail sales today could prolong dollar’s weakness. Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report. Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop.

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Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting

Mon, 16 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot. Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024. Another assassination attempt against Trump. Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high.

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Dollar sinks, gold surges as 50bps Fed cut back in the picture

Fri, 13 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Soft US PPI and reports of Fed dilemma revive bets of 50bps cut. Dollar plunges as yields fall, pushing gold to new all-time high. Euro climbs as ECB trims rates but does not signal October cut.

Week Ahead: Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Fri, 13 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut. BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November. BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals.

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Dollar firms after CPI, euro awaits ECB, techs lead equities rebound

Thu, 12 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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US dollar edges up after CPI report wipes out 50-bps rate cut bets. Euro stuck on the backfoot in wait for ECB decision. Wall Street rebound gathers pace as tech stocks rally.

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Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Wed, 11 Sep 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI. Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation. US presidential debate dominates headlines. Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally.

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Equities rebound but face danger from US presidential debate

Tue, 10 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Equities turn positive, but sentiment is fragile. US presidential debate today could prove market moving. UK labour market data supports the pound. Bitcoin gains as risk sentiment improves, gold is range-bound.

Dollar and equities rebound from NFP-led losses as focus turns to US CPI

Mon, 09 Sep 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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US jobs report adds to slowdown fears but provides no clarity about Fed
policy. Dollar whipsaws while stocks tumble as ‘September effect’ takes
hold. But risk sentiment improves ahead of US CPI report and ECB
decision.

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Week Ahead: ECB poised to cut again, US CPI to get final say on size of Fed cut

Fri, 06 Sep 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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ECB is expected to ease again, but will it be another ‘hawkish cut’? US CPI report will be the last inflation update before September FOMC. UK monthly data flurry begins with employment and GDP numbers.

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Investors lock gaze on NFP data

Fri, 06 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as data offer little respite to concerned investors. NFP to accelerate somewhat, but PMI surveys pose downside risks. S&P 500 and Dow Jones end in red ahead of the job numbers. Gold rebounds, approaches record high; oil stabilizes.

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Equities weakness lingers as focus remains on US data

Thu, 05 Sep 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today. ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving. Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits. OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher.

Wall Street tumbles amid September blues

Wed, 04 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen and franc gain, aussie the main loser. Wall Street tumbles on risk-off September start. ISM mfg. PMI rekindles economic concerns. Oil collapses on prospect of Libyan accord.

Reino Deetlefs, Renowned Trading Mentor – Trader Talks #3 – XM Live Education

Wed, 04 Sep 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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🗣️ Meet Reino Deetlefs, a mentor at the elite Tradepedia academy and a successful trader with 10+ years of experience. Discover his secrets to success in our exclusive interview. Timestamps below. ⬇️

0:00 – Intro
3:27 – Reino’s journey in golf.
16:22 – The key elements for trading success.
17:18 – What is a prop trading firm?
25:07 – Sports and trading.
27:01 – What makes a successful trader?
30:19 – How to control emotions when trading?
42:23 – How to reprogram one's trading mindset?
49:05 – Reino’s trading strategy.

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.
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Dollar could suffer if the ISM survey disappoints

Tue, 03 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Markets are preparing for an action-packed week. The US dollar is on the
front foot following the bank holiday. Focus turns to the ISM manufacturing
survey today. Gold drops, oil recovers but outlook remains mixed.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - Daybreak Asia - 03/09/2024

Tue, 03 Sep 2024 10:00:00 +0300

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Peter speaks with Bloomberg radio anchor Doug Krizner from New York where he hosts Asia Daybreak.

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Dollar gains amid adjusted Fed rate cut bets

Mon, 02 Sep 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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PCE inflation holds steady, 50bps cut less likely. Euro slips as Eurozone
inflation drops to lowest in three years. Wall Street gains on soft-landing
hopes.

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Dollar edges up ahead of PCE inflation as stocks drift

Fri, 30 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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All eyes on US core PCE and consumption as bets for 50-bps cut stall. Dollar headed for weekly gains but Nasdaq has disappointing week. Euro on the backfoot as soft Eurozone CPI cements September cut.

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Week Ahead: Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Fri, 30 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Traders see decent chance for 50bps Fed cut in September. Powell adds extra importance to jobs data, NFP awaited. BoC decides on rates, third consecutive cut is fully priced in. Aussie traders lock gaze on GDP numbers.

Nvidia earnings fail to buoy markets, focus turns to US data

Thu, 29 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Nvidia slumps in after-hours trading as earnings don’t excite. Equities
mixed as attention turns to US data for direction. Kiwi outperforms, euro
slips on soft German and Spanish CPI figures.

Markets cautious as Nvidia earnings and key US data loom

Wed, 28 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar pauses slide as jobs and inflation data awaited. Yen pulls back but hawkish BoJ signals keep it elevated. Wall Street awaits Nvidia, oil retreats on demand worries.

Rate cut euphoria tempered by geopolitics as oil surges

Tue, 27 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Mood turns cautious amid geopolitical uncertainty in Libya and Gaza. Fears of supply disruptions drive up oil prices, S&P 500 closes lower. China concerns also weigh but European stocks turn positive as data awaited.

Powell signals it’s time to cut; dollar sinks but risk rally muted

Mon, 26 Aug 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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Powell says the time has come for rate cuts, pushing yields and dollar
lower. But cautious rally in stocks as Nvidia earnings, inflation data
awaited. Oil jumps amid fresh escalation between Israel and Hezbollah.

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Alex Spyroglou, CMTA Advisory Board Member – Trader Talks #2 – XM Live Education

Wed, 21 Aug 2024 10:00:00 +0300

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🗣️ Meet Alex Spyroglou, a brilliant award-winning trader who helped to create the London and Hellenic Chapters of the CMT Association. Discover Alex’s secrets to success in our exclusive interview! Timestamps below. ⬇️

2:23 – The trading book that impacted you most?
6:16 – The 5 key steps to master trading?
11:30 – How long does it take to become a good trader?
14:41 – Memorable encounters with trading legends.
23:00 – Alex's Indicator.
25:20 – Stochastic Oscillator and Momentum.
31:53 – How to use Alex’s indicator?
42:17 – Your perspective on gold trading.
49:47 – The evolution of the markets.

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.
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Sentiment improves after drop in US jobless claims

Fri, 09 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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US dollar gains as data ease further recession concerns. Aussie benefits the most, also helped by RBA’s Bullock. Wall Street rebounds, oil and gold gain as well.

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Week Ahead: US CPI to test market nerves, RBNZ might cut rates

Fri, 09 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Market turmoil has eased a little but will US CPI stir things up again? Crucial week for sterling as UK CPI, GDP and retail sales on the way. The RBNZ is edging closer to a rate cut, but will it be next week?

BoJ Summary of Opinions reveals hawkish mood

Thu, 08 Aug 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Yen pullback stopped by hawkish BoJ Summary. Fed cut bets remain dovish, traders await next week’s data. Tech shares drag Wall Street down again. Gold rebounds, but remains well off its records.

Yen weakens as positive market sentiment lingers

Wed, 07 Aug 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Markets continue to recover led by the Nikkei 225 index. BoJ comments result in yen underperformance. Light calendar again today, focus on geopolitics. Kiwi benefits from strong labour market data.

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Markets breathe easier but will it last?

Tue, 06 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Slightly more positive tone in equity markets today. Fear of recession fuels Fed rate cut expectations. Light calendar today, focus on data during Asian session. RBA remains hawkish, considers rate hike.

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Ashraf Laidi, A VIP Interview – Trader Talks #1 – XM Live Education

Tue, 06 Aug 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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In ‘Trader Talks,’ we interview trading legends who share their insights and secrets to success with you.

Watch ‘Trader Talks’ and 60+ other shows on XM Live Education: https://bit.ly/3Ur1GUF Join us every weekday, from 6:00–15:00 GMT (summer time) / 7:00–16:00 GMT (winter time) for a trading skill boost.

Meet Ashraf Laidi, the founder of a trading company and author of trading manuals! Learn about his opinions on Bitcoin, his meeting with John Murphy, and path to success from our exclusive interview.

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Instructor at XM Live Education.

2:11 – Intermarket analysis
5:47 – Becoming an expert
8:23 – Meeting John Murphy
9:22 – Writing the trading book
21:04 – The historic Bank of Japan intervention
22:20 – Trading insights
28:12 – Technical analysis
33:58 – Gold trading
39:14 – The Bear Steepener
43:33 – Thoughts on Bitcoin

Dollar plummets as US jobs data spread panic

Mon, 05 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Disappointing US jobs data push dollar off the cliff. Yen extends rally as
fears over US economy mount. Stocks drop, VIX rallies to levels seen more
than a year ago.

Week Ahead: RBA and BoJ Summary of Opinions take center stage

Fri, 02 Aug 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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RBA decides on policy as hike bets disappear. BoJ Summary of Opinions awaited for more hike hints. After Fed, dollar turns to ISM non-mfg PMI. New Zealand and Canada jobs data also on tap.

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US slowdown fears grip markets ahead of NFP

Fri, 02 Aug 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Tech stocks lead selloff in equities amid recession fears, disappointing earnings. Yen extends gains as safe havens rally but dollar mixed. Will today’s nonfarm payrolls report calm markets or add to jitters?

Fed hints at cut but dollar unbruised, pound slips ahead of BoE

Thu, 01 Aug 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed’s Powell opens the door to a September rate cut, stocks rebound. But
dollar only tumbles against the yen, which surges after BoJ hike. BoE rate
cut bets intensity ahead of decision, pressuring sterling. Oil comes back to
life as ME conflict takes another dangerous turn.

BoJ hikes but Fed could make a dovish tilt

Wed, 31 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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BoJ announces rate hike and bond tapering. Focus turns to US data and the Fed. Australian CPI fails to record a significant downside surprise. Gold and oil jump higher due to Middle East developments.

Markets in waiting mode ahead of earnings releases and risk events

Tue, 30 Jul 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Key earnings releases and numerous central bank meetings coming up. US stocks in waiting mode, dollar recovering across the board. Key euro area data today but all eyes are on Wednesday's BoJ meeting. Gold, oil and bitcoin move in parallel.

Yen on the front foot as BoJ hike eyed; stocks stage a recovery

Mon, 29 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen looks to extend gains as BoJ set to press ahead with policy
normalization. Wall Street bounces back on hopes of upbeat tech earnings,
Fed rate cut signal. Gold and oil in tepid rebound despite heightened
tensions in Middle East.

Week Ahead: BoJ, Fed and BoE meetings: a hike, a hold and a cut?

Fri, 26 Jul 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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A trio of central bank decisions coming up from the BoJ, Fed and BoE. One might hike, one might stand pat and the other cut rates. ECB to also be in focus as Eurozone flash GDP and CPI data are due. Week will culminate with crucial US jobs report.

Dollar trims losses against yen, core PCE on tap

Fri, 26 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar/yen rebounds after US GDP data. Core PCE the next test for Fed
rate cut bets. Yen rally losing steam ahead of BoJ next week. Wall Street
extends slide, more earnings awaited.

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Stocks market correction picks up speed

Thu, 25 Jul 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Fed expectations and US election affect sentiment. Euro remains on the back foot against the dollar. PBoC announces a surprise rate cut. Gold suffers, aussie and kiwi losses pile up.

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Dollar remains strong ahead of key data, yen surges

Wed, 24 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar keeps marching north, PMIs on tap. Yen extends rally as traders unwind carry trades. Aussi and Kiwi slide on China concerns, loonie awaits BoC. Stocks trade in the red, tech earnings in the spotlight.

Market in waiting mode as key data in sight

Tue, 23 Jul 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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VP Harris close to securing nominee status. Dollar trades sideways against the euro. Tech stocks’ reaction higher helps S&P500 breath better. Gold under pressure, drags bitcoin lower.

Technical outage triggers risk aversion, Biden steps down

Mon, 22 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Markets in risk-off mode after outage. Biden withdraws from Presidential
race. Gold and oil feel the heat of strong dollar.

Week Ahead: Flash PMIs, US GDP, and BoC decision on tap

Fri, 19 Jul 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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US data awaited amid overly dovish Fed rate cut bets. July PMIs to reveal how economies entered H2. BoC decides on monetary policy, may cut rates again.

Stock rout deepens on chipmaker selloff as dollar bounces back

Fri, 19 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Wall Street headed for weekly slump amid China trade war fears. Dollar stages dramatic reversal on safety bids but gold loses out. Euro slips after ECB decision, yen steady but off week’s highs.

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Stocks suffer a fall but not sounding the alarm yet

Thu, 18 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Stocks under pressure but dollar fails to make gains. ECB meets today, unlikely to produce a dovish shift. Pound ignores data; yen continues to rally against the dollar.

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Wall Street extends record streak, gold joins in

Wed, 17 Jul 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Rate cut and soft landing bets propel US equities to new highs. Gold also sets a new records as US yields sink despite Trump risks. Pound and kiwi edge up on slight upside surprises in CPI data.

Dollar recovers further on Trump boost

Tue, 16 Jul 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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US dollar extends rebound as US yield curve steepens on Trump bets. Dow Jones hits fresh record but global stocks slip on trade war fears. Dovish Powell lifts sentiment, retail sales eyed next.

A confused market tries to find its footing

Mon, 15 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar is steadier following the weekend’s events. Chairman Powell speaks today as outlook becomes challenging. Bitcoin benefits from developments and gold remains above $2,400. China’s CPC plenary starts today and could generate headlines.

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Week Ahead: ECB set to hold rates, plethora of data on the way

Fri, 12 Jul 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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ECB is not expected to cut in July but will it signal one for next meeting? Retail sales will be the main highlight in the United States. UK CPI report will be vital for BoE’s August decision. China GDP data to kickstart busy week.

Weaker US CPI sends US stocks into a tailspin

Fri, 12 Jul 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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Top US stocks fall despite the weaker CPI report. Dollar suffers but
euro/dollar fails to make significant gains. Gold climbs above the $2,400
level again. Yen benefits from dollar weakness and possible intervention.

Wounded dollar awaits inflation numbers

Thu, 11 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Powell’s testimony dents the dollar. US CPI data could deepen the wounds.
Pound gains as BoE’s Pill dampens August cut bets. Wall Street at new
highs, gold gains as well.

Stocks undaunted by Powell’s mixed tone

Wed, 10 Jul 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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US stocks rally continues after Chairman Powell’s comments. French developments and ECB doves keep euro in check. China reacts to bond market rally, but real issues persist. Kiwi under pressure as RNBZ turns dovish.

Spotlight falls on Fed Chair Powell’s testimony

Tue, 09 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar stays on the back foot ahead of Powell. Euro gains ground after French vote. Yen steady as BoJ discusses bond purchases. Wall Street extends rally, gold pulls back.

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Dollar slides on jobs data, Euro dips on French gridlock

Mon, 08 Jul 2024 16:00:00 +0300

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US jobs data confirms bets of two Fed rate cuts. Dollar slides ahead of Powell testimony, US CPI numbers. Euro gaps down as French election results in hung parliament. Wall Street to fresh records, gold jumps, oil pulls back.

Spotlight on NFP as dollar sinks; pound unmoved by Labour landslide

Fri, 05 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slips further ahead of crucial US jobs report. Pound marginally higher as Labour crush the Tories in UK election. Equities set to end week on a high note, Bitcoin keeps slumping.

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Week Ahead: Round two of French election, Powell testimony and US CPI

Fri, 05 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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French parties race to block Le Pen’s RN. Powell testifies before Senate Banking Committee. US CPI data to shake Fed rate cut bets. RBNZ to leave OCR untouched, focus on language.

Dollar skids on ISM services dip, pound steady as UK votes

Thu, 04 Jul 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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ISM services PMI points to unexpected contraction in June. Treasury yields
and dollar take a dive, but Wall Street rallies. Pound in bullish mode as UK
goes to the polls amid broader risk appetite.

Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - Daybreak Asia - 03/07/2024

Wed, 03 Jul 2024 16:00:00 +0300

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Peter speaks with Bloomberg anchors Bryan Curtis in Hong Kong and Doug Kirzner in New York.

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Market craves dovish Fedspeak as US stocks reach new highs

Wed, 03 Jul 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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US stocks rally after Chairman Powell’s comments. Focus on key US data today ahead of Thursday’s bank holiday. Dovish ECB commentary to keep euro under pressure. Dollar/yen rally continues.

Yen’s misery worsens, euro lower after CPI dip, dollar awaits Powell

Tue, 02 Jul 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Yen sinks to fresh 38-year low as officials refrain from verbal intervention. Euro pares gains after CPI dip and French election uncertainty. Dollar edges up on higher yields, but caution ahead of Powell comments.

Euro breathes better but not out of the woods yet

Mon, 01 Jul 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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European stock markets higher after French elections result. Key euro area data today as the annual ECB forum starts. Dollar on the back foot amidst a very busy week. Yen remains under pressure.

Core PCE in focus ahead of French elections

Fri, 28 Jun 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains after first presidential debate. Focus today turns to core PCE
inflation. Yen slides, intervention risks rise. French citizens head to the
ballots on Sunday.

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Week Ahead: French and UK elections on the horizon, US jobs report eyed too

Fri, 28 Jun 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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France and UK go to the polls; will elections bring chaos or order. US payrolls report for June awaited as Fed hawks don’t budge. Eurozone CPI, Fed minutes and ECB forum also on investors’ radar.

Dollar rises to a 38-year high against yen

Thu, 27 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rises as investors digest Fed remarks. Dollar/yen breaks 160,
triggers intervention warnings. Wall Street trades in the green, AI still the
main driver.

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Stocks’ asthmatic reaction keeps dollar in demand

Wed, 26 Jun 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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US stocks edge higher amidst quiet newsflow. French elections are around
the corner. Aussie and loonie benefit from hotter CPI reports. Yen remains
under pressure.

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Busier calendar could support the dollar

Tue, 25 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Richer US data calendar and Fedspeak today. US stocks in the red again; uptrend intact. Key inflation reports from both Canada and Australia. Yen shows signs of life but still close to intervention level.

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Dollar headed for third weekly gains as stock rally cools

Fri, 21 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar stands tall after SNB cut and BoE’s dovish hold. Yen enters
intervention zone as Japan’s underlying inflation falls. Euro slips on weak
PMIs, US PMIs next in focus. Nasdaq tumbles as Nvidia hit by profit taking
ahead of triple witching.

Week ahead: US PCE inflation the highlight of a relatively light agenda

Fri, 21 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Core PCE inflation to test bets of two Fed rate cuts in 2024. Yen awaits BoJ Summary of Opinions, Tokyo CPI. Canadian CPI data also enters the spotlight.

Fedspeak and US data could prop up the dollar

Thu, 20 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Back in action with a full US data calendar and Fedspeak. BoE meets but
unlikely to produce headlines. SNB cuts rates and remains willing to
intervene in FX markets. Yen underperforms as Japanese officials remain
quiet.

Wall Street sets another record after soft US retail sales

Wed, 19 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Risk appetite buoyed by signs of weakening US consumption. Wall Street closes at record highs ahead of US holiday, oil also rallies. Pound edges up as services CPI remains sticky despite drop in headline.

Fedspeak and US retail sales could test dollar’s resilience

Tue, 18 Jun 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Fedspeak could prove market-moving this week.Retail sales could surprise on the downside. RBA members discussed again to hike rates. Dollar still in charge but aussie rallies.

Euro extends losses on French election jitters

Mon, 17 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Euro hits 6-week low as risk premium for French debt jumps. But equities mixed as selloff eases. Trio of central bank decisions eyed.

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Dollar higher, yen under pressure but stocks feel good

Fri, 14 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen suffers from BoJ's inactivity. Dollar recovers from Wednesday’s
underperformance. US stock indices’ euphoria continues.

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Week Ahead: RBA, SNB and BoE next to decide, CPI and PMI data also on tap

Fri, 14 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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It will be another central-bank-heavy week with the RBA, SNB and BoE. None are expected to cut but there’s room for surprises. Retail sales will be the highlight in the United States. Plenty of other data also on the way, including flash PMIs and UK CPI.

Fed stops dollar’s CPI-related bleed, BoJ next

Thu, 13 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar tumbles after weaker-than-expected CPI data. Recovers somewhat after Fed signals one rate cut. BoJ decision looms as investors bet on July hike. US CPI data propels Wall Street to fresh records.

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Traders lock gaze on US inflation and Fed decision

Wed, 12 Jun 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar awaits US CPI data and Fed projections. Euro still feels the heat of EU elections. Nasdaq and S&P500 hit fresh records ahead of Fed.

Market prepares for Wednesday’s events

Tue, 11 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Euro tries to recoup part of Monday’s losses. US stock indices trade sideways but volatility remains high. Lighter US calendar but some interest on the 10-year bond auction. Pound is on the backfoot after the weaker jobs data.

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Dollar rallies on NFP, euro slips after EU vote

Mon, 10 Jun 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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US nonfarm payrolls surge past expectations. Dollar skyrockets as Fed rate
cuts are scaled back. Euro slips as Macron calls snap election in France.
S&P 500 pulls back after hitting new record high.

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Week Ahead: Fed and BoJ decide on monetary policy

Fri, 07 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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US CPI data and Fed to determine the dollar’s fate. Will the BoJ signal that another rate hike is looming? Pound traders await UK employment and GDP numbers. RBA hike bets shrink ahead of AU jobs and China CPI data.

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Dollar trades sideways ahead of NFP

Fri, 07 Jun 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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ECB cuts rates but outlook remains unclear. Market is focusing on the US labour market data. Weaker prints could open the door to a dovish Fed meeting. Stock markets could suffer if there is an upside surprise today.

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ECB cut awaited as Wall Street sets new record

Thu, 06 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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ECB expected to follow in BoC’s footsteps and cut by 25bps. Fed rate cut hopes rise despite upbeat ISM services PMI. Dollar mostly steady, stocks surge higher.

Fed rate cut bets grow but dollar steadies, BoC to likely cut

Wed, 05 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Soft US data continues to pile up, boosting Fed rate cut bets. But dollar on steadier footing ahead of ISM services PMI. Bank of Canada expected to cut rates today, loonie slips. Oil slide deepens, stocks struggle for direction.

Market craves weaker US data

Tue, 04 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Monday's weaker ISM survey pushes the dollar lower. Euro/dollar rallies to a 3-month high ahead of the ECB. BoC could announce a rate cut tomorrow; loonie may suffer. Oil tanks as bearish factors multiply.

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Steady start as markets digest data ahead of rate decisions and NFP

Mon, 03 Jun 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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ECB cuts pared back after CPI uptick, but Fed hopes rise on softer core PCE. BoC to likely join ECB in cutting rates this week after GDP miss. Upbeat Asian PMIs boost equities ahead of US jobs report. Oil prices muted as OPEC+ decision sends mixed signals on output.

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Week Ahead: ECB rate cut might get eclipsed by BoC surprise and NFP report

Fri, 31 May 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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ECB set to slash rates on Thursday, focus on forward guidance. But will the BoC take the lead when it meets on Wednesday? US jobs report eyed on Friday as Fed unyielding on cuts. OPEC+ might extend some output cuts into 2025.

US and Eurozone inflation data in focus

Fri, 31 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar pulls back ahead of core PCE price index. Euro awaits Eurozone flash CPI data. Wall Street closes in the red, oil extends slide.

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Dollar rallies as market angst spreads

Thu, 30 May 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Higher Treasury yields contribute to stock indices’ retreat. Euro under pressure as the pound benefits from the election. Gold fails to benefit from risk-off; oil drops ahead of OPEC meeting.

Dollar trades sideways as focus turns to US yields

Wed, 29 May 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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US stock indices under pressure as yields climb. German CPI could dictate next week’s ECB rhetoric. Yen underperformance lingers; all eyes on Friday’s Tokyo CPI.

Euro takes advantage of weak dollar

Tue, 28 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends slide on thin holiday trading. More Fed officials to step onto
the rostrum. Euro gains ahead of key inflation data. Wall Street set to open
higher, oil rebounds.

Dollar steadies, awaiting fresh catalyst

Mon, 27 May 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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US dollar stabilizes after profit-taking pullback. Investors agree with Fed’s
‘higher for longer’ view. Wall Street rebounds as AI remains main driver.
Gold gains, but remains well off its record.

Sentiment sours after strong US PMIs; stocks slip, dollar climbs

Fri, 24 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Rate cut expectations take another hit after upbeat PMIs. Dollar rises to 10-day high, Nvidia rally unable to lift Wall Street. Higher for longer weighs on oil and gold.

Week Ahead: US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Fri, 24 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar traders lock gaze on core PCE index. Eurozone CPIs in focus as June cut looms. Tokyo CPIs may complicate BoJ’s policy plans. Aussie awaits Australian CPIs and Chinese PMIs.

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Dollar benefits from hawkish Fed minutes

Thu, 23 May 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rallies as both gold and bitcoin fall. Early UK elections called after mixed UK CPI report. EZ PMIs unlikely to stop the ECB from cutting rates in June.

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Dollar under pressure as Fed speakers multiply

Wed, 22 May 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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FOMC minutes in the spotlight today. Mixed UK CPI probably keeps the door closed to a June move. RBNZ surprises with its hawkishness; kiwi benefits. Nvidia reports after the US market close.

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Fed uncertainty puts stocks on edge, dollar edges up

Tue, 21 May 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed policymakers maintain caution ahead of minutes as risk appetite ebbs. Commodities retreat from highs amid hawkish Fed, calm in Middle East. Dollar inches higher, ether jumps 19% on spot ETF hopes.

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Rate cut optimism buoys equities, gold jumps on geopolitical risks

Mon, 20 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Stocks remain on the front foot despite wavering rate cut bets. Optimism prevails even as gold rallies on Middle East uncertainties. Subdued dollar eyes Fed speakers, rising Japanese yields fail to lift yen.

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Week Ahead: Flash PMIs, UK & Japan CPIs in focus; RBNZ to hold rates

Fri, 17 May 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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After cool US CPI, attention shifts to UK and Japanese inflation. Flash PMIs will be watched too amid signs of a rebound in Europe. Fed to stay in the spotlight as plethora of speakers, meeting minutes on tap. No fireworks expected from RBNZ policy decision.

Dollar rebounds as US import prices accelerate

Fri, 17 May 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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US import prices see largest surge in two years. Investors scale back Fed rate cut bets. Yen slides on BoJ bond operation, Ueda’s remarks. Wall Street pulls back after hitting fresh record highs.

Dollar plummets as US data supports Fed rate cuts

Thu, 16 May 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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US inflation resumes downtrend, retail sales stagnate. Dollar falls as investors add to Fed rate cut bets. Yen gains even as Japanese economy contracts. Wall Street to fresh records, gold rallies on US data.

Dollar under pressure ahead of the US CPI release

Wed, 15 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Countdown to US CPI report is almost over. Increased risk of an upside surprise after strong PPI. US dollar on the back foot today as equities in waiting mode. China prepares to go all in to save the housing sector.

Range trading continues as markets prepare for Wednesday’s CPI

Tue, 14 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar recovers somewhat while US stocks’ rally stalls. PPI and Fed
Chairman Powell could wake up the market later today. Mixed UK labour
data complicate the BoE’s outlook.

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Investors cautious as spotlight falls on US inflation

Mon, 13 May 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains slightly on hawkish Fed remarks. Investors scale back their Fed rate cut bets. China’s CPI rises for the third straight month. US stocks stay supported despite rebound in yields.

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Dollar slides, gold shines after soft US labor market data

Fri, 10 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar drops as jobless claims signal labor market is losing steam. Gold and stock markets climb, capitalizing on Fed rate cut bets. Sterling retreats on BoE decision, but recovers after GDP stats.

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Week Ahead: US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Fri, 10 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed rate-cut speculators rest hopes on US inflation data. After dovish BoE, pound traders turn to UK job numbers. Will a strong labor market convince the RBA to hike? Will Chinese data revive economic concerns?

Pound slides ahead of Bank of England decision

Thu, 09 May 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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BoE meeting in the spotlight today - likely to downplay June rate cut. Yen
languishes, trapped between FX intervention and low interest rates. Dollar
recovers, stocks and gold steady, waiting for US inflation update.

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US dollar recovers, stocks’ rally stalls as market tries to find its footing

Wed, 08 May 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed expectations drive the market; three Fed speakers on the wires today. Dollar recovers but all eyes are on the US stocks and Treasury yields. The pound prepares for the BoE meeting as elections gain more airtime. Yen on the back foot again; gold steady amid the Israeli ground operation.

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Dollar stays weak as Fed rate cut bets increase

Tue, 07 May 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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US labor market cools more than expected. Dollar slides as two rate cuts this year become more likely. Yen retreats as intervention momentum fades. Wall Street cheers prospect of lower interest rates.

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Week Ahead: BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week

Fri, 03 May 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, China releases trade data.

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Dollar rebounds, yen off highs after suspected intervention

Tue, 30 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen eases from highs as Japanese authorities stay mum on intervention. Dollar creeps higher, euro softer as attention turns to Eurozone economy. Stocks stay perky ahead of more key earnings, gold extends losses.

Yen spikes on suspected intervention; big week awaits the dollar

Mon, 29 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen reverses higher after breaching 160/dollar, but no comment on intervention. Dollar slips despite more hot inflation data; Fed decision and NFP loom large. Stocks extend gains on earnings, strong US economy.

Yen keeps sinking after Bank of Japan decision

Fri, 26 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen falls to fresh multi-decade lows after BoJ rate decision. US GDP flashes mixed signals, dollar retreats in aftermath. Stocks recover on solid tech earnings, gold resumes uptrend.

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Week Ahead: Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fri, 26 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the euro. Chinese PMIs and New Zealand employment data to be watched too.

Yen tumbles to fresh lows, dollar awaits GDP

Thu, 25 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen falls to new 34-year low ahead of BoJ decision. Dollar traders await GDP and PCE data. Wall Street mixed, gold stays on the back foot.

Stocks in the green, dollar stable as next batch of US data awaited

Wed, 24 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Stocks feeling more positive following the US PMI miss. Busy earnings calendar as focus remains on US data prints. Dollar/yen remains a tad below 155 ahead of the BoJ meeting. Aussie benefits from stronger CPI report.

Dollar pulls back, but yen hits new 34-year low

Tue, 23 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar loses ground against risk-linked currencies. But yen continues to slide to new 34-year low. Stocks rebound, gold falls on easing geopolitical concerns.

Risk appetite returns as geopolitical fears calm

Mon, 22 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Global markets in a better mood amid lack of Iran-Israel escalation. Stocks recover after sharp selloff, oil and gold prices turn down. Busy week ahead for economic data releases and tech earnings.

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Safe havens jump as Israel retaliates against Iran

Fri, 19 Apr 2024 13:00:00 +0300

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Gold, franc, yen and oil spike higher after Israel strikes Iran. But gains are pared after retaliatory response seen to be limited. Stocks head deeper into the red after disappointing tech earnings.

Week Ahead: US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Fri, 19 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as AU CPIs also on tap. Earnings season heats up as tech giants report.

US dollar on the back foot as nervousness lingers in equity markets

Thu, 18 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Euro edges higher despite continued hawkish commentary from Fed officials. Geopolitical developments cast doubt on ECB June rate cut. Yen fails to make considerable gains as market looks to Friday’s CPI data.

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Geopolitics and Fedspeak keep stocks under pressure

Wed, 17 Apr 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Stocks remain under pressure as Fedspeak and US data dent rate cuts chances. Dollar remains dominant against both the euro and the yen. UK inflation surprises on the upside; the pound tries to rally. A plethora of Fed, ECB and BoE speakers to keep the market on its toes today.

Stocks slide, dollar soars as rate cut bets take another hit

Tue, 16 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Surging US retail sales dampen Fed rate cut expectations. Wall Street sinks, dollar scales fresh highs as yields jump. China GDP beat offers only tepid support as March data disappoints. Yen continues to tumble, risk of intervention grows.

Iranian attacks put markets on edge, but fallout limited

Mon, 15 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Markets steady after Israel and allies intercept Iranian missiles and drones. Hopes of no further escalation in conflict lift equities, oil slips. But gold and dollar hold near highs. Yen at fresh 34-year lows ahead of US retail sales.

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Week Ahead: More inflation data on the way as rate cut bets thrown into disarray

Fri, 12 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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CPI numbers due in the UK and Japan. China to also come into the spotlight as Q1 GDP eyed. US retail sales to kickstart the week as earnings season gets underway.

Dollar pulls back; ECB sends clearer cut signals

Fri, 12 Apr 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar takes a breather, but Fed bets remain unchanged. Euro suffers as ECB points to June rate cut. Yen intervention warnings intensify. S&P 500 and Nasdaq rebound, gold hits fresh record high.

Dollar surges across the board on hot inflation data

Thu, 11 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rallies on hotter-than-expected US CPI numbers. Dollar/yen breaks above 152 and triggers fresh warnings. BoC adds fuel to June rate cut speculation. ECB to stand pat; likely to signal June cut as well.

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Dollar and equities trade higher in anticipation of US CPI release

Wed, 10 Apr 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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US Dollar and stocks are in the green today ahead of the key US CPI report. All eyes will be on equites if CPI surprises on the upside. RBNZ remains hawkish; BoC could show a dovish tilt.

Gold shines bright, yen knocks on intervention door

Tue, 09 Apr 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Gold prices remain near record highs - is the rally overstretched? Yen hovers at multi-decade lows, FX intervention still on the radar. Dollar inches lower, stocks trade sideways, RBNZ meeting next.

Stocks climb after sizzling US jobs report

Mon, 08 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Nonfarm payrolls smash forecasts, reaffirming labor market strength. But dollar unable to hold onto gains, as stock markets race higher. Gold hits new record highs, defying rising yields and geopolitics.

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Fed hawks spook markets ahead of NFP

Fri, 05 Apr 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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Hawks dominate latest round of Fed speak; stocks slip, dollar rebounds. But rate cut odds little changed as US jobs report awaited. Yen firms after Ueda opens door to more rate hikes. Oil extends gains on geopolitical tensions, but gold pulls back.

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Week Ahead: ECB decision and US inflation to fuel FX volatility

Fri, 05 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Central bank decisions in Eurozone, Canada, and New Zealand. Highlight will be the ECB - likely to signal a rate cut in June. In US, dollar will be driven by inflation stats and Fed minutes.

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Equities in the green as they prepare for Friday’s jobs data

Thu, 04 Apr 2024 11:00:00 +0300

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Stocks bounce higher, helped by Chairman Powell and weaker data. Euro
gains despite weaker inflation; gold makes a new all-time high. A plethora
of Fed speakers to potentially impact market sentiment today.

Equities under growing pressure, eye US data, amid rate cut doubts

Wed, 03 Apr 2024 12:00:00 +0300

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Stocks suffer as chances of a summer Fed rate cut decrease. Extra focus on today’s US data releases and Fed speakers. Euro shows resilience while gold defies gravity.

Dollar and gold rise in tandem as Fed rate cut bets pared back

Tue, 02 Apr 2024 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar strengthens across the board after upbeat ISM as June cut hopes fade. Japan keeps up intervention rhetoric as yen stays under pressure. Gold undeterred by strong dollar, rebounds towards record high. Equities mixed ahead of crucial European and US data.

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Week Ahead: Rate cut hopes rest on US jobs report and Eurozone flash CPI

Fri, 29 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Nonfarm payrolls report and European flash CPI to shape rate cut bets. ISM PMIs to also be important for Fed expectations and US dollar. Canadian employment and Chinese PMIs also on the agenda.

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Core PCE inflation takes center stage

Fri, 29 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends advance ahead of core PCE data. Dollar/yen stays on intervention watch. S&P 500 secures strongest Q1 in five years. Gold stretches to new record high.

Fed’s Waller fuels the dollar, yen intervention warnings intensify

Thu, 28 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed Gov. Waller says no rush to lower rates. June rate cut probability declines, dollar gains. Yen recovers on stronger intervention warnings. Wall Street and gold trade north.

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Yen sinks to intervention ‘danger zone’

Wed, 27 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Yen slips to new 34-year low, drawing stronger intervention threats. Swiss franc loses ground too, dollar rebounds after solid US data. Gold steady near record highs, chipmakers weigh on stock markets.

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Yen stabilizes as Japan ramps up intervention warning

Tue, 26 Mar 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Threats of FX intervention help yen to stabilize near three-decade lows.
Dollar and stocks take a step back, Bitcoin jumps in anticipation of halving.
Shortage of liquidity could be an important market theme this week.

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Stocks at fresh records even as dollar bounces back

Fri, 22 Mar 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street leads rally in equity markets, fuelled by rate cut optimism. But
US dollar stages surprise rebound amid US exceptionalism. Pound slides
on BoE’s dovish tilt, yen steadies, PBOC loosens grip on yuan.

Week Ahead: Markets quiet down after central bank frenzy

Fri, 22 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar recovers after Fed selloff, turns to PCE inflation. Yen falls despite rate increase, testing three-decade lows. Quarter-end flows could disturb the waters in a quiet week.

Dollar tumbles as Fed still sees three rate cuts this year

Thu, 21 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed’s updated dot plot continues to suggest three rate cuts in 2024. Dollar tumbles across the board, June cut probability rises. Pound traders lock gaze on BoE, SNB cuts interest rates. S&P 500, Dow Jones and gold hit new record highs.

Dollar rises as Fed enters spotlight, yen plummets

Wed, 20 Mar 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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US dollar gains as traders brace for hawkish Fed. Yen tumbles despite BoJ’s historic decision. Loonie slides on cooler than expected Canadian inflation. Wall Street gains ahead of Fed, oil extends advance.

BoJ hikes, scraps yield curve control, but yen slumps

Tue, 19 Mar 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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BoJ ends negative rates and yield curve control in historic move. But yen can’t catch a break as Ueda signals ongoing accommodative stance. Aussie also under pressure as RBA tones down tightening bias. Dollar resumes climb before Fed comes into the limelight.

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Dollar recovers, equities stall after US data releases

Fri, 15 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar stages comeback as US data fuels speculation of fewer Fed cuts. Stocks and Bitcoin take a step back, oil climbs after Ukraine drone attacks. Yen traders play the guessing game ahead of next week’s rate decision.

Week Ahead: Five central banks: who will hike, who will not cut?

Fri, 15 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed meets on Wednesday with focus on new dot plot. Will the Bank of Japan finally end negative rates on Tuesday? BoE and RBA to stick with patience, SNB might be in more of a rush to cut. Flash PMIs plus inflation data in the UK, Japan and Canada will also be crucial.

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US PPI and retail sales data enter the limelight

Thu, 14 Mar 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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After hot CPI inflation, dollar awaits PPI and retail sales data. Yen on the
back foot as BoJ March hike bets decrease. S&P 500 and Nasdaq pull
back, gold rebounds.

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with The Core - 14/03/2024

Thu, 14 Mar 2024 09:00:00 +0200

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with The Core anchor Govindraj Ethiraj.

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Stocks power to new records despite hot US inflation

Wed, 13 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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US inflation comes in hotter than expected, but markets brush it off. Dollar unable to gain much, equities close at new all-time highs. Gold hit by profit taking, yen soft even as BoJ speculation heats up.

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Investors lock gaze on US inflation data

Tue, 12 Mar 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar trades cautiously ahead of inflation numbers. Yen pulls back on Ueda’s and Suzuki’s remarks. Pound retreats but BoE still expected to cut rates after Fed. S&P 500 and Nasdaq slide, Bitcoin hits new record high.

Gold shines, dollar languishes after mixed US payrolls

Mon, 11 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar in limbo after mixed signals from US employment report. Japanese yen and British pound capitalize most on dollar’s troubles. Gold hits another record, but high-flying stocks correct lower.

Dollar gets smoked ahead of nonfarm payrolls

Fri, 08 Mar 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar falls sharply, will US employment data fuel this selloff? Yen stages
comeback, euro climbs as well after ECB decision. Gold and stocks hit new
record highs as stunning rally continues.

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Week Ahead: US CPI to headline dull week, may spoil the calm

Fri, 08 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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US inflation and retail sales data to take the spotlight as dollar slips. UK jobs and GDP numbers coming up too amid recession woes. Will markets hold their nerve before the looming central bank storm?

Powell still sees rate cuts this year, ECB enters the spotlight

Thu, 07 Mar 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Powell says it may be appropriate to lower rates this year. Yen rallies as speculation about BoJ exiting negative rates intensifies. BoC appears less dovish than expected, central bank torch goes to ECB. Wall Street rebounds, gold hits a new record high.

Gold hits new records ahead of Powell’s testimony

Wed, 06 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Gold soars to new record highs as Fed chief prepares to testify. Bitcoin also hits all-time peaks, but retreats alongside tech stocks. Bank of Canada rate decision and UK budget on the menu too.

Dollar awaits ISM services PMI, China sets dubious targets

Tue, 05 Mar 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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ISM non-mfg. PMI awaited ahead of Powell’s testimony and NFP. Yen slide
pauses after accelerating Tokyo CPIs. Aussie and kiwi slip as China
announces ambitious growth target. Equities retreat ahead of key events,
gold and bitcoin rally.

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Gold and equities shine after disappointing US data

Mon, 04 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar loses steam after soft ISM manufacturing survey. But gold and stock markets rally, closing at new records. Huge week lies ahead, featuring an ECB decision and US payrolls.

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Stocks storm to fresh records on easing inflation

Fri, 01 Mar 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street surges to all-time highs after in-line PCE inflation. Dollar slips before bouncing back, yen gets knocked back by dovish Ueda. Euro supported by upside surprises in CPI and manufacturing PMI.

Week Ahead: ECB decision and US payrolls to steal the show

Fri, 01 Mar 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Nonfarm payrolls and Powell’s testimony will be crucial for US dollar. European Central Bank could set the stage for summer rate cuts.

Yen gains on BoJ remarks, dollar awaits key inflation data

Thu, 29 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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BoJ’s Takata signals that policy adjustment is approaching. Dollar braces for PCE inflation data. Wall Street pulls back, Bitcoin surges above $60,000.

Kiwi plunges on RBNZ’s dovish turn, Wall Street consolidates

Wed, 28 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Aussie and kiwi take a dive as Australian CPI, RBNZ ease rate hike fears. China’s property troubles also weigh. Wall Street and dollar await PCE data for direction.

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Dollar stays on the backfoot ahead of key data, yen enjoys CPI lift

Tue, 27 Feb 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Traders await some key data releases, RBNZ decision amid quiet start to
the week. Yen broadly firmer after CPI beat, adds to dollar weakness as
euro extends gains. Equity rally loses some steam but Bitcoin surges.

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Dollar gains ground ahead of key inflation data

Mon, 26 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rebounds as PCE inflation data eyed. Investors continue to scale back Fed rate cut bets. Kiwi slides but RBNZ hike chance remains unchanged. Wall Street loses steam, focus could turn on monetary policy.

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Nvidia supercharges tech rally, euro loses momentum

Fri, 23 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Stock markets hit new record highs after stellar Nvidia earnings. Euro surrenders early gains as German economic gloom intensifies. Dollar recovers with help from solid data, risk-linked currencies shine.

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Week Ahead: US and Eurozone inflation data, RBNZ meeting to test rate cut bets

Fri, 23 Feb 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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US core PCE and Eurozone flash CPIs to keep inflation worries in the foreground. Japanese and Australian inflation numbers also coming up. RBNZ might strike a hawkish tone. Manufacturing PMIs also in the spotlight.

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Fed minutes confirm caution about lowering rates

Thu, 22 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed minutes reveal concerns about lowering rates too soon. Dollar remains
unimpressed, but rate cut bets are pushed back. Kiwi continues to gain on
increasing RBNZ hike speculation. Wall Street closes mixed, Nvidia beats
earnings estimates.

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Fed minutes and Nvidia earnings in the spotlight

Wed, 21 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar gets knocked down ahead of FOMC meeting minutes. Gold recovers more ground, China-related assets gain after rate cut. Nvidia earnings later today will set the tone in stock markets.

Dollar in wait and see mode, kiwi extends gains

Tue, 20 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar trades mixed as traders await tomorrow’s Fed minutes. Kiwi extends gains on bets that the RBNZ could hike again. Aussie remains unimpressed by hawkish RBA minutes. China announces biggest ever cut in 5-year LPR.

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Dollar unable to capitalize on hot inflation prints

Mon, 19 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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US producer prices come in hot, but dollar cannot sustain gains. Stock markets take a step back, Nvidia earnings to set the tone. Gold recovers recent losses with some help from geopolitics.

Rate cut bets boosted by surprise dip in US retail sales

Fri, 16 Feb 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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‘Higher for longer’ fears ease as US consumers spend less. Pullback in yields propels S&P 500 to another record close. Dollar softness props up euro as ECB doves get more vocal.

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Week Ahead: Fed minutes headline a data-heavy week

Fri, 16 Feb 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar shines after inflation surprise, awaits latest Fed minutes. In Europe, business surveys will be crucial for euro and sterling.

US retail sales in focus after UK and Japan slip into recession

Thu, 15 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Goolsbee says Fed is on track even with inflation a bit higher. Dollar pulls
back, US retail sales enter the limelight. Pound wounds deepen as UK
economy slips into recession. Yen gains on fears of intervention, despite
Japan’s downturn.

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Sticky US inflation fuels the dollar’s engines

Wed, 14 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rallies across the board after higher-than-expected CPIs. Investors scale back their rate cut bets, get closer to Fed’s dot plot. Dollar/yen surges above 150, triggers intervention warnings. Pound extends declines after UK CPIs, awaits tomorrow’s GDP.

Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 14/02/2024

Wed, 14 Feb 2024 09:00:00 +0200

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg Radio - Asia Daybreak program with NY anchors Bryan Curtis and Doug Krizner.

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Markets seek direction from US CPI report

Tue, 13 Feb 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street eases from highs as investors on standby for US inflation
update. Dollar supported as yields crawl higher, yen resumes slide. Pound
lifted by strong jobs data; Bitcoin soars above $50,000.

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S&P 500 hits 5,000 milestone as US CPI awaited

Mon, 12 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Fading rate cut bets fail to deter tech rally as S&P 500 tops 5,000. Relief as no major changes in annual US CPI revisions, January report eyed next. Dollar drifts sideways in thin trading amid holidays across Asia.

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Yen sinks after BoJ comments, dollar eyes CPI revisions

Fri, 09 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Yen gets mauled as traders lose confidence in BoJ tightening cycle. Dollar
set for fourth week of gains, inflation revisions today may be crucial. Oil
prices soar, stock markets take a breather but still at record highs.

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Week Ahead: US CPI in the spotlight as dovish Fed bets fade

Fri, 09 Feb 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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All eyes on US CPI on Tuesday after run of strong data. Retail sales on the agenda too for the US dollar. Pound on standby for UK data flurry, including CPI and GDP. Japanese GDP coming up too.

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Dollar’s retreat propels S&P 500 to new record

Thu, 08 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends retreat as traders await next catalyst. Yen slides as BoJ signals no rush to raise interest rates. Chinese markets supported by more stabilizing efforts. Wall Street rallies, gold holds steady, oil gains.

Dollar pulls back, kiwi and aussie the main gainers

Wed, 07 Feb 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar slides, but uptrend remains intact. Kiwi gains on China news and New Zealand jobs data. Aussie also higher as RBA maintains tightening bias. Wall Street trades in the green, gold rebounds.

Gold struggles as solid US data propel dollar higher

Tue, 06 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Gold edges lower, dollar shines after another round of rosy US data. Australian dollar recovers on RBA decision and China stimulus hopes. Shares on Wall Street lose momentum, but remain near record highs.

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Dollar and equities rip higher after stellar US jobs data

Mon, 05 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Surprisingly strong US employment report sends dollar higher. Stock
markets hit new record highs despite Trump’s tariff threats. Oil comes
crashing down, ISM data and RBA decision coming next.

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Stocks rally ahead of NFP report, pound climbs after BoE caution

Fri, 02 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street bounces back as earnings beats more than offset disappointments. Dollar struggles as mixed US data sets the tone ahead of January jobs report. Pound edges up after Bank of England’s Bailey urges caution over rate cuts.

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Week Ahead: RBA decision and US data on the menu

Fri, 02 Feb 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar cannot sustain Fed-fueled advance, will ISM data help? Reserve Bank of Australia could abandon its tightening bias.

Powell pushes back on March rate cut, BoE on tap

Thu, 01 Feb 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed’s Powell says March rate cut not the “base case”. Dollar gains, but Treasury yields slide. BoE to stand pat, focus to fall on guidance. Wall Street tumbles, awaits more earnings results.

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Investors lock gaze on Fed decision

Wed, 31 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed to stand pat, focus to turn on rate path signals. Aussie falls after Australian CPI slows by more than expected. Euro slides ahead of preliminary CPI data from Germany. Wall Street trades mixed ahead of Fed decision.

Stocks, dollar steady after goldilocks data as Fed awaited

Mon, 29 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Stocks perky ahead of Fed decision as US data and China measures lift optimism. Dollar and yields little changed after goldilocks reports, NFP eyed next. Oil and gold spike on geopolitical concerns amid fresh ME tensions.

Euro/dollar drops after ECB and US GDP data

Fri, 26 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Euro trades lower as ECB downplays inflation threat. Dollar gets a boost
from US GDP, turns to core PCE data. Stocks hit new records, but futures
drop after soft earnings.

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Week Ahead: Fed and BoE decisions, NFP report, Eurozone GDP incoming

Fri, 26 Jan 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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It’s a packed week ahead with key central bank decisions and big data releases. Will the Fed (Wednesday) and Bank of England (Thursday) signal rate cuts? US jobs report, Eurozone GDP & CPI will also be crucial.

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Euro turns to ECB decision, Tesla earnings disappoint

Thu, 25 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Euro drifts ahead of ECB decision, dollar awaits US GDP data. Gold
retreats as solid business surveys dampen rate cut bets. Tesla earnings
miss estimates, Chinese stocks bounce back.

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Dollar pulls back, yen stages another recovery

Wed, 24 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar retreats as Bullard talks March rate cut. Yen recovers again on BoJ hike speculation. BoC to keep interest rates untouched. Risk appetite remains supported, S&P 500 hits new record.

Yen rebounds as Ueda hints at policy shift

Tue, 23 Jan 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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BoJ stands pat as expected, lowers core CPI projection. But yen rebounds on Ueda’s relatively hawkish remarks. Risk sentiment improves on China’s stimulus plan. S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit fresh record highs.

Yen awaits BoJ decision, stocks hit new records

Mon, 22 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Stock markets reach new heights on solid US data and AI hype. Risk-on sentiment keeps dollar on back foot, even as Fed cut bets fade. Bank of Japan meets on Tuesday, unlikely to rescue battered yen.

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Tech stocks rally on AI boom even as yields rise, dollar steady

Fri, 19 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Apple and semiconductors push Nasdaq 100 to new record high. But Fed repricing limits gains outside of tech as yields edge up. Dollar holds firm, pound slips on data, yen propped up by verbal intervention.

Week Ahead: ECB and BoJ meetings in the spotlight

Fri, 19 Jan 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Japanese yen loses ground ahead of BoJ decision on Tuesday. ECB meets on Thursday, will it push back against rate cut bets? Bank of Canada decides too, while the US releases GDP stats.

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Strong retail sales pour more cold water on Fed rate cut hopes

Thu, 18 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar gains as US retail sales beat estimates. Probability for Fed rate cut in March declines further. Yen falls further ahead of Japan’s National CPI data. Pound and euro recover some lost ground.

Dollar rallies as market scales back Fed rate cut bets

Wed, 17 Jan 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Waller says Fed is in no rush to cut rates. March cut probability slips and dollar gains. Pound rebounds after hotter-than-expected UK CPI data. Yen and euro extend losses, Wall Street also slips.

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Mood sours as ECB pushes back on rate cuts; will Fed follow suit?

Tue, 16 Jan 2024 14:00:00 +0200

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Euro skids even as ECB officials dampen early rate cut expectations. Dollar jumps on fears Fed’s Waller will take a similarly hawkish stance. Pound and aussie tumble on soft data. Oil and gold pulled in different directions in choppy trade.

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Rate cut bets surge again but dollar goes sideways, stocks muted

Mon, 15 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed rate cut expectations go into overdrive after soft US producer prices. Bond yields slip, but dollar little changed and mixed earnings weigh on stocks. Focus shifts to Chinese growth and global inflation trends this week.

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Global markets go nowhere despite US inflation surprise

Fri, 12 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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US inflation surprises to the upside, but markets shrug it off. Dollar and
stocks close unchanged as Fed narrative remains intact. Oil and gold spike
higher as US and UK launch airstrikes on Yemen.

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Week Ahead: China GDP and December CPI reports eyed amid rate cut frenzy

Fri, 12 Jan 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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China reports Q4 GDP data on Wednesday; is a rebound in store? CPI numbers due in UK, Japan and Canada. Retail sales to be the main focus in the US.

US CPI inflation takes center stage

Thu, 11 Jan 2024 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar traders lock gaze on US inflation data. Yen falls as wage data suggest BoJ is in no rush to raise rates. Wall Street rebounds ahead of CPIs and earnings season. US SEC approves bitcoin ETFs.

Dollar resumes recovery, bitcoin awaits ETF decision

Wed, 10 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar recovers as traders await CPI inflation data. Fake SEC message triggers volatility in bitcoin. Dow Jones and S&P 500 slide, Nasdaq remains elevated. Oil recovers on US inventory drawdown.

Stock markets flirt with record highs

Tue, 09 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Stocks back near record highs as ‘tech fever’ grips investors. Oil and gold
prices lick their wounds after recent declines. British pound and Japanese
yen outperform in quiet FX trading.

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Dollar and equities in limbo after mixed US data

Mon, 08 Jan 2024 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar struggles for direction after contradicting data releases. Oil prices
drop on Saudi price cuts, gold prices drift lower too. Chinese shadow bank
files for bankruptcy, reviving contagion fears.

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Stocks hit new records on rate cut excitement

Wed, 20 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 cruise to new record highs. British pound drops as inflation cools off, yen stabilizes. Supply concerns lift oil prices, gold gains some ground.

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Yen sinks as BoJ stands pat, crude oil spikes on Red Sea attacks

Tue, 19 Dec 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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BoJ maintains easing bias, gives little away on pivot timing, pummelling the
yen. Oil futures jump before steadying amid supply fears from Red Sea
missile strikes. Wall Street extends winning streak despite some scaling
back of rate cut bets.

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Fed pushes back on rate cut talk but markets don’t listen

Mon, 18 Dec 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Fed officials attempt to dampen expectations of early rate cut. Yields jump,
stocks slide, but only temporarily as markets unconvinced. Yen edges
lower ahead of BoJ decision as expectations of imminent rate hike fade.

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Euro and pound surge as ECB and BoE diverge from dovish Fed

Fri, 15 Dec 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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ECB and BoE stick to hawkish stance as Fed becomes dovish outlier. Euro and pound skyrocket before paring gains on weak PMIs. Upbeat US data fail to deter dollar bears as yields continue to slide, stocks party.

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BoJ meets for the last time in 2023, US core PCE and UK CPIs also on tap

Fri, 15 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Yen traders await BoJ decision for pivot clues. US core PCE index the highlight of the US agenda. UK CPI numbers to be the pound’s next test.

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Wall Street parties as Fed signals cuts, dollar tumbles

Thu, 14 Dec 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed makes long-awaited pivot towards cutting rates, markets rejoice. Dow Jones soars to new all-time high, S&P 500 approaches its previous record. Dollar takes a dive as Treasury yields sink, gold rallies. SNB also holds rates, ECB and BoE decisions coming up next.

Fed awaited as stocks jump, dollar slips after US CPI

Wed, 13 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pressured from inline CPI report as stocks extend rally. But Fed rate cut expectations pared back slightly ahead of new Fed dot plot. Fed to kickstart central bank bonanza.

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Dollar pulls back as US CPI data take center stage

Tue, 12 Dec 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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US inflation numbers enter the spotlight ahead of the Fed. Headline CPI
rate expected to tick down, core to held steady. Yen extends slide on more
BoJ-related reports, rebounds today. Wall Street climbs to new highs for
the year.

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Dollar gains after strong US jobs data; CPIs and Fed awaited

Mon, 11 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar rallies as NFP beat estimates, unemployment rate slides. Investors push back their Fed rate cut bets. Focus now turns to US CPI data and Fed meeting. Wall Street gains on soft-landing hopes, oil recovers.

Week Ahead: Will the central bank bonanza kill the festive joy or fuel it?

Fri, 08 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed, ECB, BoE and SNB hold their final policy decisions of the year. Will they push back on rate cut expectations? US CPI and flash PMIs will be crucial too.

Yen springs higher, nonfarm payrolls coming up

Fri, 08 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Japanese yen charges higher on rate hike speculation. Dollar turns to US employment report - downside risks? Stock markets climb, as Google rekindles AI euphoria.

Yen flies as BoJ’s Ueda talks ultra-loose policy exit

Thu, 07 Dec 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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BoJ Governor Ueda discusses options after ending negative rates. Yen rallies as speculation for BoJ pivot intensifies. Dollar defies weak labor market data again. Wall Street slips, oil falls 4% on gasoline stock build.

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Dollar extends recovery despite US job openings drop

Wed, 06 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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US job openings fall to lowest in more than 2-1/2 years. Treasury yields slide, but dollar extends recovery. Schnabel points to end of ECB’s tightening crusade. Gold becomes attractive again after hitting $2,010.

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Gold and equities retreat from recent peaks

Tue, 05 Dec 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Gold reverses lower after leaping to record highs. Dollar recovers, turns to ISM survey for direction. Stock markets pull back, led by big tech shares.

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Gold hits new records, but runs out of fuel

Mon, 04 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Gold cruises to new record highs, then gets rejected. Oil keeps sinking despite missile attacks in the Red Sea. Dollar chops around, RBA rate decision coming up next.

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Dollar stumbles again after soft US data, eyes Powell

Fri, 01 Dec 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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US dollar softer ahead of Powell as US inflation and consumption cool. Euro regains some posture, stocks look to stretch November gains. Oil unimpressed by OPEC+ decision for deeper cuts, futures dip.

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Week Ahead: Nonfarm payrolls enter the spotlight, RBA and BoC decide on policy

Fri, 01 Dec 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Investors looking to US NFPs for confirmation of their Fed cut bets. RBA could still signal that higher rates are possible. But BoC may confirm that interest rates have peaked in Canada.

Euro slips as Eurozone inflation tumbles, aids dollar’s rebound

Thu, 30 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Tumbling inflation erodes euro’s gains as dollar perks up despite rate cut bets. Wall Street loses some steam but stocks still set for best month of the year. Oil prices climb cautiously as OPEC+ output decision awaited.

Peter McGuire speaks with The Core Radio - 29/11/2023

Wed, 29 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with The Core Report anchor Govindraj Ethiraj

Fed’s Waller talks rate cuts and hurts the dollar

Wed, 29 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends tumble as Waller raises prospect of lower rates. Yen, kiwi, and aussie the main winners once again. RBNZ holds rates steady, but lifts OCR projections. Gold stretches rally, oil rebounds ahead of OPEC+ decision.

Fed cut bets continue to weigh on dollar

Tue, 28 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends slide as first 25bps Fed cut seen by June. Fed officials speak ahead of PCE inflation data later this week. Yen gains on reports the BoJ is considering exiting negative rates. Aussie and kiwi stretch rally, RBNZ decision awaited.

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Dollar and oil extend slide ahead of busy week

Mon, 27 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Major pairs and gold climb to new highs as dollar sags. Inflation data and Fed speakers awaited for direction. Oil drifts lower ahead of OPEC+ decision.

Dollar pulls back ahead of PMIs

Fri, 24 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pulls back on Thanksgiving as Fed cut bets weigh. Focus today turns to the preliminary S&P Global PMIs. Japan’s CPIs accelerate, corroborating a BoJ policy exit next year. Gold gains, oil loses more ground on OPEC delay.

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Week Ahead: All eyes on OPEC+ meeting, US and Eurozone inflation dominate too

Fri, 24 Nov 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Oil’s fortunes hinge on OPEC+ meeting outcome on Thursday. Eurozone flash inflation and US core PCE also due on Thursday. RBNZ to likely hold rates on Wednesday. Loonie faces GDP and employment tests in addition to OPEC+ decision.

Oil steadier after nose-dive, dollar pulls back in thin trade

Thu, 23 Nov 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Oil plunges on OPEC+ meeting delay, sparking rally in US dollar. But dollar
resumes decline today as rivals advance on easing gloom. Stocks mostly
positive in holiday-thin trade.

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Fed minutes halt dollar’s drop

Wed, 22 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar breathes as Fed minutes confirm ‘higher for longer’ view. BoE’s Bailey pushes sterling higher, Autumn Statement on tap. Wall Street traders find opportunity for profit taking. Gold continues to march north, moves above $2000.

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Wall Street extends gains as dollar flounders, Fed minutes eyed

Tue, 21 Nov 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Microsoft leads Wall Street higher, lifted by AI mania and rate cut bets. But
will FOMC minutes spoil the party? Dollar slips to 3-month lows; aussie
surges on hawkish RBA, China boost.

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Yen gets some relief, sterling eyes tax cuts

Mon, 20 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar continues to drift lower ahead of Fed minutes tomorrow. Japanese yen recovers amid growing bets of foreign rate cuts. Oil prices bounce back on supply speculation, gold steadies.

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Rate cut bets intensify as oil plunges, but Wall Street wobbles

Fri, 17 Nov 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Markets think the Fed is done after US data misses. Selloff in crude oil
further fuels rate cut bets amid supply glut fears. But dollar seesaws while
earnings caution weighs on stocks.

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Week Ahead: Fed minutes and Eurozone PMIs on the menu

Fri, 17 Nov 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Fed minutes on Tuesday will be scrutinized for clues on rate path. Eurozone business surveys to shed some light on recession risks. Japanese inflation stats also in focus as yen remains fragile.

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Dollar claws back some losses as relief rally fades

Thu, 16 Nov 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Fed rate cut bets scaled back after upbeat US data. Wall Street rally loses steam, dollar edges up as yields rebound. Global growth worries and disappointing US-China summit also dent mood.

Dollar tumbles on cooler-than-expected US inflation

Wed, 15 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Slowing US inflation confirms view that Fed is done with hikes. Aussie and kiwi gain the most on bolstering risk sentiment. Pound pulls slightly back on lower-than-expected UK inflation. Wall Street rallies as investors cheer US inflation data.

Yen falls to lowest levels in a year as stock markets soar. Dollar mostly ignores Moody’s credit outlook downgrade. Gold nurses losses, waiting for tomorrow’s US inflation stats.

Yen hits fresh low as focus turns to US CPI data

Tue, 14 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Yen spikes, but ends Monday as the main loser. Dollar traders lock gaze on US inflation data. UK jobs report beats estimates, CPIs the pound’s next test. Wall Street ends mixed, awaits US CPI figures.

Yen falls to lowest levels in a year as stock markets soar. Dollar mostly ignores Moody’s credit outlook downgrade. Gold nurses losses, waiting for tomorrow’s US inflation stats.

Yen continues to sink, stock markets power higher

Mon, 13 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Yen falls to lowest levels in a year as stock markets soar. Dollar mostly ignores Moody’s credit outlook downgrade. Gold nurses losses, waiting for tomorrow’s US inflation stats.

Fed chief interrupts stock market rally, lifts dollar

Fri, 10 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed chief Powell says ‘won’t hesitate’ to tighten further. Dollar extends recovery as US yields rise, pushing equities down. Gold gains despite unfavorable setup - central bank purchases?

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Week Ahead: US and UK inflation data to take center stage

Fri, 10 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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US inflation numbers the next event to shake Fed bets. Pound traders lock gaze on CPIs after BoE’s hawkish hold. Aussie awaits jobs report and Chinese data.

Dollar stays strong despite sliding Treasury yields

Thu, 09 Nov 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends recovery above 151-yen level. But long-dated Treasury yields slip further. China’s woes dent sentiment in Asia. Oil and gold extend their slides.

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Fed rhetoric further fuels the dollar

Wed, 08 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar extends recovery on Fed commentary. But probability for another hike remains low. Wall Street gains as Treasury yields slide. Oil prices tumble on China woes and OPEC exports.

Gold slides, dollar regains strength as yields storm back

Tue, 07 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar regains some lost ground as US yields bounce back. Gold and oil edge lower - geopolitical risks getting priced out? Aussie sinks despite RBA rate increase, Fed speakers ahead.

Dollar gets crushed after nonfarm payrolls miss

Mon, 06 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pummeled after disappointing US employment data. Stock markets
rally, but gold fails to capitalize on falling yields. Australian interest rate
decision and Chinese trade data next.

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Investors lock gaze on US NFP data

Fri, 03 Nov 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar slides as Fed pours more cold water on hike expectations. Spotlight turns to US employment report for October. Pound receives little boost from BoE’s hawkish hold. Wall Street cheers potential interest-rate peak, earnings help.

Week Ahead: RBA rate decision and UK growth on the radar

Fri, 03 Nov 2023 10:00:00 +0200

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Reserve Bank of Australia could raise rates on Tuesday. British GDP data will be crucial for sterling’s fortunes.

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Stocks rally, yields slump as Powell strikes neutral tone

Thu, 02 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Powell signals Fed is likely done hiking rates, sparking relief rally. Wall Street cheers Powell’s balanced tone, but dollar stays resilient as yields tumble. Pound steady ahead of Bank of England decision.

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Yen sinks as Fed enters the spotlight

Wed, 01 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Yen nears October 2022 lows against dollar on BoJ disappointment. Will a hawkish Fed trigger a yen intervention episode? Gold, oil retreat as Middle East fears ease. Wall Street closes in the green ahead of Fed decision.

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Yen defies BoJ, tumbles after tweak to yield policy

Tue, 31 Oct 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Bank of Japan adjusts yield curve control policy again, but yen skids. Yields edge lower after Treasury Department says will borrow less in Q4. Dollar mixed, euro extends gains, stocks perk up.

Gold eases from highs as markets stay calm despite Gaza offensive

Mon, 30 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Gold hits $2,000 as Israel begins ‘second stage’ of war in Gaza, oil jumps too. But safe haven demand eases on Monday as focus turns to central banks. Dollar slips below 150 yen as yields consolidate ahead of Treasury announcement.

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Gold stands tall, stocks keep sinking despite solid US data

Fri, 27 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Upside surprise in US GDP was not enough to boost the dollar. Stock markets slide in the aftermath, euro little changed after ECB. Gold advances, drawing fuel from yields and geopolitical escalation.

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Week Ahead: Will BoJ steal the limelight from Fed and BoE?

Fri, 27 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Central bank meetings continue in earnest with BoJ, Fed and BoE. Fed and BoE to likely stand pat, but BoJ might tweak policy again. NFP report and Eurozone flash GDP and CPI data also in focus

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Dollar climbs above 150 yen as Treasury yields rebound

Thu, 26 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Treasury yields rebound, lift the dollar ahead of US GDP data. Dollar/yen rises past 150, rings intervention alarm bells. ECB to take the sidelines, focus to fall on forward guidance. Wall Street tumbles as Alphabet disappoints.

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Better than expected US PMIs help the dollar rebound

Wed, 25 Oct 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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PMIs suggest the US economy entered Q4 on solid footing. The divergence between US/Eurozone outlooks weighs on euro/dollar. Aussie rallies on stickier inflation, yen pinned near 150-per-dollar mark. Wall Street pays attention to corporate earnings.

Dollar retreats, stocks stabilize as yields fall back

Tue, 24 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar follows US yields lower after rejection from 5% region. But gold and yen cannot take advantage of this correction. Euro rebound cut short by disappointing business surveys.

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Stocks suffer collateral damage as yields blast higher

Mon, 23 Oct 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Stock markets get kneecapped by relentless rally in US yields. Gold and oil prices lose steam amid lack of geopolitical escalation. Euro/dollar stable ahead of key events, yen ignores BoJ reports.

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Gold and oil keep rising as Israel-Gaza conflict shows no sign of easing

Fri, 20 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Possibility of weekend escalation in Middle East propel gold and oil higher.
Powell remarks provide only modest respite to bond selloff, dollar holds
steady. Stocks continue to struggle as uncertainties rise, Powell keeps rate
hike option.

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Week Ahead: ECB meeting and US GDP to shake FX markets

Fri, 20 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Central bank decisions in Eurozone and Canada coming up. But FX traders will likely focus more on the US GDP report. Is the dollar set to realign with its superior fundamentals?

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Stocks pummeled as yields and oil extend gains, dollar firms ahead of Powell

Thu, 19 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Bond yields continue to rise as surging oil prices add to higher for longer case. Stocks pressured as higher yields start to bite, earnings disappoint. Oil and gold ease from highs but eye more gains amid ongoing tensions in Mideast.

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Investors add to Fed hike bets after US retail sales

Wed, 18 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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US retail sales rise more than expected, bolster Fed hike case. Pound slides on slowing wages, rebounds on sticky inflation. Aussie and kiwi aided by China’s GDP; Lonnie supported by higher oil prices. Wall Street ends mixed; gold extends gains on safe-haven flows.

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Equities gain, gold slips amid diplomatic push to contain Mideast crisis

Tue, 17 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Risk aversion eases as diplomatic efforts to end Israel-Gaza war ramped up. Gold off highs, while earnings optimism additionally boosts Wall Street. Dollar steady as yields resume climb ahead of US retail sales, Fed speakers.

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Gold and oil surge as Middle East conflict intensifies

Mon, 16 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Gold surges as Israel carries ground operations inside Gaza. Geopolitics and Harker weigh on Fed rate hike expectations. Oil rallies as fears of supply disruptions due to the war heighten. S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip as geopolitics offset strong earnings results.

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Dollar bounces back, stocks slip after US CPI beat

Fri, 13 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Stronger-than-expected US CPI data revives rate hike bets. Dollar re-
energised, heads for weekly gains as yields jumps. Stocks come under
pressure, but selloff limited ahead of Q3 earnings.

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Week Ahead: US retail sales and UK CPI data enter the spotlight

Fri, 13 Oct 2023 10:00:00 +0300

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After US CPIs, US retail sales may also impact Fed hike expectations. Will the UK inflation numbers increase the chances for another BoE hike? Aussie and Kiwi traders await Australia jobs report and New Zealand’s CPI. China’s GDP could also impact those commodity-linked currencies.

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Investors lock gaze on US CPI numbers

Thu, 12 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Mixed PPI report allows investors to believe the Fed is done. But US CPI data has the potential to change their mind. Wall Street gains on ‘no more hikes’ bets. Oil falls as Saudi Arabia pledges to stabilize the market.

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Dollar extends slide on more dovish Fed remarks

Wed, 11 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Fed’s Bostic and Kashkari join the ‘no more hikes needed’ camp. PPIs and Fed minutes on tap ahead of tomorrow’s CPIs. Aussie and kiwi helped by China stimulus reports. Wall Street rebounds as Fed hike probability falls.

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Yields slide as Fed tones down hawkish talk, stocks shrug off ME flareup

Tue, 10 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Higher yields prompt a rethink at the Fed as policymakers turn cautious. But less hawkish tone pushes yields lower, boosting equities. Ongoing tension in Middle East further pressure yields, keep gold supported. Oil slips slightly while dollar braces for more Fed speak, CPI data.

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Oil jumps, safe havens gain as war erupts in Middle East

Mon, 09 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Israel-Hamas war pushes up oil prices amid risk of wider conflict. Dollar,
yen and gold rise too as investors rush to safety. Fed rate hike odds
reverse NFP boost; US CPI, Fed speakers eyed next.

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Week Ahead: US inflation and Fed minutes to test dollar, bond markets

Fri, 06 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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US CPI report and Fed minutes to take centre stage. Will they fuel or dent the rally in yields and the dollar? Chinese inflation and UK growth data to also be eyed. Otherwise, a quieter week awaits with Monday a holiday in the US.

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Dollar pulls back after weak private payrolls report

Thu, 05 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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ADP reveals lower-than-expected increase in private payrolls. Dollar
retreats as investors lower their implied Fed rate path. Yen gains, but long-
lasting recovery remains questionable. Wall Street bounces off lows, oil
tumbles.

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Yen surges after possible intervention

Wed, 04 Oct 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Yen spikes after breaching the 150-per-dollar mark. Markets suspect intervention, but officials do not confirm. Dollar charges higher on more upbeat US data. Wall Street and gold suffer as dollar and yields extend rally.

King dollar returns as US yields rip higher

Tue, 03 Oct 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar continues to rally, with help from rising yields. Gold smashed lower,
but stocks don’t get the memo. Aussie hits 11-month low after RBA
decision, RBNZ next.

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Gold sinks amid stronger dollar and rising yields

Mon, 02 Oct 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Gold prices fall further, pressured on multiple fronts. Yen loses ground after
Bank of Japan intervenes in bond market. Dollar stable ahead of some key
data and Fed commentary.

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Dollar pulls back, some relief for stocks after dreadful quarter

Fri, 29 Sep 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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US dollar eases from highs as bond yield rally pauses for breath. Stocks headed for worst quarter in a year but techs lead rebound. Eurozone and US inflation data in focus.

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Week Ahead: Dollar shines ahead of nonfarm payrolls

Fri, 29 Sep 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar charges higher, nonfarm payrolls on Friday will be crucial for this rally. Early indicators point to another solid month for the US labor market. Central bank decisions in Australia and New Zealand will also be in focus.

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Yen gets closer to 150-per-dollar level, oil skyrockets

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends gains on ‘higher for longer’ narrative. Dollar/yen nears 150 zone, risk of intervention rises. Oil skyrockets as US inventories tumble. Wall street closes mixed despite rally in yields.

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Fed’s ‘higher for longer’ fuels dollar, yen flirts with intervention

Wed, 27 Sep 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar at 10-month highs, 10yr. yields jump to new 16-year peak. Dollar/yen extends uptrend, intervention risks grow. Wall Street tumbles on a blend of investor concerns.

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Dollar at 10-month high as yields keep surging

Tue, 26 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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US 10-year yield hits 16-year high as no letup in hawkish Fed rhetoric.
Dollar powers ahead, euro and pound crumble, yen in danger zone. Stocks
resume decline after late rebound on Wall Street.

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Fragile sentiment after weak PMIs, higher for longer message

Mon, 25 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Mood sours amid hawkish Fed, recession fears and US shutdown risk. Stocks mixed after last week’s losses as bond yields near cycle highs. Dollar holds firm as yen under pressure after dovish Ueda.

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Stocks roll over as US yields climb to new highs

Fri, 22 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Mayhem in US bond market spills over into stocks. Dollar struggles to advance despite soaring yields. Sterling sinks on BoE decision, yen retreats after BoJ.

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Week Ahead: US core PCE and Eurozone flash CPIs eyed after rate pause signals

Fri, 22 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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PCE inflation to grab attention on Friday as Fed signals higher for longer. But markets might be more worried about a government shutdown. Eurozone flash CPIs will also be the in the spotlight on Friday. Chinese PMIs to be watched for recovery signs.

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Hawkish Fed boosts the dollar, BoE and BoJ next

Thu, 21 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed revises rate path higher, lifting dollar and yields. Stock markets and gold move lower in the aftermath. BoE decision today a coin toss, BoJ unlikely to move.

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Fed rate decision enters the spotlight

Wed, 20 Sep 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar trades cautiously ahead of Fed decision. Yen extends slide despite fresh intervention warnings. Pound slides after lower-than-expected UK CPI data. Wall Street ends in the red as investors turn focus to Fed.

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Euro gains on ECB remarks; dollar awaits Fed decision

Tue, 19 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Euro rebounds as ECB officials do not rule out another hike. Dollar trades
cautiously as Fed policy decision looms. Wall Street nearly unchanged,
gold extends gains.

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Oil prices keep rising despite market turmoil

Mon, 18 Sep 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Oil prices continue to rise as tight supply kicks in. Rising bond yields put pressure on equity markets. Dollar rally takes a breather, helping to boost gold.

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Euro skids after ECB hike, China data lifts sentiment

Fri, 15 Sep 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Euro tumbles as ECB raises rates but hints at pause. US dollar hits 6-
month high after US retail sales beat. Stocks rally on upbeat Chinese data
but watch out for triple witching.

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Week Ahead: Fed, BoE, and BoJ meetings to fuel FX volatility

Fri, 15 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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A stormy week lies ahead, featuring central bank meetings in the United States, United Kingdom, Japan, and Switzerland. The Fed is almost certain to hit the pause button, so markets will focus on the updated interest rate projections instead. There is more scope for surprises from the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank, whose decisions will shape the fate of the two best-performing currencies of this year.

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Euro in the spotlight ahead of ECB decision

Thu, 14 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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ECB decision coming up, but is it a lose-lose for the euro? Dollar chops around after US inflation, awaits retail sales. Gold extends loss streak despite falling bond yields.

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Cautious trading ahead of US inflation report

Wed, 13 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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US inflation data to set the tone for USD and riskier plays. Euro gets a boost from ECB reports, oil prices power higher. Tech sector leads stock markets down, gold nurses losses.

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Stocks perk up ahead of US CPI and ECB tests, dollar resumes climb

Tue, 12 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Markets steady as US data and ECB decision awaited. Wall Street starts week on optimistic note. Yen eases slightly as dollar back on the front foot, pound unfazed by jobs data.

Yen jumps on hawkish Ueda remarks, dollar slips ahead of US CPI

Mon, 11 Sep 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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BoJ’s Ueda hints at end to negative rates by year-end if wages rise. Dollar
starts week on the backfoot as crucial CPI data awaited. China hopes lift
aussie, equities; easing Apple selloff helps stocks too.

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Trade war nerves send stock markets lower

Fri, 08 Sep 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Apple concerns rock stock markets after China’s iPhone ban. Dollar rally
takes a breather as yields retreat, but outlook intact. Gold creeps higher,
helped by yields and sovereign purchases.

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Week Ahead: ECB rate hike hangs in the balance; US CPI could edge up again

Fri, 08 Sep 2023 10:00:00 +0300

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The European Central Bank is headed for a crunch rate decision next week amid rising recession risks and the job on inflation not yet done. It’s going to be a big week for the US dollar as well, as the CPI and retail sales reports are due before the Fed’s September meeting. There’s a barrage of UK data that will keep the pound on its toes before the next Bank of England decision, while the market mood will also be swayed by some key economic indicators out of China, as fears about the health of the world’s second largest economy persist.

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ISM non-mfg PMI highlights resilience of US economy

Thu, 07 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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US service sector unexpectedly gathers momentum. ECB officials keep a hike for next week on the table. BoE Gov. Bailey says they are ‘much nearer’ to rate peak. Wall Street slides as ISM PMI stokes inflation worries.

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Peter McGuire speaks with The Core Radio - 07/09/2023

Thu, 07 Sep 2023 09:00:00 +0300

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with The Core anchor Govindraj Ethiraj

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Falling yen draws intervention warning, ISM non-mfg PMI in focus

Wed, 06 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Yen hits 10-month low, triggers intervention warning. Dollar traders turn attention to ISM non-mfg PMI. Equities pull back, but stay in an uptrend mode. BoC expected to stand pat, focus to turn on guidance.

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Yen suffers another blow as yields fire up

Tue, 05 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar shines, yen slides as US bond yields power higher. China optimism melts away after disappointing PMI data. Aussie dollar crumbles, gold tests crucial support zone.

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Dollar gains after US jobs data, China stimulus lifts oil

Mon, 04 Sep 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar climbs despite relatively soft US employment report. China stimulus measures boost oil prices and Asian stocks. Gold trades with resilience, undeterred by dollar and yields.

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Calm ahead of US jobs report as markets pin hopes on cool-off

Fri, 01 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar and stocks drift sideways as August payrolls awaited for direction. Asian equities outperform after China boosts support but aussie fails to catch fire. Oil extends rebound amid tightening market, gold holds near highs.

Week Ahead:RBA and BoC to kick-start key round of central bank meetings

Fri, 01 Sep 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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After a barrage of US data hurt the dollar this week, with investors having second thoughts as to whether another Fed hike may be needed, the US agenda will become lighter next week with the spotlight turning to the ISM non-manufacturing PMI. Elsewhere, the RBA and the BoC are holding their interest rate decisions, kick-starting a round of pivotal meetings by major central banks, which could well impact forthcoming directions of major currency pairs.

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Euro pulls back despite CPI beat as dollar braces for more US data

Thu, 31 Aug 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slumps again amid more evidence of US slowdown, core PCE next. Euro see-saws after mixed CPI numbers. Stocks extend rally on fading Fed hike expectations, China stimulus.

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Dollar falls as US data reinforce Fed pause case

Wed, 30 Aug 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as job openings drop to a 2-1/2 year low. ADP report and 2nd estimate of US GDP on today’s agenda. Euro awaits German CPIs ahead of Eurozone inflation numbers. Wall Street extends gains, Nasdaq the big winner.

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Dollar pulls back ahead of key US data

Tue, 29 Aug 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar traders turn cautious ahead of important data. Yen stays pressured
as yield differentials stay in the spotlight. Wall Street records gains as
Powell refrains from committing to more hikes.

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Equities climb despite Jackson Hole’s higher for longer warning

Mon, 28 Aug 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Rate hike odds edge up after Powell and Lagarde signal inflation fight not over. But dollar steady as yields barely budge, Wall Street closes higher. China announces more stimulus, stocks jump before paring gains

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US inflation comes in cold, but dollar still shines

Fri, 11 Aug 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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US CPI comes in colder than expected, yet bond yields rise. Dollar recovers, yen slides but no intervention threats this time. Stocks and gold reverse lower, feeling bond market heat.

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Week Ahead: Fed minutes, US retail sales and UK CPIs the highlights of a packed week

Fri, 11 Aug 2023 10:00:00 +0300

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The dollar got hit by the miss in the US inflation data, but traders may have another opportunity to adjust their dollar positions as next week’s agenda includes the minutes from the latest Fed meeting and the retail sales for July. The pound will also enter the limelight as the UK CPIs could confirm whether investors were correct to slash their hike bets following the latest BoE gathering. Other releases include the RBNZ decision, where no action is expected, and Canada’s CPIs.

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Traders on edge ahead of US inflation report

Thu, 10 Aug 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar ticks down ahead of all-important US inflation data. Yen sinks, hits its lowest levels since 2008 against the euro. Energy prices go ballistic, stock markets and gold retreat.

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Risk aversion keeps dollar supported ahead of CPIs

Wed, 09 Aug 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Concerns about China and Moody’s downgrade weigh on sentiment. Dollar gains on safe-haven demand, awaits inflation data. Risk aversion keeps Wall Street in correction mode.

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Mood turns sour after alarming Chinese trade data

Tue, 08 Aug 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Slump in Chinese trade numbers weighs on risk-linked assets. Dollar waiting for US inflation test, yen retreats after wage data. Stocks bounce back despite Apple’s troubles, gold trades quietly.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 08/08/2023

Tue, 08 Aug 2023 09:00:00 +0300

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg Radio anchor Bryan Curtis from New York for Daybreak Asia.

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Dollar pulls back after weaker US jobs growth

Mon, 07 Aug 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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US NFPs increase by less than expected in July. Dollar, Treasury yields slide, traders add to rate cut bets. Loonie suffers, BoJ debates prospect of sustained inflation. Wall Street extends correction after US employment report.

Equities left reeling from yields spike, FX quiet ahead of NFP

Fri, 04 Aug 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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China support aids rebound in stocks after bruising week amid surging yields. Dollar steady as markets brace for possible surprises in July jobs report. Pound off lows but BoE offers little upside, aussie crawls higher too.

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Week Ahead: US inflation report coming up as dollar storms higher

Fri, 04 Aug 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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The US credit downgrade paradoxically gave the dollar a boost, but the longevity of this recovery will be decided by the next edition of US inflation. According to the Cleveland Fed Nowcast model, there is some scope for an upside inflation surprise, which would be a blessing for the dollar. Aside from this release, there isn’t much else that can disturb the waters next week.

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Dollar extends its gains, BoE enters the limelight

Thu, 03 Aug 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar strengthens on ADP and US debt downgrade. ISM non-mfg. PMI the next test for dollar traders. BoE expected to hike by 25bps; Will it sound hawkish? Wall Street slumps after US rating cut.

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Dollar gains after ISM manufacturing data

Wed, 02 Aug 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains as ISM mfg. new orders beat estimates. Pound traders await Thursday’s BoE decision. Aussie the main loser after RBA stands pat. S&P 500 and Nasdaq close in the red, oil hits new three-month high.

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Yen on the slide again, aussie slips on RBA, China worries persist

Tue, 01 Aug 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Yen extends losses following BoJ’s surprise bond market intervention. Aussie plunges after RBA holds rates, weak Chinese PMI weighs too. Dollar stays supported, euro fails to capitalize on strong data.

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Stocks rally but dollar holds firm on soft PCE inflation

Mon, 31 Jul 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Expectations of further Fed rate hikes evaporate after dip in core PCE. Stocks rejoice but dollar stays in demand as yen’s comeback bid falters. RBA decision coming up, BoE next on Thursday ahead of US jobs report.

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Yen shines as Bank of Japan loosens yield control

Fri, 28 Jul 2023 16:00:00 +0300

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Yen shines after BoJ makes ‘stealth’ changes to yield control. Dollar also
gains, boosted by strong US data and rising yields. Euro sinks as ECB
refuses to commit to further rate increases

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Week Ahead: NFP report to probably steal the limelight from BoE and RBA

Fri, 28 Jul 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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The Bank of England and Reserve Bank of Australia will wrap up the summer central bank decisions in the coming week, although the US jobs report may nevertheless attract the most attention. Over in Europe, the agenda will be dominated by flash inflation and GDP data.

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Dollar slides on Fed, ECB and BoJ enter the limelight

Thu, 27 Jul 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Fed Chair Powell appears less hawkish than expected. Dollar slides as investors add to their rate cut bets. ECB to hike, focus on Lagarde’s remarks. BoJ tweak cannot be ruled out.

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Investors lock gaze on Fed decision

Wed, 26 Jul 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Fed expected to hike, spotlight to fall on hints about next moves. Euro awaits ECB; aussie slides on inflation slowdown. Wall Street gains, awaits Fed and more tech earnings.

Yen slammed lower as bets of BoJ tightening this week get unwound. Euro bruised by PMI surveys, gold bounces, Nasdaq awaits rebalancing. Huge week lies ahead, featuring ‘big 3’ central banks and tech earnings.

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China stimulus promises boost oil prices

Tue, 25 Jul 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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China pledges more stimulus, lifting oil prices and local stocks. Euro licks wounds after disappointing PMIs, antipodeans shine. Wall Street advances ahead of Microsoft and Google earnings.

Yen slammed lower as bets of BoJ tightening this week get unwound. Euro bruised by PMI surveys, gold bounces, Nasdaq awaits rebalancing. Huge week lies ahead, featuring ‘big 3’ central banks and tech earnings.

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Euro slides after PMIs, yen gets rocked by BoJ

Mon, 24 Jul 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Week Ahead: Fed, ECB and BoJ decisions take center stage

Fri, 21 Jul 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Following a relatively quiet week in terms of economic data and events, the spotlight now turns to three major central banks: the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan. With investors anticipating only one more hike by the Fed, the focus will be on whether officials will signal the end of this hiking cycle, while with several ECB members pushing back on a September hike, it will be interesting to see whether Lagarde has also changed her stance. As for the BoJ, Governor Ueda’s latest remarks added to the likelihood of no action.

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Fed expectations swing again, lifting dollar, tech stocks tumble

Fri, 21 Jul 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Strong jobless claims revive higher for longer bets for the Fed, buoying the dollar. Upbeat data also come to pound’s aid, but yen slips as expectations for BoJ surprise fade. Dow Jones and Nasdaq go their separate ways on mixed earnings amid tech selloff.

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Dollar’s faith lies on the Fed as ECB officials soften tone

Thu, 20 Jul 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends recovery, awaits Fed decision. ECB’s Stournaras said July hike would be enough. Pound, yen extend retreat, aussie gains on jobs report. Tesla and Netflix earnings results disappoint.

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Retail sales help the dollar, pound slides on CPIs

Wed, 19 Jul 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar sellers lock profits on resilient core retail sales. ECB hawk Knot casts doubts over September rate hike. UK inflation slows more than expected, pound pulls back. Tesla and Netflix earnings enter the limelight.

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Euro on fire as dollar sags ahead of US data, earnings

Tue, 18 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Euro hits 17-month high before ECB’s Visco knocks it lower. Bruised dollar sets sights on US retail sales as Treasury yields resume slide. Equities mixed despite China’s aim to boost consumption; earnings awaited.

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Risk rally eases after China GDP disappoints, dollar steadies

Mon, 17 Jul 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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China GDP miss, caution ahead of Big Tech earnings take wind out of post-CPI rally. Hawkish Fed Governor comments also weigh on mood as dollar crawls higher. Slew of incoming inflation data adds to nerves at start of the week.

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Dollar takes another bullet after easing producer prices

Fri, 14 Jul 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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US producer prices barely increase in June. Dollar extends fall as investors add to their Fed cut bets. Euro and pound extend their uptrends; aussie and kiwi rally. Wall Street rises on cooling inflation; bank earnings on tap.

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Week Ahead: Focus on China GDP and US retail sales, more CPI data on tap

Fri, 14 Jul 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Inflation data will continue to dominate the economic agenda in the coming week, although the spotlight will probably fall on Chinese GDP figures as well as US retail sales. The countries reporting CPI numbers include Canada, New Zealand, Japan and the United Kingdom. With inflation seemingly coming under control in America, investors will be on the lookout for any divergence in other countries’ progress. However, sentiment will likely be shaped by growth indicators from the world’s two largest economies as both desperately try to avoid a recession.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 14/07/2023

Fri, 14 Jul 2023 09:00:00 +0300

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg anchors Bryan Curtis and Doug Krizner

Dollar collapses, stocks and gold soar after US inflation

Thu, 13 Jul 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gets decimated by ‘cold’ US inflation report. Stock markets hit new highs, gold powers higher. Coming up - US producer prices and ECB minutes.

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Dollar extends fall ahead of US inflation data

Wed, 12 Jul 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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US dollar beaten up as US inflation report looms. Narrowing yield differentials turbocharge the yen. RBNZ takes the sidelines, BoC takes the central bank torch. Wall Street and gold gain on sliding Treasury yields.

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Cable hits new highs as falling yields blast dollar

Tue, 11 Jul 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gets crushed as traders price in a ‘cold’ CPI tomorrow. Sterling and yen benefit the most, Cable hits 15-month highs. Gold attempts to exit range to the upside, stocks bounce back.

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Dollar slides, gold shines after nonfarm payrolls

Mon, 10 Jul 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gets knocked down by miss in US employment growth. Gold benefits, but can it sustain a rally with real yields rising? Stock markets kick off new week with losses, Fed speakers eyed.

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Strong US data boost Fed bets ahead of NFP report but dollar muted

Fri, 07 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Markets brace for another solid jobs report after strong ADP and ISM
services PMI. But dollar struggles to shine as rally in bond yields spreads
globally. Yen extends gains as stocks slip, gold sags but oil rebounds
further.

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Week Ahead: US inflation report, BoC and RBNZ meetings eyed

Fri, 07 Jul 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Another action-packed week lies ahead, before trading conditions begin to wind down for the summer. The spotlight will fall on the latest US inflation report, which could cement expectations that the Fed will resume its rate-hike cycle this month. Central bank meetings in New Zealand and Canada will also be closely watched, especially the Bank of Canada rate decision, which is currently priced as a coin toss.

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ADP and ISM non-mfg PMI enter the spotlight

Thu, 06 Jul 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed minutes corroborate hawkish Fed view. ADP jobs report and ISM non-mfg PMI in focus. Dollar/yen pulls back after pause near 145.00. Wall Street takes a breather ahead of key data.

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Dollar stays weak ahead of key data, yen flirts with intervention zone

Wed, 05 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends slide after dismal ISM manufacturing PMI. Fed minutes on
today’s schedule; ADP and ISM non-manuf. PMI tomorrow. Yen pauses
slide on intervention fears. Wall Street resumes trading after Independence
Day.

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Risk rally fades on manufacturing slump but markets stay calm

Tue, 04 Jul 2023 15:00:00 +0300

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Drop in ISM manufacturing PMI rounds up malaise in global factory activity. Dollar and stocks steady as Fed rate path little changed, all eyes on NFP report. Aussie falls then bounces after RBA holds rates; oil prices whipsaw on OPEC+ cut.

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Stocks roar higher as US inflation cools slightly, optimism rises

Mon, 03 Jul 2023 00:00:00 +0300

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Tech stocks lead Wall Street higher in strong first half as PCE inflation
eases. Growth optimism outweighs Fed rate hike bets as Asia rallies too.
But dollar bounces off lows ahead of ISM PMIs, jobs report.

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Yen hits the FX intervention ‘danger zone’

Fri, 30 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains ground on solid GDP data, awaits more releases today. Yen
receives more intervention threats - are markets sleeping on a BoJ shift?
Eurozone inflation data coming up, gold drifts, stocks keep winning.

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Week Ahead: Will US nonfarm payrolls and RBA decision rock the boat?

Fri, 30 Jun 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Markets have been left somewhat bruised from a fresh round of hawkish gunfire from central bank chiefs so nerves are running high ahead of the June jobs report out of America. The ISM PMIs and the Fed meeting minutes are also expected to send speculation about a July rate hike into overdrive. However, Australia’s Reserve Bank might decide against raising interest rates thrice in a row. The yen, meanwhile, will be hoping that Japanese data will provide some relief from its selloff.

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Powell wakes up dollar bulls, Ueda hurts the wounded yen

Thu, 29 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains as Powell hints at more than one additional hike. BoJ’s Ueda says there is “distance to go” before shifting policy. S&P 500 and Dow Jones slide on Powell’s comments.

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Euro rebounds on hawkish ECB rhetoric, yen extends slide

Wed, 28 Jun 2023 15:00:00 +0300

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Euro rebounds as ECB officials appear in hawkish suits. Yen extends slide, despite new intervention warnings. Loonie and aussie slide on lower-than-expected CPI data. Wall Street gains on upbeat US data.

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Yen takes another knock, tech rally cools off

Tue, 27 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Yen gets hit by another selling wave, retests its multi-year lows. Dollar
slightly softer ahead of US releases, euro capitalizes. Tech stocks
encounter some profit-taking, ECB forum begins.

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Russia avoids civil war, markets barely react

Mon, 26 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Armed mutiny in Russia ends peacefully, but gold trades quietly. Yen
remains close to its recent lows despite hawkish BoJ signals. Euro loses
ground after soft business surveys, stocks drift lower.

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Week Ahead: Euro and bleeding yen brace for inflation tests

Fri, 23 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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With all the major central bank decisions behind us, the spotlight next week will turn to another round of inflation releases. The euro has been riding high lately, but whether it still has miles left in the tank will depend on what the inflation outlook spells for ECB policy. Meanwhile, the yen has been demolished and since FX intervention seems unlikely, it might take an acceleration in Japanese inflation to stop the bleeding.

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Dollar extends gains as hawkish central bank tone sours mood

Fri, 23 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Recession fears heightened after BoE surprises with 50-bps hike, Eurozone PMIs disappoint. Hawkish Fed commentary further underscores need for more central bank tightening. Dollar advances as pound and euro slide, Wall Street heads for rare weekly loss.

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Powell does not convince dollar bulls, BoE enters the spotlight

Thu, 22 Jun 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Powell signals more hikes but fails to convince dollar bulls. BoE meets with investors split between a 25 and 50bps hike. Wall Street pulls back, Bitcoin extends rally.

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Dollar awaits Powell, UK CPI data adds extra pressure on BoE

Wed, 21 Jun 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar gains as housing starts surge. Focus turns to Fed Chair Powell’s testimony. UK CPIs increase chances for a 50bps hike by the BoE. Wall Street tumbles as Powell’s testimony looms.

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China concerns hit sentiment; dollar looks to Powell Co. for direction

Tue, 20 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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China rate cut unable to lift market mood as doubts grow about economy. Wall Street futures struggle ahead of Powell testimony, dollar drifts sideways. Yen’s freefall pauses, pound softer ahead of CPI data, aussie slides on RBA minutes.

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Stocks slip, dollar steadies as rate hikes, a rate cut and Powell awaited

Mon, 19 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Equities start week on the backfoot amid uncertainties; can Powell change
the mood? China steps up effort to boost economy but Asian stocks
unimpressed. Pound shines ahead of BoE decision, SNB coming up too,
dollar crawls off lows.

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Dollar falls on soft data, euro rallies after ECB

Fri, 16 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Investors defy Fed, expecting rates to peak soon. ECB appears hawkish, lifts the euro. BoJ maintains loose policy, hurts the yen. Wall Street rallies on hopes Fed hiking cycle is ending.

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Week Ahead: Can the BoE and SNB hike by 50bps? Flash PMIs incoming

Fri, 16 Jun 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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The central bank theme will continue in the coming week with the Bank of England and Swiss National Bank next to announce their interest rate decisions. Both are expected to raise their policy rates but is there room for hawkish surprises? The flash PMIs for June will also be on investors’ radar as some territories such as the Eurozone grapple with a recession. Inflation data will be the highlight in Japan but it’s looking like a quieter period in the United States, allowing the US dollar to take a backseat after the Fed’s decision to pause.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 16/06/2023

Fri, 16 Jun 2023 09:00:00 +0300

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchors Bryan Curtis and Paul Allen

Fed sounds hawkish but traders don’t buy it, ECB next

Thu, 15 Jun 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Fed holds rates steady but signals 2 more rate hikes this year. Yet markets were not convinced, dollar weakens, stocks jump. ECB decision in focus today, BoJ will follow early on Friday.

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Inflation data pushes dollar lower ahead of Fed decision

Wed, 14 Jun 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as CPI numbers increase Fed skip chances. Fed decides today, spotlight to fall on dot plot. Wall Street extends rally after soft inflation prints.

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Dollar slips, stocks soar ahead of US inflation report

Tue, 13 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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All eyes on US inflation data today, could influence Fed decision. Dollar slips, sterling jumps after jobs data, stocks power higher. China cuts interest rates, crash in oil prices warns of soft demand.

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Markets calm before the central bank storm

Mon, 12 Jun 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Massive week begins, featuring rate decisions in US, Europe, and Japan. US inflation report also on tap tomorrow, could influence Fed decision. Yen hits seven-year low against pound, Turkish lira goes into freefall.

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Stocks resume climb after uptick in jobless claims, dollar tumbles

Fri, 09 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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US weekly jobless claims hit highest in 1½-years, boosting Fed pause bets. Tech stocks find reason to celebrate as yields decline but China weakness weighs. Dollar skids but steadier today, aussie leads FX weekly gains.

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Week Ahead: Fed, ECB, and BoJ meet after US inflation report

Fri, 09 Jun 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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A bombshell week is coming up, featuring rate decisions in the United States, Eurozone, and Japan. The Fed is likely to ‘pause’ according to market pricing, but the decision might ultimately depend on the inflation stats that will be released the previous day, setting the stage for volatility in the dollar. By contrast, there isn’t much scope for surprises in Europe or Japan, leaving those currencies mostly in the hands of other forces.

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Dollar gets sidetracked as BoC joins RBA’s hawkish tilt

Thu, 08 Jun 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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BoC delivers second surprise hike of the week, aussie and loonie shine. Markets forced to reassess their understanding of a ‘pause’. Dollar slips amid confusion over Fed policy, tech rally hit by un-pause fears.

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Dollar mixed amidst increasing chances of a Fed skip

Wed, 07 Jun 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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The probability of a Fed pause next week rises to 80%. Dollar gains the most against euro, loses versus the aussie. Investors are split on whether the BoC should hike today. Wall Street enjoys another day of gains.

Surprise RBA hike lifts aussie but Fed pause bets weigh on dollar

Tue, 06 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Aussie jumps after RBA’s shock hike, loonie buoyed ahead of BoC decision. US dollar on the backfoot after disappointing ISM services PMI. Oil and stocks struggle amid economic and rate path uncertainty.

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Dollar weakens further ahead of the NFPs

Fri, 02 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends slide on slowing unit labor costs. Investors scale back their Fed hike bets. NFPs enter the limelight; mind the earnings. Wall Street cheers June pause prospect.

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Week Ahead: RBA and BoC to hold rates but might be tempted to hike, OPEC meets

Fri, 02 Jun 2023 10:00:00 +0300

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Policy decisions from the RBA and the Bank of Canada will be taking centre stage next week amid an otherwise light agenda. In the United States, the ISM services PMI will be the only top-tier release and now that Congress has averted a default by suspending the debt ceiling, the dollar might spend the week drifting lower. Before all that however, OPEC and non-OPEC countries will meet on Sunday to discuss whether to make further cuts to oil output.

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Fed officials signal pause in rates, dollar retreats

Thu, 01 Jun 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar loses steam after Fed members indicate ‘pause’ in rate hikes. US debt ceiling deal passes House, but stocks and gold uninterested. Eurozone inflation data and key US releases coming up next.

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Weak Chinese data pushes risk assets lower

Wed, 31 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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China PMIs disappoint, dragging down risk-sensitive currencies. Yen recovers, helped by safe-haven flows and Tokyo FX warning. Euro turns to German inflation data, tech stocks close stellar month.

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Dollar fires up, pushes gold down the stairs

Tue, 30 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar continues to recover ground, bolstered by Fed bets. Gold falls to 6-week lows as debt ceiling deal spreads relief. Stocks set to open higher, despite looming liquidity drain.

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Biden and McCarthy agree to raise US debt ceiling

Mon, 29 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Biden and McCarthy find common ground, deal ready for Congress vote. Dollar takes a breather, but summer hike bets increase. Turkish lira slips to new record low as Erdogan secures victory. Wall Street gains, mainly driven by chip stocks.

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Dollar pauses for breath ahead of inflation data, tech rally eases

Fri, 26 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Fed rate cut bets continue to be priced out, all eyes on core PCE inflation. US dollar softer today but still headed for third weekly gain. Debt deal progress and AI buzz lift Wall Street, global equities.

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Week Ahead: Nonfarm payrolls eyed as dollar rides Fed bets

Fri, 26 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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With investors flirting with the idea of one final Fed rate increase this summer and the dollar making a comeback, there will be increased emphasis on the next round of US employment data on Friday. Debt ceiling negotiations will also be front and center as the clock ticks down to a US government shutdown, while in Europe, there’s a batch of inflation numbers to shape the euro’s path.

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Gold and yen scorched by rising yields, Nvidia saves stocks

Thu, 25 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar continues its grind higher, empowered by Fed bets and risk aversion. Gold gets burned by rising yields, central bank divergence hits Japanese yen. Stocks close lower, but Nvidia earnings turn markets around after-hours.

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FOMC minutes on the radar as dollar attempts comeback

Wed, 24 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar extends recovery, stock markets slide in risk-off session. Sterling takes a hit despite hot UK inflation, RBNZ sinks the kiwi. Debt ceiling nerves grow - are investors focusing on the wrong risk?

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Markets calm but nervous as debt ceiling and Fed drama drag on

Tue, 23 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Biden-McCarthy talks end with no deal but both sides remain hopeful. Stocks subdued but dollar edges up as Fed rhetoric stays on the hawkish side. Euro slips as mixed PMIs unable to lend much support.

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Powell talks pause but debt ceiling uncertainty weighs on sentiment

Mon, 22 May 2023 15:00:00 +0300

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Powell signals Fed may be done raising rates, pushing June hike odds into reverse. Dollar takes a tumble but quickly finds its footing. Stocks also struggle amid ongoing debt ceiling drama as clock keeps ticking.

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Dollar flexes muscles as June hike bets rise

Fri, 19 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Debt-ceiling headlines stay encouraging. Initial jobless claims surprise to
the downside. Fed officials continue to appear in hawkish suits. Dollar
gains as June hike probability increases. Wall Street celebrates the data
and debt-ceiling optimism.

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Week Ahead: RBNZ, Fed minutes, UK & US inflation, flash PMIs to headline packed week

Fri, 19 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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The RBNZ looks set to raise rates for a 12th time in the coming week, while inflation figures out of the United Kingdom and United States will be crucial in shaping rate hike expectations. After some shockingly bad data recently, Germany’s PMI readings will likely capture the most attention from S&P Global’s flash surveys for May. With sentiment still fragile, the PMIs could set the tone for equity markets, but will they aid the US dollar’s advance or will the Fed’s May meeting minutes rein in the bulls?

Dollar holds firm on debt-ceiling hopes

Thu, 18 May 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Debt-ceiling negotiations moving in the right direction. Housing data point to improvement. US dollar gains, but full-scale reversal remains premature. Wall Street, oil, and gold reflect market optimism.

Gold slides as traders unwind Fed rate cut bets

Wed, 17 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Gold and yen fall, dollar gains after solid US data and Fedspeak. Stocks mixed, resilience of tech shares holding up entire market. Debt ceiling showdown continues, Japan beats GDP estimates.

Focus shifts to US retail sales and debt ceiling talks

Tue, 16 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar inches lower, stocks cheer after soft US manufacturing data. Next items on the agenda are US retail sales and debt ceiling talks. Disappointing Chinese data deals blow to recovery hopes.

Dollar back in action as Fed considers another rate hike

Mon, 15 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar comes back to life after Michigan data and hawkish Fed remarks. Rising yields inflict damage on Japanese yen, but gold finds dip buyers. Demand concerns haunt oil prices, Turkish lira sinks after elections.

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Week Ahead: Focus on US retail sales as debt ceiling drama rumbles on

Fri, 12 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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With no central bank decisions on the menu next week, investors will turn to data releases. Top of the list is the US retail sales report, which will help shape expectations about the Fed’s rate path, driving the dollar accordingly. There is also an onslaught of economic data from most major economies to keep traders busy, alongside an election in Turkey and the ongoing drama around the US debt ceiling.

Dollar gains despite increasing Fed cut bets

Fri, 12 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Jobless claims jump to a 1-1/2-year high. Dollar attracts haven flows, but too early for reversal. BoE hikes, revises up inflation and GDP projections. Dow and S&P 500 reflect worries, Nasdaq stays supported.

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US inflation dips below 5% but dollar quickly bounces back

Thu, 11 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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US CPI eases to two-year low, fuelling Fed rate cut expectations. Yields
decline but dollar advances after limited selloff. Pound in the spotlight today
as BoE expected to hike again.

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US inflation report awaited for direction as stocks, dollar drift

Wed, 10 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Nerves kick in as debt ceiling talks drag on, uncertainty builds ahead of US CPI. Dollar pares some gains, euro bounces off lows but lacks momentum. Wall Street slides as bank stocks remain under pressure, default risks rise.

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Dollar receives mild support ahead of CPI data

Tue, 09 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Dollar rises as Fed survey eases recession fears. Risk-linked currencies gain more on improving sentiment. Spotlight turns to US CPI numbers. Wall Street trades mixed ahead of the data.

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Dollar can’t catch a break despite solid NFP as CPI eyed

Mon, 08 May 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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US dollar stays on the backfoot even as jobless rate unexpectedly dips in
April. Fed rate cut bets still elevated; will inflation data alter anything? US
bank stocks rebound but worries persist, debt ceiling standoff adds to
jitters.

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Nonfarm payrolls set to unleash more volatility

Fri, 05 May 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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US employment data in focus today, most signs point to a solid report. ECB raises rates and strikes hawkish tone, but euro trades lower. Cable hits one-year high, gold near new record, Apple beats earnings.

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Week Ahead: BoE takes the central bank torch, US CPI data also in focus

Fri, 05 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Following the FOMC and ECB decisions last week, the central bank torch will now be passed to the BoE, which will deliver its decision on Thursday. A 25bps hike is mostly priced in, so the spotlight will fall on clues and hints on how officials are planning to move forward. The US CPIs will also attract special attention as investors are trying to figure out whether the Fed will pause or hike once more in June.

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Fed hints at possible pause; ECB enters the spotlight

Thu, 04 May 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Fed hikes by 25bps, but turns data dependent. Dollar extends slide as investors price in a June pause. ECB to hike by 25bps as well, focus could fall on Lagarde. Wall Street and oil prices slide, gold nearly hits its record.

Dollar on the back foot ahead of Fed decision

Wed, 03 May 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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US debt default and banking sector concerns hurt the dollar. Fed to hike, focus to fall on forward guidance. Wall Street in defensive mode ahead of Fed.

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Surprise rate hike boosts Australian dollar, yen hits 15-year lows

Tue, 02 May 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Yen sinks to 15-year low against euro, decimated by central bank divergence. Reserve Bank of Australia surprises with rate increase, lifting local dollar. All eyes on Eurozone inflation today, size of ECB rate hike hangs in balance.

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Yen sinks after BoJ leaves policy unchanged, dollar shrugs off GDP miss

Fri, 28 Apr 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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BoJ tweaks guidance but long review dampens bets of near-term policy overhaul. Yen tumbles, adding to dollar’s upside after core PCE deflator accelerates in Q1. Strong earnings lift Wall Street despite ongoing recession risks.

Week Ahead: Fed and ECB decisions set the stage for US payrolls

Fri, 28 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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An explosive week lies ahead for global markets, featuring central bank decisions in the United States, Eurozone, and Australia, alongside the latest edition of nonfarm payrolls. The Fed is expected to raise interest rates one final time, so the dollar will react mostly to any signals around future action. But the euro might enjoy even greater volatility, as traders are split on the size of the upcoming ECB rate increase.

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Recession fears mount but fails to maintain haven status

Thu, 27 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Ongoing uncertainties in the US hurt the dollar. Atlanta Fed GDP estimate
revised lower ahead of official data. BoJ expected to stand pat, focus to fall
on guidance. Recession fears weigh on Dow and S&P 500, but Nasdaq
gains.

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Dollar gains amid renewed recession fears

Wed, 26 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar, yen gain as investors seek shelter. Fed rate cut bets are back firmly on the table. Euro uptrend may stay the course as ECB seen hiking more. Wall Street slides amid renewed economic concerns.

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Dollar and stocks struggle amid anxious calm before the storm

Tue, 25 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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Tech earnings and US data awaited for direction as outlook remains
clouded. Lingering uncertainties drag US yields and the dollar lower; debt
ceiling in focus. Yen firms slightly after Ueda opens the door to future policy
tightening.

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Markets steady after solid PMIs, US data and BoJ awaited

Mon, 24 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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US business activity picks up in April, but Fed still seen pausing after May.
Mixed start for dollar and stocks before barrage of tech earnings and US
data. Yen steady ahead of BoJ decision; euro firmer after PMIs, hawkish
ECB, GDP next.

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Dollar eyes weekly gain, but Fed pivot bets increase

Fri, 21 Apr 2023 15:00:00 +0300

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Disappointing US data revives Fed pivot speculation. ECB to stay the
course on rate hikes. Yen enjoys safe-haven flows, inflation data also help.
Wall Street skids after gloomy earnings.

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Week Ahead: Spotlight on BoJ’s Ueda as first meeting looms; US and Eurozone data eyed too

Fri, 21 Apr 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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The Bank of Japan will hold its first policy meeting under the stewardship of Kazuo Ueda next week, although it’s looking unlikely that he will kick things off with a bang. The focus may therefore quickly shift to GDP numbers out of the United States and Eurozone where both economies are expected to have dodged a recession, while the all-important PCE inflation report will be one of the final pieces of the rate puzzle before the Fed’s May decision.

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Gold finds dip buyers, oil begins to fill OPEC gap

Thu, 20 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Gold refuses to decline as central bank demand remains in play. Drop in oil prices hits Canadian dollar, Tesla earnings disappoint. Focus turns to onslaught of Fed speakers and Japanese inflation.

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Sterling leaps higher on inflation stats, yen in trouble

Wed, 19 Apr 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Hot UK inflation print adds fuel to BoE rate bets, lifting pound. Yen gets scorched by revival in US yields, but dollar can’t rally. Stock markets in cheery mood ahead of Tesla earnings today.

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Week Ahead: Avalanche of data releases to keep traders busy

Thu, 13 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0300

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There are no major central bank decisions scheduled for next week, but
that doesn’t mean markets will be quiet as there’s a ton of data releases
that can fuel volatility. The highlight will be China’s economic growth, which
will reveal exactly how powerful the reopening boost was. Meanwhile in
Europe, the latest business surveys could decide whether the euro’s rally
still has some miles left in the tank.

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Dollar extends fall as CPI data and Fed minutes corroborate pivot bets

Thu, 13 Apr 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Headline CPI rate drops by a full percentage point, core ticks up. Investors still expect another 25bps hike, but maintain rate cut bets. Fed minutes reveal that some officials considered pausing.

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Dollar slides ahead of US inflation data and Fed minutes

Wed, 12 Apr 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar slides as traders seem reluctant to buy ahead of CPI figures. Wall Street mixed ahead of today’s data, bank earnings on Friday. Gold climbs back above $2,000 on the back of a weak dollar. Bank of Canada decision also on tap.

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Wall Street and dollar see-saw as Fed rate path steepens

Tue, 11 Apr 2023 18:00:00 +0300

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US stocks stage late rebound despite ratcheting up of Fed rate hike bets.
Asian mood also perks up as regional central banks seen on pause. Dollar
extends post-NFP gains before easing again; US CPI the main focus.

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Muted response to solid jobs report as focus quickly shifts to US CPI

Mon, 10 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Dollar firms as May rate hike seen more certain after another healthy gain in US jobs. Yet, overall reaction has been muted amid thin trading during long Easter weekend. But volatility set to return as US CPI report due this week, plus the BoC decision.

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Nonfarm payrolls set to rattle deserted markets

Fri, 07 Apr 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Nonfarm payrolls report coming up, early indicators flash mixed signals. Most markets will remain closed today, so FX is the main game in town. Wall Street recovers after another round of soft data cements rate-cut bets.

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Week Ahead: US CPI data, Fed minutes, and BoC decision on investors’ radar

Fri, 07 Apr 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Next week starts on a quiet note as Monday is Easter Monday for most economies on our radar. That said, the calendar becomes heavier as the days pass by, with the spotlight probably falling on the US CPI numbers for March, the minutes from the latest FOMC gathering, and the BoC decision. The US data will constitute another piece of information in the riddle of whether the Fed should hit the hike button one last time in May, while the BoC decision may reveal whether Canadian officials will be the first ones to hit the cut button.

Dollar reclaims safe-haven status as recession fears intensify

Thu, 06 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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ISM non-manufacturing PMI disappoints, adding to downturn. Dollar gains despite Treasury yields extending their slide. Gold maintains ‘safe haven of choice’ status.

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Dollar extends slide as US job openings tumble

Wed, 05 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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US job openings slide to the lowest since May 2021. Wall Street slides as data revives recession fears. Gold rallies above $2000 as Fed pivot bets intensify. New Zealand dollar rallies as RBNZ hikes by 50bps.

Dollar slips, stocks climb after disappointing US data

Tue, 04 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Contraction in US manufacturing emboldens bets for Fed cuts. Dollar slides, stock markets rally with boost from energy shares. RBA hits ‘stop’ button on rates, RBNZ decision coming up next.

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OPEC supply cut boosts oil prices, helps dollar recover

Mon, 03 Apr 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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Surprise production cut from OPEC propels oil prices higher. Dollar benefits as resurfacing inflation concerns fuel Fed bets. Stocks close first quarter in euphoric mood, riding liquidity wave.

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Stocks headed for quarterly gains despite turmoil, dollar set for losses

Fri, 31 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Equities to end week and quarter in buoyant mood as tech-led rebound gathers pace. Fed speakers keep rate hike door wide open, dollar firms but still down in Q1. Tokyo CPI beat unable to halt yen’s slide, US and Eurozone inflation coming up next.

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Week Ahead: Nonfarm payrolls to set the tone for US dollar

Fri, 31 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0300

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With the banking turmoil receding, market participants will turn their attention back to economic releases. The spotlight will fall on the US employment report, where another strong reading could temper speculation that the Fed will start cutting rates soon, helping the wounded dollar to recover. Meanwhile in Australia and New Zealand, central banks are expected to take different paths.

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Dollar trades mixed, awaits PCE inflation data

Thu, 30 Mar 2023 11:00:00 +0300

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Dollar trades mixed against the other majors. PCE numbers and Fed speakers could reshape Fed bets. Germany’s CPI data due out a day ahead of Eurozone’s inflation numbers. Wall Street indices add more than 1% worth of gains each.

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Weaker yen gives dollar a lift as stocks climb on easing banking fears

Wed, 29 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0300

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Stocks extend gains as banking turmoil continues to subside. Dollar catches up with firmer Treasury yields, yen tumbles. Oil rises to 2-week high on improving tone and on Iraq supply concerns.

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Equities extend cautious rebound, dollar slips as bank stocks rally

Tue, 28 Mar 2023 15:00:00 +0300

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Banking turmoil subsides further, sparking rotation away from tech into financials. Deutsche Bank joins in the rally as officials play down concerns. Dollar stays pressured as Fed rate cut bets remain in play, US data eyed.

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Yen shines, dollar stalls as traders bet Fed is bluffing

Fri, 24 Mar 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Speculation for Fed rate cuts intensifies, keeping dollar in slow gear. Yen
advances as yields edge lower, stock markets resume selloff. European
PMIs exceed forecasts, but euro gets smoked by bank risks.

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Week Ahead: Eurozone and US inflation to come under the microscope after rate decisions

Fri, 24 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Amid ongoing jitters about the fallout from the banking sector, inflation will fall back into the limelight next week. The flash CPI readings for the euro area as well as the PCE inflation figures out of the United States will grab most of the headlines, in an otherwise quiet week. Hot CPI numbers could roil markets as central banks have indicated that they are not about to take their eye off the ball during these turbulent times.

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Dollar slides as Fed hints at pause; BoE up next

Thu, 23 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed hikes by 25bps, opens the door to a pause. Dollar slides across the board. Wall Street falls on Powell and Yellen remarks. SNB delivers double hike, BoE to proceed with 25bps.

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Fed set to raise rates, but will Powell signal a pause?

Wed, 22 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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With banking nerves calming down, Fed is set to raise interest rates today. Market reaction will depend mostly on rate projections and Powell’s tone. Sterling advances after hot inflation numbers telegraph BoE rate hike.

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Gold loses steam, stocks recover as banking storm eases

Tue, 21 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Nerves around banking sector recede for now, as traders bet on Fed cuts. Gold loses some of its safe-haven appeal, stock markets bounce back. Dollar remains under pressure, unable to capitalize on market turbulence.

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Banking turmoil keeps sentiment fragile; investors want the Fed to pivot

Mon, 20 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Banking fears persist despite contingency plans. Yen gains as equities and
bond yields slide. Fed is seen pausing and initiating rate cuts. Gold
skyrockets above $2,000, oil falls to 15-month low.

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ECB hikes amid turmoil but opens door to pause, lifting markets

Fri, 17 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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ECB delivers what it promised but abandons forward guidance, euro climbs. US banks pour $30 billion into troubled First Republic in rescue deal. Stocks rise in relief rally, yields make unconvincing rebound, dollar slips. But some caution today as triple witching looms.

Week Ahead: Fed decision to fuel volatility in nervous market

Fri, 17 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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With cracks appearing in the US banking system, markets think there’s a chance the Fed won’t raise rates at all next week. But considering that the Fed has already taken measures to ease financial stress and that inflation is still raging, the most likely outcome is a rate increase accompanied by high rate projections, which boost the dollar. The Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank meet as well.

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Dollar gains as panic returns, ECB meets amidst banking crisis

Thu, 16 Mar 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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The dollar and the yen Wednesday’s main gainers. Franc and euro lose the most ground on Credit Suisse fallout. ECB decides on interest rates, with investors split on hike size. Wall Street pares loses, but concerns remain.

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Markets rebound, then falter as fears grow over Credit Suisse

Wed, 15 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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SVB contagion fears continue to recede, spurring a global rebound in stock markets. But the mood sours again as Credit Suisse shares sink, euro skids. Treasury yields make a partial recovery, Fed rate hike path steepens only slightly. US CPI not much help to wounded dollar as focus turns to ECB decision.

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Bank stocks pummelled but some calm restored ahead of US CPI

Tue, 14 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Financial stocks remain pressured but broader selloff eases as panic subsides. US inflation in the spotlight after sharp repricing of Fed rate hikes. Gold and cryptos softer after surge, yields steadier, dollar edges up.

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Dollar slides on Fed pause bets after SVB crisis

Mon, 13 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed and US Treasury announce plans following SVB collapse. Investors
take a 50bps Fed hike off the table, see likelihood of pause. US stock
futures rally, dollar and Treasury yields extend slide.

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Investors hit panic button ahead of nonfarm payrolls

Fri, 10 Mar 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Dollar turns its sights to another decisive US employment report. Yen slips
as Bank of Japan refuses to tighten, gold tries to recover. Stock markets
fall sharply as financial contagion fears infect banks.

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Week Ahead: US inflation, ECB decision to test markets’ nerve

Fri, 10 Mar 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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The US inflation report and the European Central Bank’s policy meeting will share the limelight next week amid another round of ratcheting up of rate hike expectations by investors. Other critical data such as Chinese industrial output, Australian employment and New Zealand GDP estimates might thus get overshadowed. Meanwhile in the UK, it’s budget time again, although it’s not expected to generate as much volatility as last time.

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Dollar awaits the NFPs, BoC leaves rates untouched

Thu, 09 Mar 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Fed Chair Powell reiterates hawkish message. Data points to tightening US labor market. BoC becomes the first major central bank to pause. BoJ takes the central bank torch.

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Dollar rallies as Powell appears in a hawkish suit

Wed, 08 Mar 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Fed Chair Powell stresses the need for higher rates. Dollar rallies across the board, as Fed hike bets surge. BoC is widely anticipated to stand pat today. Wall Street feels the heat of Powell’s hawkish remarks.

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Dollar retreats ahead of Powell’s testimony

Tue, 07 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed chief testifies before Congress, investors focused on his tone. Aussie slides after cautious RBA rate hike, yen ignores softer data. Stock markets little changed, waiting for Fed signals and US payrolls.

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Gold and stocks recover as US yields cool off

Mon, 06 Mar 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Gold and equities bounce back, capitalizing on retreat in US rates. Dollar
drifts lower despite strong data, pressured by cheerful mood. Massive week
lies ahead with three central banks and US payrolls.

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Week Ahead: Will the BoJ shock markets ahead of US payrolls?

Fri, 03 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Market participants are in for a wild ride, as the coming week is loaded with promising events. The ball will get rolling with central bank meetings in Australia and Canada. Those will serve as appetizers for the Bank of Japan’s decision, which might be a close call, feeding volatility in the yen. In the US, the latest employment report and testimony by the Fed chief before Congress will decide whether the dollar’s recovery still has miles left in the tank.

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Dollar slips from highs ahead of ISM services as stocks defy soaring yields

Fri, 03 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar eases from highs as yields rally pauses for breath ahead of ISM services PMI. But Wall Street bounces back as Fed officials hint at ‘steady as she goes’ approach. Euro fights back as ECB hawkish soundbites keep coming, yen mixed on BoJ doubts.

Dollar slides on Chinese data, euro awaits inflation numbers

Thu, 02 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar slips as Chinese PMIs spark risk-on. But pares losses after ISM manufacturing PMI data. Euro traders await Eurozone inflation numbers. Rising Fed hike bets hurt Wall Street.

Sentiment improves on upbeat Chinese PMIs, dollar sags

Wed, 01 Mar 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Strong China factory data boosts equities but rate hike fears limit gains. Dollar pulls back, euro climbs as ECB starts QT. Aussie and loonie up on China optimism but soft GDP numbers weigh.

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Dollar pulls back, pound the main gainer

Tue, 28 Feb 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar slides as durable goods orders slip more than expected. Pound outperforms on New Northern Ireland deal. Equities gain, but outlook stays dim.

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Yen slips on cautious Bank of Japan signals

Fri, 24 Feb 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Yen retreats after incoming BoJ Governor strikes cautious tone. Dollar
grinds higher, pushing gold to lowest levels of 2023. Stock markets close in
the green, Nvidia does the heavy lifting.

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Week Ahead: US ISM PMIs and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Fri, 24 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Following a relatively busy week, the calendar becomes lighter next week. However, that doesn’t mean there are no important economic releases on the agenda. On the contrary, with market participants trying to figure out how many more rate hikes the US economy can withstand, they may pay extra attention to the ISM PMIs for February. Also, with most ECB policymakers arguing that more 50bps worth of rate hikes are needed to tame inflation, the Eurozone’s preliminary CPI numbers for February will likely take center stage as well.

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Dollar stays strong after Fed minutes, yen awaits Ueda

Thu, 23 Feb 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Fed minutes show that almost all officials backed 25bps hike. Dollar strengthens as they remain willing to adjust as necessary. Yen traders await Ueda’s first speech after his nomination.

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Dollar extends gains after PMIs, awaits Fed minutes

Wed, 22 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar strengthens as better PMIs add to Fed hike bets. Eurozone and UK PMIs also surprise to the upside. Equities and risk-linked currencies feel the heat of hike bets.

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Dollar creeps higher, stocks retreat as traders play defense

Tue, 21 Feb 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar advances against risk-linked currencies, helped by rising yields. Stocks retreat, investors face ‘reality check’ on expensive valuations. European PMIs, RBNZ decision next.

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Mounting Fed bets cannot propel dollar higher

Mon, 20 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar unable to capitalize on ‘higher for longer’ Fed bets. Yen and gold feel the heat of rising US yields instead. Stocks remain resilient, but risk/reward is unattractive.

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Week Ahead: Fed minutes and RBNZ decision coming up

Fri, 17 Feb 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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nvestors will receive another dose of crucial data releases next week that can fuel market volatility. The highlight will be the minutes of the last FOMC meeting, where there’s a risk that policymakers strike a different tone than Powell did back then. Over in New Zealand, the central bank is about to roll out another rate hike. Meanwhile, the latest set of business surveys will provide a timely update on the health of the global economy.

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Data and Fed officials take the dollar higher

Fri, 17 Feb 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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US producer prices accelerate, initial jobless claims slide. Fed’s Mester and Bullard appear in their hawkish suits. Dollar extends gains, Wall Street slides as Fed hike bets grow.

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Dollar stays strong, pound plummets as UK inflation eases

Thu, 16 Feb 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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US retail sales rebound strongly, adding to soft landing hopes. Dollar climbs higher as investors maintain Fed hike bets. Pound falls as slowing inflation alleviates pressure on BoE. Equities gain, but gold extends decline.

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Dollar on the front foot after inflation data

Wed, 15 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Rental and food prices fuel US CPI. Dollar gains as investors add to Fed hike bets. Eurozone employment hits new record. ECB President Lagarde steps onto the rostrum.

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Mood improves ahead of US inflation data; stocks perk up, dollar slips

Tue, 14 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Stocks rebound as bond yields fall back, but US inflation report poses a risk. Yen firmer after Ueda confirmed as nominee for BoJ governor. Pound inches higher on UK jobs data, gold finds support ahead of US CPI.

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Stocks pinned down by CPI angst, yen skids as BoJ boost fades

Mon, 13 Feb 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Stocks, yields and US rate futures fall in line with Fed’s ‘higher for longer’ message. Worries about upside surprise in US CPI report weighs on mood, dollar firms. Yen reverses gains as contender for BoJ chief dents hawkish expectations.

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Risk appetite wanes as yields keep climbing

Fri, 10 Feb 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street headed for weekly losses as hawkish Fed talk pushes up
yields. But dollar mixed as investors await more clues on inflation. Yen
gains on BoJ nomination reports, oil jumps as Russia cuts output.

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Week Ahead: US inflation and BoJ Governor selection in focus

Fri, 10 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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A tsunami lies ahead for FX traders. The dollar staged a recovery lately as markets priced in a higher peak for Fed rates, but whether this comeback has scope to continue will depend on the upcoming US inflation report. Over in Japan, the nation will enter a new chapter with the nomination of its next central bank chief, putting the yen in the spotlight.

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Dollar traders place hopes on jobless claims

Thu, 09 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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After Powell, investors listen to more Fed members. But implied path on interest rates stays unchanged. Jobless claims and next week’s CPI data are the dollar’s next tests.

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Fed Chair Powell halts dollar rally

Wed, 08 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed Chair Powell reiterates disinflation remarks. Dollar slides as investors revise their implied rate path slightly lower. Eurozone inflation expectations edge up.

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Caution ahead of Powell after RBA’s hawkish drumbeat

Tue, 07 Feb 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Equity markets struggle to get back on their feet after hawkish Bostic and RBA. Dollar holds near one-month highs, aussie jumps as RBA flags more rate hikes. Yen perks up on wage data, gold firmer ahead of Biden’s State of the Union speech.

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Dollar soars, stocks dive after NFP shock; yen skids on BoJ rumours

Mon, 06 Feb 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Jump in payrolls halts tech rally, revives dollar bulls; Fed speakers eyed next. Yen tumbles on reports that Kuroda successor will be architect of BoJ’s ultra-easy policy. Gold takes a hit from surging yields, but pares losses on US-China tensions.

Week Ahead: RBA next to hike, UK might avoid a recession

Fri, 03 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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After the past week’s central bank bonanza, things will quieten down in the coming days, although not completely, as the Reserve Bank of Australia will keep the rate hike theme running. On the data front, the highlights will be Canada’s employment report and the first look at UK GDP in the final quarter of 2022. US indicators will be sparse, likely ensuring that the dollar stays on the backfoot after getting knocked down from the not-so-hawkish Fed meeting.

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Euro and pound slide after ECB and BoE, NFPs enter the limelight

Fri, 03 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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ECB’s Lagarde signals another 50bps hike in March. BoE’s Bailey says inflation is turning the corner. Investors lock gaze on US jobs data.

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Fed flushes dollar down the drain, ECB and BoE next

Thu, 02 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed chief strikes neutral tone, markets take it as ‘green light’ to rally. ECB and BoE decisions coming up, both set for 50bps rate increases. Earnings season goes into full force with Apple, Amazon, and Google.

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Fed decision kicks off central bank bonanza

Wed, 01 Feb 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed set to raise rates by 25bps but what tone will Powell strike? Dollar remains on the back foot, stocks resume euphoric rally. Meta reports earnings, ECB and BoE decisions awaited tomorrow.

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Dollar gains ahead of major central bank decisions

Tue, 31 Jan 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar gains ahead of tomorrow’s Fed decision. Spain’s inflation accelerated for the first time in six months. Euro/dollar could slide, but outlook stays positive. Treasury yields rise, weighing on Wall Street.

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Dollar stable, euphoric stocks turn lower as busy week begins

Mon, 30 Jan 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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FX market in a stalemate ahead of crucial central bank decisions. Wall Street takes a
step back after bull run, tech earnings loom. Oil prices ignore military strikes against Iran, awaits OPEC meeting.

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Techs extend rally amid optimism, dollar eyes inflation data

Fri, 27 Jan 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Wall Street in buoyant mood despite mixed earnings as Tesla surges.
Dollar firms after solid growth data, PCE inflation coming up next. Yen
edges up as BoJ yield policy tested again after Tokyo CPI rise.

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Weak Ahead: Fed, ECB, and BoE rate decisions on the menu

Fri, 27 Jan 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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A busy week lies ahead, featuring several central bank decisions and a stream of data releases. The Fed is set to raise rates at a slower pace as inflation has started to cool down, putting the emphasis on Powell’s commentary. Meanwhile, market pricing suggests the ECB and BoE will roll out bigger rate increases than the Fed, before the week concludes with the latest US employment report.

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Dollar slides ahead of US GDP data, BoC signals likely pause

Thu, 26 Jan 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar continues to slide on Fed pivot bets. US GDP numbers for Q4 enter the limelight. More ECB hawks flap their wings. Loonie slides as BoC says it will likely stop raising rates.

US business activity shrinks, BoC decision up next

Wed, 25 Jan 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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US continues to contract while Eurozone returns to growth. Aussie gains on accelerating inflation. BoC expected to deliver one last hike. Wall Street ends mixed, awaits more earnings results.

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Wall Street jumps ahead of key earnings and data

Tue, 24 Jan 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Tech stocks surge as S&P 500 closes above 4,000, all eyes on Microsoft.
Euro eases off highs amid signs of ECB divisions, mixed PMIs also weigh.
Dollar struggles as Fed bets trimmed, gold hits fresh highs.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 24/01/2023

Tue, 24 Jan 2023 09:00:00 +0200

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg Radio anchors Bryan Curtis and Vonnie Quinn

Fed signals downshift, lifting Wall Street, but dollar sags

Mon, 23 Jan 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Fed officials warm up to 25-bps rate hikes, cheering equity markets. But dollar takes a hit, stands firm only against sinking yen. Euro powers on as ECB hawk puts foot down, flash PMIs eyed.

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Weak Ahead: BoC may hike one final time; Will flash PMIs spread optimism or gloom?

Fri, 20 Jan 2023 15:00:00 +0200

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As 2023 gets underway, so do the central bank meetings and the Bank of
Canada will be the next after the BoJ to announce its first policy decision of
the year. Meanwhile, investors will be nervously awaiting the first PMI
readings of 2023 next week as they juggle to reach a consensus about the
recessionary risks. In the United States, there will additionally be the
advance GDP estimates for the final quarter of 2022, as well as PCE
inflation data. The latest CPI numbers will be at the forefront too in
Australia and New Zealand.

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Dollar subdued, euro rebounds, yen retreats

Fri, 20 Jan 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Dollar trades lower even as initial jobless claims beat estimates. Euro rebounds after Lagarde appears hawkish. Yen retreats but stays in broader uptrend. Wall Street records another day of losses.

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US data disappoints, yen stages comeback

Thu, 19 Jan 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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US data revive recession fears, add to pivot view. Yen recovers post-BoJ losses, stays in uptrend. Euro awaits ECB minutes and Lagarde’s speech. S&P 500 comes under pressure after testing key downtrend line.

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Yen tumbles on BoJ decision, US data enters the limelight

Wed, 18 Jan 2023 11:00:00 +0200

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Yen falls as BoJ defies bets for more policy tweaks. US retail sales and PPI data the dollar’s next test. Wall Street at the mercy of data and earnings.

Yen slips ahead of BoJ, stocks subdued as Chinese growth slows

Tue, 17 Jan 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Markets cautious before BoJ as traders on guard for another policy tweak.
China’s economy slows but avoids contraction, stocks turn lower. Dollar steady as US data and Fed speakers eyed for direction.

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Yen, gold, and stock markets power higher

Mon, 16 Jan 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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Yen goes on a rampage ahead of crucial BoJ decision this week. Gold hits new highs, driven by Fed speculation and softer dollar. Euphoria engulfs markets as stocks, crypto, and risk-linked FX gain.

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Dollar extends slide as US inflation cools further

Fri, 13 Jan 2023 14:00:00 +0200

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US inflation cools further, declines in monthly terms. Dollar slides on Fed-
pivot trade. Yen and euro the main gainers against greenback. Equities
extend recovery, earnings season begins.

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Weak Ahead: Will the Bank of Japan roll out another surprise?

Fri, 13 Jan 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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A volatile week awaits FX traders, featuring the first Bank of Japan decision of the year. It’s a close call whether policymakers will adjust their yield strategy once again, although even if they don’t, it’s probably only a matter of time. There’s also a deluge of data releases from the major economies

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Investors lock gaze on US inflation numbers

Thu, 12 Jan 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar trades mixed ahead of US CPI data. Inflation expected to further slow. Euro, yen could continue outperforming the dollar. Wall Street trades in the green on inflation optimism.

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Stocks mostly positive, dollar steady in wait for US CPI

Wed, 11 Jan 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Markets’ focus entirely on US inflation report after Powell does not comment on rates. Stocks perk up somewhat as traders pin hopes on another CPI drop. Dollar selloff aborted for now, aussie lifted by data, gold extends gains.

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Equities turn cautious ahead of Powell after Fed speakers dent risk rally

Tue, 10 Jan 2023 13:00:00 +0200

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Tech stocks outperform on Wall Street as S&P 500 rebound flounders on hawkish Fed. Powell and other central bank heads eyed in first key remarks of 2023. Dollar steadies but euro and gold maintain bullish bias.

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Markets rally after softer wage growth tempers Fed bets

Mon, 09 Jan 2023 12:00:00 +0200

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Another solid jobs report in December but easing wages raise soft landing hopes. Wall Street and global equities rally as China reopening adds to optimism. Commodities climb too as dollar approaches 7-month lows.

Dollar receives support from data, PCE inflation in focus

Fri, 23 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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US jobless claims and GDP data help the dollar. Core PCE inflation the next focal release. Wall Street comes back under pressure.

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Week Ahead: Markets quiet down for holidays, liquidity in control

Fri, 23 Dec 2022 11:00:00 +0200

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A quiet week lies ahead for FX markets as the year draws to a close. The spotlight will fall on the Bank of Japan’s summary of opinions, which will add some color around the recent decision to raise the yield ceiling that propelled the yen higher. More broadly, liquidity will be in short supply, making sharp market moves possible without any news.

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Dollar stays weak, Wall Street extends gains

Thu, 22 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar continues to feel the heat of Fed pivot expectations. Nike, FedEx, and consumer sentiment help Wall Street. Oil gains on US inventory drawdown.

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Yen holds onto gains as stocks catch a bid

Wed, 21 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Yen rally eases but maintains momentum as yields approach BoJ cap. JGB yields spike again, hitting BoJ’s new upper cap. Stocks perk up as Wall Street ends losing streak.

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BoJ shocks markets with policy tweak; yen soars, stocks tumble

Tue, 20 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Bank of Japan makes surprise tweak to its YCC policy, insists it’s not tightening. Dollar slumps 3% against yen, Nikkei plunges as markets see move as exit from stimulus. Gold supported as broader market mood remains downbeat.

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Stocks steadier, dollar softer as markets weigh recession risks

Mon, 19 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Weak PMIs heighten recession fears in the US, dollar slips from highs. But equities attempt to end losing streak as investors pare back rate hike expectations. Chinese stocks struggle amid surging virus cases as authorities pledge to boost growth. Bank of Japan in focus as speculation of a policy shift intensifies.

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ECB appears hawkish, US retail sales disappoint

Fri, 16 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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ECB signals that more double hikes are on the way. US retail sales slide by more than expected. Dollar ends Thursday higher on haven flows. Wall Street slides on recession fears.

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Week Ahead: Bank of Japan highlights a data-heavy week

Fri, 16 Dec 2022 11:00:00 +0200

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The central bank torch will pass to the Bank of Japan next week. Even though the consensus is for no policy changes, the prospects for the yen have started to improve heading into a potentially stormy year.

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Traders ‘don’t buy’ Fed’s hawkish signals, ECB and BoE coming up

Thu, 15 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar cannot gain ground even as Fed projects rates above 5%. Stocks drift lower, albeit not much, as traders second-guess Fed. The central bank show continues with ECB, BoE, and SNB today.

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Dollar slides as inflation cools, Fed decision next

Wed, 14 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Softer US inflation print sinks dollar, propels stock markets higher. Fed decision today - focus on rate projections and Powell’s tone. Decline in yields breathes new life into the yen and gold prices.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 14/12/2022

Wed, 14 Dec 2022 10:00:00 +0200

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg anchors Doug Krizner & Rishaad Salamat

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Investors brace for US inflation turmoil

Tue, 13 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar drifts lower ahead of pivotal US inflation report. Delicate balance between optimism and caution in stocks. Yen suffers some bruises ahead of BoJ’s Tankan survey.

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Dollar starts busy week on strong footing

Mon, 12 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar up as producer prices rise by more than expected. CPI numbers and Fed
decision the greenback’s next tests. Wall Street ends Friday session in the red. ECB and BoE on the agenda as well

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Week Ahead: Slower rate hikes eyed as Fed, ECB, BoE and SNB clash

Fri, 09 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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A turbulent year is fast drawing to a close and the most crucial week for central banks is upon us. The Federal Reserve will be headlining the last rate-setting decisions of 2022 that will also cover those of the European Central Bank, Bank of England and Swiss National Bank. But it’s not just central bank meetings cramming up the schedule. There will be a flurry of economic data too, led by the latest US CPI report and the flash PMI releases for December. As such, the US dollar, euro and pound will be fighting for the limelight.

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Dollar on the back foot, Wall Street breaks losing streak

Fri, 09 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar trades south on rising jobless claims. Wall Street rebounds as bad news is still good news. PPI data eyed ahead of CPI numbers and Fed meeting. Oil shrugs off Canada-US pipeline closure.

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Gold gets its shine back, stocks drift lower amid flight to safety

Thu, 08 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Sharp decline in US yields saps the dollar, breathes new life into gold. Oil hits new lows as recession worries mount, despite China reopening. Canadian dollar cannot capitalize on surprisingly large rate hike.

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Dollar extends jump, Wall Street ends another day in the red

Wed, 07 Dec 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar recoups more losses after better ISM services index. S&P 500
extends its losing streak to four sessions. Bank of Canada decides on
interest rates.

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Stocks lose altitude, dollar reawakens after solid US data

Tue, 06 Dec 2022 14:00:00 +0200

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ISM services survey signals US economy is still running hot. Traders step up bets on Fed terminal rate, boosting dollar. RBA delivers no surprises, yen retreats as US yields spike.

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Dollar slides despite solid nonfarm payrolls

Mon, 05 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Surprisingly strong US jobs report cannot revitalize dollar rally. Stock markets storm back to erase losses, OPEC stands pat. China relaxes some covid restrictions, RBA decision eyed.

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NFP awaited as Fed rate hike bets cool, dollar plunges

Fri, 02 Dec 2022 15:00:00 +0200

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Dollar resumes slide as US yields tumble after soft inflation and PMI data.
But Wall Street rally takes a breather amid some caution ahead of NFP
report. Yen surges to 3½-month high, weighs on Nikkei, as BoJ speculation
intensifies.

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Week Ahead: Central bank meetings in Australia and Canada

Fri, 02 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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A central bank extravaganza lies ahead in the first half of December. The ball will get rolling with the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada next week, both of which are expected to raise interest rates again, albeit at a slower pace. Meanwhile in America, business surveys and producer prices will shape expectations around Fed policy, helping investors decide whether the dollar’s best days are behind it.

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Dollar tumbles as Powell appears less hawkish than expected

Thu, 01 Dec 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Powell appears less hawkish than he did at the latest Fed meeting. Dollar records its worst month in 14 years. Wall Street rallies, Nasdaq gains the most. Eurozone inflation slows by more than forecast.

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Dollar pulls back as markets prepare for Powell’s speech

Wed, 30 Nov 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar pulls back as investors await Fed Chair Powell. Powell likely to push back on policy pivot. Eurozone inflation data also under the limelight.

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Stocks, oil bounce back on China hopes, dollar’s Fed-led rebound falters

Tue, 29 Nov 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Mood improves as China takes more baby steps to shift away from zero Covid. But risk assets rebound only modestly as Fed hawks keep optimism in check. Dollar pulls back, oil climbs on possible OPEC+ output cut.

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Risk-on takes a hit as China protests spark unease

Mon, 28 Nov 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Yen and dollar jump, yields slip as anti-lockdown protests in China hit sentiment. Oil slumps to one-year low amid rising concerns about Chinese demand. Stocks start the week in the red as NFP and other crucial data eyed.

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Peter McGuire speaks with Bloomberg Radio - 25/11/2022

Fri, 25 Nov 2022 14:00:00 +0200

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg anchor Haslinda Aman.

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Week Ahead: Decisive week for the dollar as PCE inflation and NFP reports coming up

Fri, 25 Nov 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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After the Thanksgiving downtime that generated some further weakness for the greenback, investors will be looking for fresh direction from the barrage of US economic data that will be dominating the agenda in the coming week. The latest payrolls report will be the main attraction along with PCE inflation readings. CPI data out of the Eurozone and Switzerland as well as Canadian GDP numbers will be important too, while OPEC’s monthly decision will be another one to watch amid speculation of an output increase.

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Dollar stays weak, ECB minutes reveal inflation fears

Fri, 25 Nov 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar headed for weekly loss as Fed minutes continue to weigh. ECB minutes show concerns about inflation becoming entrenched. Oil prices stabilize above September lows.

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Dollar slides and Wall Street rises after Fed minutes

Thu, 24 Nov 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Fed minutes show that officials agreed on slower rate hikes. Dollar extends slide against all other major currencies. Wall Street adds to gains ahead of Thanksgiving. Oil prices slip on price cap talks.

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Risk assets rally ahead of Fed minutes, RBNZ lifts kiwi

Wed, 23 Nov 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Retreat in the dollar and yields helps fuel risk appetite. Stock markets rally, kiwi jumps after RBNZ decision. European PMIs paint grim picture, Fed minutes coming up.

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Dollar stands tall, yen resumes its decline

Tue, 22 Nov 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Dollar shines, yen slides as US yields march higher. Oil recovers on Saudi signals, stocks chop around. RBNZ to roll out another rate increase, but how big?

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Dollar recovers, oil extends slide, stocks drift sideways

Mon, 21 Nov 2022 13:00:00 +0200

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Dollar attracts safe-haven flows as China tightens restrictions. Demand
worries deal heavy blow to oil prices, gold retreats too. Stock markets trade
sideways, but fundamentals spell trouble.

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Markets steady despite Fed pivot hopes disappearing over the horizon

Fri, 18 Nov 2022 14:00:00 +0200

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Dollar bolstered but gains limited after Bullard calls for Fed rate to hit at
least 5%. Higher Treasury yields pressure Wall Street but rebound already
underway. Yen shrugs off Japanese CPI jump, pound wobbles on gloomy
UK budget.

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Week Ahead: Fed minutes, RBNZ decision, and business surveys on tap

Fri, 18 Nov 2022 12:00:00 +0200

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Another busy week is coming up for FX markets, featuring the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting and a rate decision in New Zealand that investors are undecided on. Most importantly, business surveys from the major economies will reveal whether US inflationary pressures continue to cool off and whether Europe is already in recession.

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