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    <itunes:title>What AI companies can do today to help with the most important century</itunes:title>
    <title>What AI companies can do today to help with the most important century</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Major AI companies can increase or reduce global catastrophic risks.  https://www.cold-takes.com/what-ai-companies-can-do-today-to-help-with-the-most-important-century/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Major AI companies can increase or reduce global catastrophic risks.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/what-ai-companies-can-do-today-to-help-with-the-most-important-century/</p><p><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Major AI companies can increase or reduce global catastrophic risks.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/what-ai-companies-can-do-today-to-help-with-the-most-important-century/</p><p><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2023 11:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1107</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Jobs that can help with the most important century</itunes:title>
    <title>Jobs that can help with the most important century</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[People are far better at their jobs than at anything else. Here are the best ways to help the most important century go well.  https://www.cold-takes.com/jobs-that-can-help-with-the-most-important-century/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>People are far better at their jobs than at anything else. Here are the best ways to help the most important century go well.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/jobs-that-can-help-with-the-most-important-century/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>People are far better at their jobs than at anything else. Here are the best ways to help the most important century go well.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/jobs-that-can-help-with-the-most-important-century/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Fri, 10 Feb 2023 13:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1842</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Spreading messages to help with the most important century</itunes:title>
    <title>Spreading messages to help with the most important century</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[For people who want to help improve our prospects for navigating transformative AI, and have an audience (even a small one).  https://www.cold-takes.com/spreading-messages-to-help-with-the-most-important-century/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>For people who want to help improve our prospects for navigating transformative AI, and have an audience (even a small one).<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/spreading-messages-to-help-with-the-most-important-century/</p><p><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For people who want to help improve our prospects for navigating transformative AI, and have an audience (even a small one).<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/spreading-messages-to-help-with-the-most-important-century/</p><p><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2023 12:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1209</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>How we could stumble into AI catastrophe</itunes:title>
    <title>How we could stumble into AI catastrophe</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Hypothetical stories where the world tries, but fails, to avert a global disaster.  https://www.cold-takes.com/how-we-could-stumble-into-ai-catastrophe ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Hypothetical stories where the world tries, but fails, to avert a global disaster.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/how-we-could-stumble-into-ai-catastrophe</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hypothetical stories where the world tries, but fails, to avert a global disaster.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/how-we-could-stumble-into-ai-catastrophe</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Fri, 13 Jan 2023 11:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1734</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview</itunes:title>
    <title>Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[An overview of key potential factors (not just alignment risk) for whether things go well or poorly with transformative AI.  https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-issues-not-just-misalignment-an-overview/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>An overview of key potential factors (not just alignment risk) for whether things go well or poorly with transformative AI.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-issues-not-just-misalignment-an-overview/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An overview of key potential factors (not just alignment risk) for whether things go well or poorly with transformative AI.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-issues-not-just-misalignment-an-overview/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2023 12:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1503</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Racing Through a Minefield: the AI Deployment Problem</itunes:title>
    <title>Racing Through a Minefield: the AI Deployment Problem</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Push AI forward too fast, and catastrophe could occur. Too slow, and someone else less cautious could do it. Is there a safe course?  https://www.cold-takes.com/racing-through-a-minefield-the-ai-deployment-problem/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Push AI forward too fast, and catastrophe could occur. Too slow, and someone else less cautious could do it. Is there a safe course?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/racing-through-a-minefield-the-ai-deployment-problem/</p><p><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Push AI forward too fast, and catastrophe could occur. Too slow, and someone else less cautious could do it. Is there a safe course?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/racing-through-a-minefield-the-ai-deployment-problem/</p><p><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 22 Dec 2022 08:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1264</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>High-level hopes for AI aligment</itunes:title>
    <title>High-level hopes for AI aligment</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[A few ways we might get very powerful AI systems to be safe.  https://www.cold-takes.com/high-level-hopes-for-ai-alignment/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>A few ways we might get very powerful AI systems to be safe.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/high-level-hopes-for-ai-alignment/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A few ways we might get very powerful AI systems to be safe.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/high-level-hopes-for-ai-alignment/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2022 12:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1429</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>AI safety seems hard to measure</itunes:title>
    <title>AI safety seems hard to measure</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Four analogies for why "We don't see any misbehavior by this AI" isn't enough.  https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-safety-seems-hard-to-measure/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Four analogies for why &quot;We don&apos;t see any misbehavior by this AI&quot; isn&apos;t enough.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-safety-seems-hard-to-measure/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Four analogies for why &quot;We don&apos;t see any misbehavior by this AI&quot; isn&apos;t enough.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-safety-seems-hard-to-measure/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 08 Dec 2022 14:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1342</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Why Would AI &quot;Aim&quot; To Defeat Humanity?</itunes:title>
    <title>Why Would AI &quot;Aim&quot; To Defeat Humanity?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Today's AI development methods risk training AIs to be deceptive, manipulative and ambitious. This might not be easy to fix as it comes up.  https://www.cold-takes.com/why-would-ai-aim-to-defeat-humanity/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Today&apos;s AI development methods risk training AIs to be deceptive, manipulative and ambitious. This might not be easy to fix as it comes up.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/why-would-ai-aim-to-defeat-humanity/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today&apos;s AI development methods risk training AIs to be deceptive, manipulative and ambitious. This might not be easy to fix as it comes up.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/why-would-ai-aim-to-defeat-humanity/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 29 Nov 2022 11:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>2774</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine</itunes:title>
    <title>The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[We scored mid-20th-century sci-fi writers on nonfiction predictions. They weren't great, but weren't terrible either. Maybe doing futurism works fine.  https://www.cold-takes.com/the-track-record-of-futurists-seems-fine/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>We scored mid-20th-century sci-fi writers on nonfiction predictions. They weren&apos;t great, but weren&apos;t terrible either. Maybe doing futurism works fine.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/the-track-record-of-futurists-seems-fine/</p><p><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We scored mid-20th-century sci-fi writers on nonfiction predictions. They weren&apos;t great, but weren&apos;t terrible either. Maybe doing futurism works fine.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/the-track-record-of-futurists-seems-fine/</p><p><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 30 Jun 2022 04:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1281</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Nonprofit Boards are Weird</itunes:title>
    <title>Nonprofit Boards are Weird</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[With great power comes, er, unclear responsibility and zero accountability.   https://www.cold-takes.com/nonprofit-boards-are-weird-2/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>With great power comes, er, unclear responsibility and zero accountability. <br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/nonprofit-boards-are-weird-2/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With great power comes, er, unclear responsibility and zero accountability. <br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/nonprofit-boards-are-weird-2/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 23 Jun 2022 10:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1527</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined</itunes:title>
    <title>AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[How big a deal could AI misalignment be? About as big as it gets.  https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-could-defeat-all-of-us-combined/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>How big a deal could AI misalignment be? About as big as it gets.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-could-defeat-all-of-us-combined/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How big a deal could AI misalignment be? About as big as it gets.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-could-defeat-all-of-us-combined/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 07 Jun 2022 00:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1436</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Useful Vices for Wicked Problems</itunes:title>
    <title>Useful Vices for Wicked Problems</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Investigating important topics with laziness, impatience, hubris and self-preservation.  https://www.cold-takes.com/useful-vices-for-wicked-problems/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Investigating important topics with laziness, impatience, hubris and self-preservation.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/useful-vices-for-wicked-problems/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Investigating important topics with laziness, impatience, hubris and self-preservation.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/useful-vices-for-wicked-problems/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 12 Apr 2022 14:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1519</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more)</itunes:title>
    <title>Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more)</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[What kind of governance system should you set up, if you're starting from scratch and can do it however you want?  https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>What kind of governance system should you set up, if you&apos;re starting from scratch and can do it however you want?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What kind of governance system should you set up, if you&apos;re starting from scratch and can do it however you want?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 04 Apr 2022 20:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1053</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:title>Debating myself on whether “extra lives lived” are as good as “deaths prevented”</itunes:title>
    <title>Debating myself on whether “extra lives lived” are as good as “deaths prevented”</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Preventing extinction would be good - but "saving 8 billion lives" good or "saving a trillion trillion trillion lives" good?  https://www.cold-takes.com/debating-myself-on-whether-extra-lives-lived-are-as-good-as-deaths-prevented/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Preventing extinction would be good - but &quot;saving 8 billion lives&quot; good or &quot;saving a trillion trillion trillion lives&quot; good?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/debating-myself-on-whether-extra-lives-lived-are-as-good-as-deaths-prevented/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Preventing extinction would be good - but &quot;saving 8 billion lives&quot; good or &quot;saving a trillion trillion trillion lives&quot; good?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/debating-myself-on-whether-extra-lives-lived-are-as-good-as-deaths-prevented/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 29 Mar 2022 12:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1220</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>The Wicked Problem Experience</itunes:title>
    <title>The Wicked Problem Experience</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[A day in the life of trying to complete a self-assigned project with no clear spec or goal.   https://www.cold-takes.com/the-wicked-problem-experience/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>A day in the life of trying to complete a self-assigned project with no clear spec or goal. <br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/the-wicked-problem-experience/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A day in the life of trying to complete a self-assigned project with no clear spec or goal. <br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/the-wicked-problem-experience/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-10174637</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 02 Mar 2022 12:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>890</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Learning By Writing</itunes:title>
    <title>Learning By Writing</title>
    <itunes:summary></itunes:summary>
    <description></description>
    <content:encoded></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 22 Feb 2022 08:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>985</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Defending One-Dimensional Ethics</itunes:title>
    <title>Defending One-Dimensional Ethics</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[First in a series of dialogues on utilitarianism and "future-proof ethics."  https://www.cold-takes.com/defending-one-dimensional-ethics/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>First in a series of dialogues on utilitarianism and &quot;future-proof ethics.&quot;<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/defending-one-dimensional-ethics/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>First in a series of dialogues on utilitarianism and &quot;future-proof ethics.&quot;<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/defending-one-dimensional-ethics/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/10077272-defending-one-dimensional-ethics.mp3" length="18758235" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-10077272</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2022 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1560</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Future-Proof Ethics</itunes:title>
    <title>Future-Proof Ethics</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Ethics based on common sense seems to have a horrible historical track record. Can we do better?  https://www.cold-takes.com/future-proof-ethics/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Ethics based on common sense seems to have a horrible historical track record. Can we do better?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/future-proof-ethics/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ethics based on common sense seems to have a horrible historical track record. Can we do better?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/future-proof-ethics/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9995940-future-proof-ethics.mp3" length="19575306" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:image href="https://storage.buzzsprout.com/ujesyi6wwyx20wzudhqiqn4ooxb6?.jpg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2022 14:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1629</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Stakeholder Management and Cost Disease</itunes:title>
    <title>Stakeholder Management and Cost Disease</title>
    <itunes:summary></itunes:summary>
    <description></description>
    <content:encoded></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 27 Jan 2022 14:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
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    <psc:chapters>
  <psc:chapter start="0:00" title="Empowerment and Stakeholder Management" />
  <psc:chapter start="10:02" title="Cost Disease and Civilizational Decline" />
</psc:chapters>
    <itunes:duration>1085</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Reader reactions and update on &quot;Where&#39;s Today&#39;s Beethoven&quot;</itunes:title>
    <title>Reader reactions and update on &quot;Where&#39;s Today&#39;s Beethoven&quot;</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Lots of theories for why older science and art seem to have an easier time getting critical acclaim.  https://www.cold-takes.com/reader-reactions-and-update-on-wheres-todays-beethoven/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Lots of theories for why older science and art seem to have an easier time getting critical acclaim.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/reader-reactions-and-update-on-wheres-todays-beethoven/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lots of theories for why older science and art seem to have an easier time getting critical acclaim.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/reader-reactions-and-update-on-wheres-todays-beethoven/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1074</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Why it matters if &quot;ideas get harder to find&quot;</itunes:title>
    <title>Why it matters if &quot;ideas get harder to find&quot;</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Want more innovation? Think about population, not recapturing "golden age" culture.  https://www.cold-takes.com/why-it-matters-if-ideas-get-harder-to-find/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Want more innovation? Think about population, not recapturing &quot;golden age&quot; culture.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/why-it-matters-if-ideas-get-harder-to-find/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Want more innovation? Think about population, not recapturing &quot;golden age&quot; culture.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/why-it-matters-if-ideas-get-harder-to-find/</p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9864951</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 11 Jan 2022 15:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>647</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Where&#39;s Today&#39;s Beethoven?</itunes:title>
    <title>Where&#39;s Today&#39;s Beethoven?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Why is no composer today as acclaimed as Beethoven, no author as acclaimed as Shakespeare? A data-driven look at a few possible explanations.  https://www.cold-takes.com/wheres-todays-beethoven/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Why is no composer today as acclaimed as Beethoven, no author as acclaimed as Shakespeare? A data-driven look at a few possible explanations.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/wheres-todays-beethoven/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why is no composer today as acclaimed as Beethoven, no author as acclaimed as Shakespeare? A data-driven look at a few possible explanations.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/wheres-todays-beethoven/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author></itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9785683</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 04 Jan 2022 15:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>2220</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>The Bayesian Mindset</itunes:title>
    <title>The Bayesian Mindset</title>
    <itunes:summary></itunes:summary>
    <description></description>
    <content:encoded></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 21 Dec 2021 14:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1900</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Visualizing Utopia</itunes:title>
    <title>Visualizing Utopia</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[An attempt to help visualize utopia, without running into pitfalls I covered previously.  https://www.cold-takes.com/visualizing-utopia/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>An attempt to help visualize utopia, without running into pitfalls I covered previously.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/visualizing-utopia/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An attempt to help visualize utopia, without running into pitfalls I covered previously.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/visualizing-utopia/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9715211-visualizing-utopia.mp3" length="15314577" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:image href="https://storage.buzzsprout.com/hkdgcam9ukgap71zw8aln9gc1scw?.jpg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 13 Dec 2021 19:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1269</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Why Describing Utopia Goes Badly</itunes:title>
    <title>Why Describing Utopia Goes Badly</title>
    <itunes:summary></itunes:summary>
    <description></description>
    <content:encoded></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9676880</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 07 Dec 2021 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1066</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Minimal-trust investigations</itunes:title>
    <title>Minimal-trust investigations</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[The activity that has been most formative for the way I think: suspending my trust in others and digging to the bottom of some claim.  https://www.cold-takes.com/minimal-trust-investigations/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>The activity that has been most formative for the way I think: suspending my trust in others and digging to the bottom of some claim.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/minimal-trust-investigations/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The activity that has been most formative for the way I think: suspending my trust in others and digging to the bottom of some claim.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/minimal-trust-investigations/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9598255-minimal-trust-investigations.mp3" length="14730526" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:image href="https://storage.buzzsprout.com/z40hevkr7lz34vm110734wzishus?.jpg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9598255</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 23 Nov 2021 12:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1225</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Did life get better during the pre-industrial era? (Ehhhh)</itunes:title>
    <title>Did life get better during the pre-industrial era? (Ehhhh)</title>
    <itunes:summary></itunes:summary>
    <description></description>
    <content:encoded></content:encoded>
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9596949</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 22 Nov 2021 20:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1190</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Falling everyday violence, bigger wars and atrocities: how do they net out?</itunes:title>
    <title>Falling everyday violence, bigger wars and atrocities: how do they net out?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Homicide rates have fallen over the past 1000+ years, but wars and genocides may have gotten bigger. How does it net out?  https://www.cold-takes.com/has-violence-declined-when-we-include-the-world-wars-and-other-major-atrocities/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Homicide rates have fallen over the past 1000+ years, but wars and genocides may have gotten bigger. How does it net out?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/has-violence-declined-when-we-include-the-world-wars-and-other-major-atrocities/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Homicide rates have fallen over the past 1000+ years, but wars and genocides may have gotten bigger. How does it net out?<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/has-violence-declined-when-we-include-the-world-wars-and-other-major-atrocities/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9559111-falling-everyday-violence-bigger-wars-and-atrocities-how-do-they-net-out.mp3" length="10072076" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:image href="https://storage.buzzsprout.com/2fuwemt3rnwfah8aaxl2fw1rsn29?.jpg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 16 Nov 2021 13:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>835</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny</itunes:title>
    <title>Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Five clashing pictures of how to help the world, and the questions about history they raise.  https://www.cold-takes.com/rowing-steering-anchoring-equity-mutiny/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Five clashing pictures of how to help the world, and the questions about history they raise.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/rowing-steering-anchoring-equity-mutiny/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Five clashing pictures of how to help the world, and the questions about history they raise.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/rowing-steering-anchoring-equity-mutiny/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9517009-rowing-steering-anchoring-equity-mutiny.mp3" length="16228397" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:image href="https://storage.buzzsprout.com/hbhpeuovb5cj2j87fvv8ul1qwwez?.jpg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 09 Nov 2021 10:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1349</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Unraveling the evidence about violence among very early humans</itunes:title>
    <title>Unraveling the evidence about violence among very early humans</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[The rate of violent deaths is one of the key measures of long-run quality of life, and strong claims are made on both sides.  https://www.cold-takes.com/unraveling-the-evidence-about-violence-among-very-early-humans/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>The rate of violent deaths is one of the key measures of long-run quality of life, and strong claims are made on both sides.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/unraveling-the-evidence-about-violence-among-very-early-humans/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The rate of violent deaths is one of the key measures of long-run quality of life, and strong claims are made on both sides.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/unraveling-the-evidence-about-violence-among-very-early-humans/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9475081-unraveling-the-evidence-about-violence-among-very-early-humans.mp3" length="17423542" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 02 Nov 2021 09:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1449</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Was life better in hunter-gatherer times?</itunes:title>
    <title>Was life better in hunter-gatherer times?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Part of the "Has Life Gotten Better?" series.  https://www.cold-takes.com/was-life-better-in-hunter-gatherer-times/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Part of the &quot;Has Life Gotten Better?&quot; series.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/was-life-better-in-hunter-gatherer-times/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Part of the &quot;Has Life Gotten Better?&quot; series.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/was-life-better-in-hunter-gatherer-times/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9427765-was-life-better-in-hunter-gatherer-times.mp3" length="15887519" type="audio/mpeg" />
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    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 26 Oct 2021 08:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1318</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Pre-agriculture gender relations seem bad</itunes:title>
    <title>Pre-agriculture gender relations seem bad</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA["Hunter-gatherers"/"foragers" are sometimes said to have strong gender equality. But as far as I can tell, they don't. Part of the "Has Life Gotten Better?" series.  https://www.cold-takes.com/pre-agriculture-gender-relations-seem-bad/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>&quot;Hunter-gatherers&quot;/&quot;foragers&quot; are sometimes said to have strong gender equality. But as far as I can tell, they don&apos;t. Part of the &quot;Has Life Gotten Better?&quot; series.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/pre-agriculture-gender-relations-seem-bad/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&quot;Hunter-gatherers&quot;/&quot;foragers&quot; are sometimes said to have strong gender equality. But as far as I can tell, they don&apos;t. Part of the &quot;Has Life Gotten Better?&quot; series.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/pre-agriculture-gender-relations-seem-bad/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9344217-pre-agriculture-gender-relations-seem-bad.mp3" length="14641146" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9344217</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 19 Oct 2021 13:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1217</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Has Life Gotten Better?: the Post-Industrial Era</itunes:title>
    <title>Has Life Gotten Better?: the Post-Industrial Era</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Why I think life has gotten better over the last couple hundred years.  https://www.cold-takes.com/has-life-gotten-better-the-post-industrial-era/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Why I think life has gotten better over the last couple hundred years.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/has-life-gotten-better-the-post-industrial-era/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why I think life has gotten better over the last couple hundred years.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/has-life-gotten-better-the-post-industrial-era/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9353136-has-life-gotten-better-the-post-industrial-era.mp3" length="10277979" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9353136</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 12 Oct 2021 02:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>853</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Has Life Gotten Better?</itunes:title>
    <title>Has Life Gotten Better?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Trends in quality of life over all of human history (not just the last few hundred years).  https://www.cold-takes.com/has-life-gotten-better/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Trends in quality of life over all of human history (not just the last few hundred years).<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/has-life-gotten-better/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trends in quality of life over all of human history (not just the last few hundred years).<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/has-life-gotten-better/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9285821-has-life-gotten-better.mp3" length="6624444" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9285821</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 05 Oct 2021 03:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>549</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Summary of history (empowerment and well-being lens)</itunes:title>
    <title>Summary of history (empowerment and well-being lens)</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Listing the big events for empowerment and well-being, leaving out all the wars that didn't clearly affect these things.  https://www.cold-takes.com/summary-of-history-empowerment-and-well-being-lens/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Listing the big events for empowerment and well-being, leaving out all the wars that didn&apos;t clearly affect these things.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/summary-of-history-empowerment-and-well-being-lens/</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Listing the big events for empowerment and well-being, leaving out all the wars that didn&apos;t clearly affect these things.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/summary-of-history-empowerment-and-well-being-lens/</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9275171-summary-of-history-empowerment-and-well-being-lens.mp3" length="12680730" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9275171</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 28 Sep 2021 13:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1054</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Why AI alignment could be hard with modern deep learning (guest post by Ajeya Cotra)</itunes:title>
    <title>Why AI alignment could be hard with modern deep learning (guest post by Ajeya Cotra)</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Why would we program AI that wants to harm us? Because we might not know how to do otherwise.  https://www.cold-takes.com/why-ai-alignment-could-be-hard-with-modern-deep-learning/    ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Why would we program AI that wants to harm us? Because we might not know how to do otherwise.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/why-ai-alignment-could-be-hard-with-modern-deep-learning/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why would we program AI that wants to harm us? Because we might not know how to do otherwise.<br/><br/>https://www.cold-takes.com/why-ai-alignment-could-be-hard-with-modern-deep-learning/</p><p><br/><br/></p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9229954-why-ai-alignment-could-be-hard-with-modern-deep-learning-guest-post-by-ajeya-cotra.mp3" length="20792442" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">Buzzsprout-9229954</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 20 Sep 2021 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1730</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Call to Vigilance</itunes:title>
    <title>Call to Vigilance</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Given all our uncertainties about the most important century, I'm issuing a "call to vigilance" instead of "call to action": look out for opportunities to help the most important century go as well as possible.  https://www.cold-takes.com/call-to-vigilance/  ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Given all our uncertainties about the most important century, I&apos;m issuing a &quot;call to vigilance&quot; instead of &quot;call to action&quot;: look out for opportunities to help the most important century go as well as possible. </p><p>https://www.cold-takes.com/call-to-vigilance/ </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Given all our uncertainties about the most important century, I&apos;m issuing a &quot;call to vigilance&quot; instead of &quot;call to action&quot;: look out for opportunities to help the most important century go as well as possible. </p><p>https://www.cold-takes.com/call-to-vigilance/ </p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9219378-call-to-vigilance.mp3" length="3998499" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <link>https://www.cold-takes.com/call-to-vigilance/</link>
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/c43d86db-9bbd-3f57-abcb-2bf6e4e1b550</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 15 Sep 2021 14:47:13 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>330</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords>Most Important Century</itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>13</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>How to make the best of the most important century?</itunes:title>
    <title>How to make the best of the most important century?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[We, the people living in this century, have the chance to have a huge impact on huge numbers of people to come - if we can make sense of the situation enough to find helpful actions.    https://www.cold-takes.com/making-the-best-of-the-most-important-century/  ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>We, the people living in this century, have the chance to have a huge impact on huge numbers of people to come - if we can make sense of the situation enough to find helpful actions. </p><p> </p><p>https://www.cold-takes.com/making-the-best-of-the-most-important-century/ </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We, the people living in this century, have the chance to have a huge impact on huge numbers of people to come - if we can make sense of the situation enough to find helpful actions. </p><p> </p><p>https://www.cold-takes.com/making-the-best-of-the-most-important-century/ </p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9219379-how-to-make-the-best-of-the-most-important-century.mp3" length="15807899" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <link>https://www.cold-takes.com/making-the-best-of-the-most-important-century/</link>
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/28996b6b-76bb-35a1-a987-bff5986c9de2</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 14 Sep 2021 14:55:20 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1314</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords>Most Important Century</itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:season>1</itunes:season>
    <itunes:episode>12</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the ”Experts,” Stand</itunes:title>
    <title>AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the ”Experts,” Stand</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[What the best available forecasting methods say about when we can expect transformative AI - and why there's no "expert field" for this topic. https://www.cold-takes.com/where-ai-forecasting-stands-today/  ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>What the best available forecasting methods say about when we can expect transformative AI - and why there&apos;s no &quot;expert field&quot; for this topic.</p><p>https://www.cold-takes.com/where-ai-forecasting-stands-today/</p> ]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What the best available forecasting methods say about when we can expect transformative AI - and why there&apos;s no &quot;expert field&quot; for this topic.</p><p>https://www.cold-takes.com/where-ai-forecasting-stands-today/</p> ]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9175961-ai-timelines-where-the-arguments-and-the-experts-stand.mp3" length="13559399" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/0a2c0dd4-c671-3c36-8460-4003243c6290</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 07 Sep 2021 13:49:37 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1127</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>11</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType></itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Forecasting transformative AI: the ”biological anchors” method in a nutshell</itunes:title>
    <title>Forecasting transformative AI: the ”biological anchors” method in a nutshell</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[My preferred method of forecasting transformative AI, with pros and cons.   https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-the-biological-anchors-method-in-a-nutshell/  ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>My preferred method of forecasting transformative AI, with pros and cons.</p><p> </p><p class='ghost-url-preview description ember-view'>https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-the-biological-anchors-method-in-a-nutshell/</p> ]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My preferred method of forecasting transformative AI, with pros and cons.</p><p> </p><p class='ghost-url-preview description ember-view'>https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-the-biological-anchors-method-in-a-nutshell/</p> ]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9175962-forecasting-transformative-ai-the-biological-anchors-method-in-a-nutshell.mp3" length="21018123" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/a9a8d53d-8aab-3bd8-a095-e0220ba23c81</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 31 Aug 2021 14:18:29 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1748</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>10</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType></itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Are we &quot;trending toward&quot; transformative AI? (How would we know?)</itunes:title>
    <title>Are we &quot;trending toward&quot; transformative AI? (How would we know?)</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[AI progress may not trend in the ways we intuitively expect. https://www.cold-takes.com/are-we-trending-toward-transformative-ai-how-would-we-know/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>AI progress may not trend in the ways we intuitively expect.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/are-we-trending-toward-transformative-ai-how-would-we-know/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/are-we-trending-toward-transformative-ai-how-would-we-know/</a></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AI progress may not trend in the ways we intuitively expect.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/are-we-trending-toward-transformative-ai-how-would-we-know/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/are-we-trending-toward-transformative-ai-how-would-we-know/</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9219380-are-we-trending-toward-transformative-ai-how-would-we-know.mp3" length="11638782" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/5f2f91f2-9f4e-37f9-8390-9db0b92b8c22</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 24 Aug 2021 13:16:16 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>967</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>9</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType></itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Forecasting transformative AI: what&#39;s the burden of proof?</itunes:title>
    <title>Forecasting transformative AI: what&#39;s the burden of proof?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[This is the second of 4 posts summarizing hundreds of pages of technical reports focused almost entirely on forecasting one number: the year by which transformative AI will be developed. https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-whats-the-burden-of-proof/ ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>This is the second of 4 posts summarizing hundreds of pages of technical reports focused almost entirely on forecasting one number: the year by which transformative AI will be developed.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-whats-the-burden-of-proof/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-whats-the-burden-of-proof/</a></p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is the second of 4 posts summarizing hundreds of pages of technical reports focused almost entirely on forecasting one number: the year by which transformative AI will be developed.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-whats-the-burden-of-proof/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/forecasting-transformative-ai-whats-the-burden-of-proof/</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9219381-forecasting-transformative-ai-what-s-the-burden-of-proof.mp3" length="20576723" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/61aebf24-822c-3c22-b10e-8bb35f730216</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 17 Aug 2021 13:12:44 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1712</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>8</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType></itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Forecasting Transformative AI, Part 1: What Kind of AI?</itunes:title>
    <title>Forecasting Transformative AI, Part 1: What Kind of AI?</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[PASTA: Process for Automating Scientific and Technological Advancement https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-timelines-part-1-of-4-what-kind-of-ai/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>PASTA: Process for Automating Scientific and Technological Advancement</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-timelines-part-1-of-4-what-kind-of-ai/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-timelines-part-1-of-4-what-kind-of-ai/</a></p><p> </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>PASTA: Process for Automating Scientific and Technological Advancement</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-timelines-part-1-of-4-what-kind-of-ai/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-timelines-part-1-of-4-what-kind-of-ai/</a></p><p> </p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9219382-forecasting-transformative-ai-part-1-what-kind-of-ai.mp3" length="13029001" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/f0336f32-7331-37e4-9e1e-481ca930b279</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 10 Aug 2021 17:33:06 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>1083</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>7</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType></itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>This Can&#39;t Go On</itunes:title>
    <title>This Can&#39;t Go On</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/ The long view of economic history says we're in the midst of a huge, unsustainable acceleration. What happens next? ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/</a></p><p>The long view of economic history says we&apos;re in the midst of a huge, unsustainable acceleration. What happens next?</p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/</a></p><p>The long view of economic history says we&apos;re in the midst of a huge, unsustainable acceleration. What happens next?</p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9219383-this-can-t-go-on.mp3" length="11421765" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/0b30f10a-5115-3383-b5c5-c1069e3d50b1</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 02 Aug 2021 15:15:33 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>949</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>6</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType></itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Digital People Part 3 - Implications</itunes:title>
    <title>Digital People Part 3 - Implications</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Final section of the "Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal" readthrough. https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Final section of the &quot;Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal&quot; readthrough.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/</a></p><p> </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Final section of the &quot;Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal&quot; readthrough.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/</a></p><p> </p>]]></content:encoded>
    <enclosure url="https://www.buzzsprout.com/1851795/episodes/9219384-digital-people-part-3-implications.mp3" length="9716532" type="audio/mpeg" />
    <itunes:author>coldtakes</itunes:author>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">coldtakesblog.podbean.com/789c160b-0f58-38e8-9c75-40dd37187d79</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 26 Jul 2021 20:08:40 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>807</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>5</itunes:episode>
    <itunes:episodeType></itunes:episodeType>
    <itunes:explicit>false</itunes:explicit>
  </item>
  <item>
    <itunes:title>Digital People Part 2 (optional) - FAQ</itunes:title>
    <title>Digital People Part 2 (optional) - FAQ</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[FAQ about the "digital people" idea. https://www.cold-takes.com/digital-people-faq   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>FAQ about the &quot;digital people&quot; idea.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/digital-people-faq'>https://www.cold-takes.com/digital-people-faq</a></p><p> </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>FAQ about the &quot;digital people&quot; idea.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/digital-people-faq'>https://www.cold-takes.com/digital-people-faq</a></p><p> </p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 26 Jul 2021 20:08:07 -0400</pubDate>
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    <itunes:episode>4</itunes:episode>
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    <itunes:title>Digital People Part 1 - intro</itunes:title>
    <title>Digital People Part 1 - intro</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[Audio for the first part of "Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal." https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>Audio for the first part of &quot;Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal.&quot;</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/</a></p><p> </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Audio for the first part of &quot;Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal.&quot;</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/how-digital-people-could-change-the-world/</a></p><p> </p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 26 Jul 2021 20:07:11 -0400</pubDate>
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    <itunes:episode>3</itunes:episode>
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    <itunes:title>The Duplicator</itunes:title>
    <title>The Duplicator</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[If people could be insta-copied, economic growth would explode. https://www.cold-takes.com/the-duplicator/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>If people could be insta-copied, economic growth would explode.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/the-duplicator/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/the-duplicator/</a></p><p> </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If people could be insta-copied, economic growth would explode.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/the-duplicator/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/the-duplicator/</a></p><p> </p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2021 17:41:10 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>872</itunes:duration>
    <itunes:keywords></itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:episode>2</itunes:episode>
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    <itunes:title>All Possible Views About Humanity&#39;s Future Are Wild</itunes:title>
    <title>All Possible Views About Humanity&#39;s Future Are Wild</title>
    <itunes:summary><![CDATA[If you think humans will eventually spread out across the galaxy (even if it takes 100,000 years), then you think we are among the earliest living beings, with remarkable opportunities to shape the future. https://www.cold-takes.com/all-possible-views-about-humanitys-future-are-wild/   ]]></itunes:summary>
    <description><![CDATA[<p>If you think humans will eventually spread out across the galaxy (even if it takes 100,000 years), then you think we are among the earliest living beings, with remarkable opportunities to shape the future.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/all-possible-views-about-humanitys-future-are-wild/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/all-possible-views-about-humanitys-future-are-wild/</a></p><p> </p>]]></description>
    <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you think humans will eventually spread out across the galaxy (even if it takes 100,000 years), then you think we are among the earliest living beings, with remarkable opportunities to shape the future.</p><p><a href='https://www.cold-takes.com/all-possible-views-about-humanitys-future-are-wild/'>https://www.cold-takes.com/all-possible-views-about-humanitys-future-are-wild/</a></p><p> </p>]]></content:encoded>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 12 Jul 2021 21:44:42 -0400</pubDate>
    <itunes:duration>895</itunes:duration>
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    <itunes:season>1</itunes:season>
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